Monthly outlook for Ariel, FL: average high 83.5°, average low 74.1°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 12 days (about 4.8 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (91.2°), the coolest 13 October (67.2°).
83.5°/74.1°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
12 / 6
Wet days / normal
4.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
84.5°
80.5°
+2.2°
18 October – 27 October
81.9°
78.7°
+1.7°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
76.7°
—
October records over 66 years
91.8°5 October 1986All-time high
46.4°29 October 2008All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Smyrna Beach (11 mi).
Fri, 0985° / 72°0.25
85 °
Ariel, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 85°, low 72°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point75°
Sat, 1089° / 75°0.46
89 °
Ariel, Saturday, 10 October
Heavy rain. High 89°, low 75°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point76°
Sun, 1191° / 75°0.3
91 °
Ariel, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 91°, low 75°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.2 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point76°
Mon, 1284° / 73°0.13
84 °
Ariel, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 84°, low 73°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point74°
Tue, 1387° / 67°0
87 °
Ariel, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 87°, low 67°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.5 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 1484° / 70°0
84 °
Ariel, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 84°, low 70°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Thu, 1582° / 77°0.06
82 °
Ariel, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 77°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.7 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Fri, 1680° / 76°0.04
80 °
Ariel, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 80°, low 76°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.9 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sat, 1781° / 76°0.54
81 °
Ariel, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 81°, low 76°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.2 mph E
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point72°
Sun, 1885° / 75°0.17
85 °
Ariel, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 75°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.1 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Mon, 1983° / 74°0.19
83 °
Ariel, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 74°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Tue, 2082° / 75°0.48
82 °
Ariel, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 82°, low 75°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Wed, 2181° / 74°0.14
81 °
Ariel, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 74°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Thu, 2278° / 76°0
78 °
Ariel, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 76°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Fri, 2382° / 77°0.09
82 °
Ariel, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 77°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.7 mph E
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point72°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2478° / 68°0.14
78 °
Ariel, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high87° (2009)
Record low54° (2006)
Sun, 2578° / 67°0.06
78 °
Ariel, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high85° (2010)
Record low51° (2005)
Mon, 2678° / 67°0.07
78 °
Ariel, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high87° (2010)
Record low51° (2005)
Tue, 2778° / 67°0.07
78 °
Ariel, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high88° (2010)
Record low55° (2005)
Wed, 2878° / 67°0.07
78 °
Ariel, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high89° (2010)
Record low50° (2008)
Thu, 2977° / 66°0.08
77 °
Ariel, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high85° (2002)
Record low46° (2008)
Fri, 3077° / 66°0.06
77 °
Ariel, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high85° (1980)
Record low49° (2017)
Sat, 3177° / 67°0.08
77 °
Ariel, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high85° (2019)
Record low51° (2025)
Sun, 0177° / 67°0.07
77 °
Ariel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high87° (2013)
Record low43° (1993)
Mon, 0277° / 67°0.07
77 °
Ariel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high87° (2015)
Record low47° (2014)
Tue, 0376° / 66°0.08
76 °
Ariel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high86° (1972)
Record low43° (1966)
Wed, 0476° / 65°0.1
76 °
Ariel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high86° (1972)
Record low44° (1966)
Thu, 0575° / 65°0.12
75 °
Ariel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high85° (1973)
Record low45° (1970)
Fri, 0675° / 64°0.04
75 °
Ariel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high83° (1974)
Record low47° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ariel, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ariel, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.