Monthly outlook for Nocatee, FL: average high 79.2°, average low 69.4°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 9.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (85.2°), the coolest 14 October (64.7°).
79.2°/69.4°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
10 / 4
Wet days / normal
9.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
81°
77°
+2.2°
22 October – 31 October
76.2°
75°
+0.7°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
72.7°
—
October records over 66 years
89.1°11 October 2018All-time high
45.5°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Jacksonville Beach (13 mi).
Tue, 1384° / 67°0
84 °
Nocatee, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 84°, low 67°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.6 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Wed, 1484° / 65°0
84 °
Nocatee, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 84°, low 65°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3.7 mph NE
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point70°
Thu, 1585° / 68°0
85 °
Nocatee, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 85°, low 68°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point70°
Fri, 1684° / 65°0
84 °
Nocatee, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 84°, low 65°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 1777° / 69°0.01
77 °
Nocatee, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 69°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Sun, 1877° / 72°0.11
77 °
Nocatee, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 72°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind17.6 mph NE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Mon, 1981° / 76°0.42
81 °
Nocatee, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 76°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.7 mph E
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point71°
Tue, 2079° / 75°1.69
79 °
Nocatee, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 79°, low 75°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.8 mph E
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point73°
Wed, 2175° / 71°3.26
75 °
Nocatee, Wednesday, 21 October
Heavy rain. High 75°, low 71°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point71°
Thu, 2275° / 71°0.96
75 °
Nocatee, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 75°, low 71°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Fri, 2378° / 72°1.35
78 °
Nocatee, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 78°, low 72°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.9 mph E
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point71°
Sat, 2477° / 72°0.48
77 °
Nocatee, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 77°, low 72°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Sun, 2578° / 70°0.05
78 °
Nocatee, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 70°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13 mph E
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Mon, 2682° / 67°0.13
82 °
Nocatee, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 67°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 2768° / 65°1.06
68 °
Nocatee, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 68°, low 65°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2875° / 66°0.1
75 °
Nocatee, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high84° (2010)
Record low48° (2008)
Thu, 2974° / 65°0.12
74 °
Nocatee, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high87° (2020)
Record low47° (2008)
Fri, 3074° / 65°0.06
74 °
Nocatee, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high83° (2019)
Record low46° (2017)
Sat, 3174° / 66°0.1
74 °
Nocatee, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high87° (2019)
Record low46° (2017)
Sun, 0174° / 65°0.05
74 °
Nocatee, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (1961)
Record low43° (1993)
Mon, 0274° / 65°0.07
74 °
Nocatee, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (2015)
Record low47° (2014)
Tue, 0373° / 64°0.06
73 °
Nocatee, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (2015)
Record low42° (1966)
Wed, 0473° / 63°0.09
73 °
Nocatee, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2004)
Record low45° (1966)
Thu, 0572° / 64°0.13
72 °
Nocatee, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low45° (1970)
Fri, 0672° / 63°0.13
72 °
Nocatee, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high83° (2018)
Record low47° (2021)
Sat, 0772° / 62°0.08
72 °
Nocatee, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low49° (2021)
Sun, 0872° / 62°0.04
72 °
Nocatee, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high82° (2024)
Record low48° (1976)
Mon, 0972° / 63°0.07
72 °
Nocatee, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (2018)
Record low46° (1991)
Tue, 1072° / 62°0.1
72 °
Nocatee, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low45° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nocatee, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nocatee, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.