Monthly outlook for El Casco, CA: average high 73.4°, average low 55°. That is 1.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (86.6°), the coolest 26 October (48.4°).
73.4°/55°
Average high / low
−1.5°
Below normal
2 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
78.4°
77.3°
+0.6°
25 October – 3 November
65.2°
74°
-4.9°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
70.9°
—
October records over 66 years
106.5°2 October 2024All-time high
30.6°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreno Valley (6 mi).
Fri, 1687° / 63°0
87 °
El Casco, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 87°, low 63°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SW
Humidity27%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Sat, 1784° / 58°0
84 °
El Casco, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 84°, low 58°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind1 mph N
Humidity22%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 1882° / 59°0
82 °
El Casco, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 82°, low 59°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind2.8 mph NE
Humidity22%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 1984° / 58°0
84 °
El Casco, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 84°, low 58°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2082° / 56°0.02
82 °
El Casco, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 56°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind3.7 mph NW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2160° / 54°0.56
60 °
El Casco, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 60°, low 54°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2267° / 53°0
67 °
El Casco, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2374° / 55°0
74 °
El Casco, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 74°, low 55°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.6 mph W
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 2480° / 61°0
80 °
El Casco, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 80°, low 61°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SW
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 2571° / 54°0
71 °
El Casco, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 54°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.2 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 2656° / 48°0.21
56 °
El Casco, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2761° / 51°0.03
61 °
El Casco, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 51°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.4 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 2865° / 50°0
65 °
El Casco, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.2 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2965° / 51°0
65 °
El Casco, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 65°, low 51°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3.8 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 3073° / 54°0
73 °
El Casco, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 73°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.6 mph NE
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3173° / 49°0.02
73 °
El Casco, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high88° (1966)
Record low36° (1972)
Sun, 0174° / 49°0.03
74 °
El Casco, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high89° (2020)
Record low36° (1971)
Mon, 0274° / 49°0.03
74 °
El Casco, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high88° (2009)
Record low38° (1971)
Tue, 0374° / 48°0.01
74 °
El Casco, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high89° (2018)
Record low35° (1990)
Wed, 0474° / 49°0.03
74 °
El Casco, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high91° (2020)
Record low33° (1994)
Thu, 0573° / 49°0.01
73 °
El Casco, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high90° (2020)
Record low37° (2015)
Fri, 0672° / 49°0.01
72 °
El Casco, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high87° (2006)
Record low37° (1961)
Sat, 0771° / 48°0.04
71 °
El Casco, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high88° (2006)
Record low36° (2011)
Sun, 0870° / 49°0.06
70 °
El Casco, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high88° (2016)
Record low35° (2011)
Mon, 0970° / 47°0.04
70 °
El Casco, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high87° (2025)
Record low38° (2011)
Tue, 1069° / 47°0.03
69 °
El Casco, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high90° (2025)
Record low38° (2020)
Wed, 1170° / 47°0.06
70 °
El Casco, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high88° (2025)
Record low35° (1992)
Thu, 1270° / 47°0.04
70 °
El Casco, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high87° (2021)
Record low32° (2000)
Fri, 1370° / 46°0.03
70 °
El Casco, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high88° (2021)
Record low28° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Casco, CA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Casco, CA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.