Monthly outlook for Toltec, AZ: average high 87.1°, average low 68.4°. That is 0° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 1 days and 0.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 October (101.6°), the coolest 17 October (61.3°).
87.1°/68.4°
Average high / low
+0°
Above normal
5 / 1
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
87.3°
88.2°
-0.5°
17 October – 26 October
86.9°
84.4°
+1.4°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
80°
—
October records over 66 years
108.9°1 October 2024All-time high
35.6°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Casa Grande (12 mi).
Thu, 08101° / 71°0
101 °
Toltec, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 101°, low 71°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind2.7 mph NE
Humidity21%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 09102° / 74°0
102 °
Toltec, Friday, 9 October
Partly cloudy. High 102°, low 74°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SE
Humidity16%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sat, 1089° / 76°0.04
89 °
Toltec, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 89°, low 76°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind0.2 mph N
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sun, 1188° / 67°0.17
88 °
Toltec, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 88°, low 67°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind24.3 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Mon, 1286° / 69°0.06
86 °
Toltec, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 86°, low 69°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Tue, 1380° / 64°0.08
80 °
Toltec, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 80°, low 64°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.5 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 1474° / 65°0.07
74 °
Toltec, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 65°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16.3 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 1576° / 62°0
76 °
Toltec, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 76°, low 62°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 1679° / 64°0
79 °
Toltec, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 79°, low 64°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.5 mph N
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 1783° / 61°0
83 °
Toltec, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 83°, low 61°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind22.3 mph E
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1885° / 64°0
85 °
Toltec, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 85°, low 64°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.6 mph E
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 1988° / 69°0
88 °
Toltec, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 88°, low 69°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.3 mph N
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 2088° / 72°0
88 °
Toltec, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 88°, low 72°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 2186° / 71°0.01
86 °
Toltec, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 86°, low 71°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.4 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 2290° / 72°0
90 °
Toltec, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 90°, low 72°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13.7 mph W
Humidity18%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2384° / 58°0.03
84 °
Toltec, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high97° (2003)
Record low45° (1996)
Sat, 2484° / 57°0.01
84 °
Toltec, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high95° (2017)
Record low44° (1975)
Sun, 2583° / 58°0
83 °
Toltec, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high94° (2014)
Record low43° (2022)
Mon, 2682° / 56°0
82 °
Toltec, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high96° (2024)
Record low43° (1971)
Tue, 2782° / 56°0.02
82 °
Toltec, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high98° (2016)
Record low43° (1971)
Wed, 2882° / 55°0.02
82 °
Toltec, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high94° (2016)
Record low42° (2020)
Thu, 2981° / 55°0.02
81 °
Toltec, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high93° (2016)
Record low39° (1991)
Fri, 3080° / 54°0.01
80 °
Toltec, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high94° (2016)
Record low36° (1971)
Sat, 3179° / 53°0.01
79 °
Toltec, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high91° (1988)
Record low38° (1971)
Sun, 0179° / 53°0
79 °
Toltec, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0 in
Chance of precipitation2%
Record high93° (2020)
Record low36° (1972)
Mon, 0280° / 53°0.01
80 °
Toltec, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high94° (2020)
Record low40° (1971)
Tue, 0380° / 53°0.01
80 °
Toltec, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high94° (2009)
Record low41° (2004)
Wed, 0479° / 52°0.01
79 °
Toltec, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high94° (2001)
Record low40° (2022)
Thu, 0579° / 52°0.01
79 °
Toltec, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high96° (2020)
Record low41° (2022)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toltec, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toltec, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.