Monthly outlook for Ponca, AR: average high 68.6°, average low 48.6°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (86.5°), the coolest 18 October (26.5°).
68.6°/48.6°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
72.9°
70.8°
+1.1°
20 October – 29 October
61.3°
67.2°
-3.3°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
63°
—
October records over 66 years
91.6°11 October 1963All-time high
25.2°31 October 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Jasper (10 mi).
Sun, 1187° / 60°0
87 °
Ponca, Sunday, 11 October
Mostly clear. High 87°, low 60°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SW
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Mon, 1283° / 64°0
83 °
Ponca, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 83°, low 64°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.1 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Tue, 1386° / 70°0
86 °
Ponca, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 86°, low 70°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Wed, 1484° / 70°0.38
84 °
Ponca, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 84°, low 70°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility4.1 mi
Dew point71°
Thu, 1585° / 69°0.01
85 °
Ponca, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 69°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Fri, 1669° / 47°0
69 °
Ponca, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 1744° / 34°0
44 °
Ponca, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Sun, 1849° / 27°0
49 °
Ponca, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 49°, low 27°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind7.1 mph N
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point12°
Mon, 1958° / 33°0
58 °
Ponca, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 58°, low 33°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind5.8 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2064° / 40°0
64 °
Ponca, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 2167° / 45°0
67 °
Ponca, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.5 mph S
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2270° / 48°0
70 °
Ponca, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 2356° / 42°0
56 °
Ponca, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.6 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2450° / 35°0
50 °
Ponca, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 35°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 2561° / 37°0
61 °
Ponca, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 61°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.3 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2666° / 50°0.09
66 °
Ponca, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low38° (1994)
Tue, 2765° / 49°0.14
65 °
Ponca, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low36° (2012)
Wed, 2865° / 49°0.1
65 °
Ponca, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low31° (2017)
Thu, 2965° / 49°0.11
65 °
Ponca, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low29° (2017)
Fri, 3066° / 50°0.19
66 °
Ponca, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high82° (1968)
Record low29° (1993)
Sat, 3166° / 50°0.26
66 °
Ponca, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low25° (2023)
Sun, 0164° / 49°0.2
64 °
Ponca, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low24° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 47°0.09
63 °
Ponca, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low27° (1991)
Tue, 0362° / 47°0.1
62 °
Ponca, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (1978)
Record low20° (1991)
Wed, 0462° / 47°0.17
62 °
Ponca, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (1978)
Record low21° (1991)
Thu, 0562° / 46°0.21
62 °
Ponca, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low27° (1976)
Fri, 0662° / 45°0.12
62 °
Ponca, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (1980)
Record low29° (1993)
Sat, 0762° / 46°0.13
62 °
Ponca, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low26° (1993)
Sun, 0862° / 47°0.04
62 °
Ponca, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low21° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ponca, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ponca, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.