Weather in Ponca, AR
Ponca, Friday, 9 October, 00:07
Clear. Feels like 64°. High 87°, low 59°.
Monthly outlook for Ponca, AR: average high 73.3°, average low 57.2°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (87.2°), the coolest 18 October (43.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 October – 18 October | 79.6° | 71.4° | +4.5° |
| 19 October – 28 October | 63° | 67.4° | -2.5° |
| 29 October – 7 November | at normal | 63.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Jasper (10 mi).
0
Ponca, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 57°.
0
Ponca, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 85°, low 60°.
0Ponca, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 85°, low 69°.
0.17
Ponca, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 87°, low 72°.
0.45Ponca, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 84°, low 69°.
0Ponca, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 85°, low 72°.
0.1Ponca, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 54°.
0.08Ponca, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 47°.
0Ponca, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 43°.
0Ponca, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 51°.
0.32Ponca, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 48°.
0.13Ponca, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 58°.
0.17Ponca, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 60°.
0.01Ponca, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 50°.
0Ponca, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 69°, low 45°.
0.16
Ponca, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ponca, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Ponca, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Ponca, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ponca, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Ponca, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.26Ponca, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Ponca, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ponca, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ponca, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Ponca, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Ponca, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ponca, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ponca, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ponca, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ponca, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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