Monthly outlook for Tolley, ND: average high 54°, average low 37.8°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 October (67.5°), the coolest 16 October (27.3°).
54°/37.8°
Average high / low
+2.7°
Above normal
3 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
56.9°
50.9°
+3.3°
26 October – 4 November
49.2°
44.6°
+2.5°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
37.6°
—
October records over 66 years
86.9°1 October 1992All-time high
-1.1°30 October 1991All-time low
Sat, 1767° / 44°0
67 °
Tolley, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 44°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 1858° / 39°0
58 °
Tolley, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 39°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1958° / 36°0
58 °
Tolley, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 2062° / 40°0
62 °
Tolley, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 2156° / 43°0
56 °
Tolley, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2264° / 42°0
64 °
Tolley, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.7 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 2356° / 47°0.61
56 °
Tolley, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 56°, low 47°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind22.7 mph N
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 2446° / 37°0.67
46 °
Tolley, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 46°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind26.3 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 2548° / 33°0
48 °
Tolley, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 48°, low 33°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind13.5 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 2641° / 36°0.11
41 °
Tolley, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2745° / 35°0
45 °
Tolley, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 2855° / 35°0
55 °
Tolley, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 55°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2940° / 35°0
40 °
Tolley, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 40°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 3053° / 34°0
53 °
Tolley, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.3 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 3161° / 41°0
61 °
Tolley, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.6 mph W
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0143° / 30°0.05
43 °
Tolley, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high67° (1983)
Record low-2° (1984)
Mon, 0243° / 28°0.04
43 °
Tolley, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1965)
Record low-3° (1984)
Tue, 0341° / 28°0.03
41 °
Tolley, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high62° (1981)
Record low-6° (1991)
Wed, 0442° / 28°0.04
42 °
Tolley, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low-7° (1991)
Thu, 0542° / 27°0.02
42 °
Tolley, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low4° (1991)
Fri, 0640° / 26°0.03
40 °
Tolley, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high64° (2016)
Record low-14° (1991)
Sat, 0741° / 25°0.04
41 °
Tolley, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low-10° (2003)
Sun, 0839° / 25°0.04
39 °
Tolley, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low3° (2003)
Mon, 0936° / 23°0.04
36 °
Tolley, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (2016)
Record low-2° (1986)
Tue, 1035° / 22°0.04
35 °
Tolley, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high62° (1961)
Record low-5° (1986)
Wed, 1135° / 21°0.02
35 °
Tolley, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high59° (1981)
Record low-5° (1986)
Thu, 1235° / 22°0.03
35 °
Tolley, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low-4° (1986)
Fri, 1337° / 22°0.04
37 °
Tolley, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-7° (1986)
Sat, 1438° / 23°0.02
38 °
Tolley, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high60° (2025)
Record low4° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tolley, ND are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tolley, ND since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.