Weather in Arrow Creek, MT
Arrow Creek, Sunday, 15 November, 01:04
Clear. Feels like 33°. High 56°, low 29°.
Monthly outlook for Arrow Creek, MT: average high 45.6°, average low 32.2°. That is 3.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 November (55.8°), the coolest 22 November (28.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 44.1° | 41.8° | +1.3° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 48° | 36.7° | +6.3° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 34.7° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Denton (11 mi).
0
Arrow Creek, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 32°.
0.06
Arrow Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 37°.
0Arrow Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 38°, low 28°.
0
Arrow Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 29°.
0.04
Arrow Creek, Friday, 20 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 29°.
0
Arrow Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Mostly clear. High 39°, low 28°.
0Arrow Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 28°.
0Arrow Creek, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 30°.
0Arrow Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 35°.
0.01Arrow Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 37°.
0Arrow Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 34°.
0Arrow Creek, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 28°.
0.02Arrow Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Light snow. High 47°, low 29°.
0Arrow Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 36°.
0Arrow Creek, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 44°.
0.04Arrow Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Arrow Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arrow Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arrow Creek, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arrow Creek, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Arrow Creek, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arrow Creek, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arrow Creek, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arrow Creek, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arrow Creek, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arrow Creek, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arrow Creek, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arrow Creek, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arrow Creek, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arrow Creek, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arrow Creek, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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