Weather in Arrow Creek, MT
Arrow Creek, Wednesday, 4 November, 21:12
Clear. Feels like 28°. High 50°, low 26°.
Monthly outlook for Arrow Creek, MT: average high 50.9°, average low 33.1°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 8 November (65.1°), the coolest 19 November (6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 November – 13 November | 58.6° | 45.6° | +7.3° |
| 14 November – 23 November | 38.1° | 42.4° | -2.4° |
| 24 November – 3 December | at normal | 36.9° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Denton (11 mi).
0
Arrow Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 54°, low 26°.
0
Arrow Creek, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 26°.
0Arrow Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 42°.
0Arrow Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 40°.
0.02
Arrow Creek, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 40°.
0Arrow Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 40°.
0Arrow Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 60°, low 42°.
0Arrow Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
0Arrow Creek, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 63°, low 43°.
0.07Arrow Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 40°.
0Arrow Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 36°.
0Arrow Creek, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 31°.
0.01
Arrow Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Light snow. High 36°, low 28°.
0.34Arrow Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Snow. High 27°, low 22°.
0.14Arrow Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Light snow. High 22°, low 6°.
0.02
Arrow Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02
Arrow Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arrow Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arrow Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arrow Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08
Arrow Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Arrow Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arrow Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arrow Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arrow Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arrow Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arrow Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Arrow Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arrow Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arrow Creek, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arrow Creek, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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