Monthly outlook for Arroyo Seco, NM: average high 45.4°, average low 27.6°. That is 5.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (62°), the coolest 22 November (15.4°).
45.4°/27.6°
Average high / low
+5.6°
Above normal
7 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 November – 18 November
50.8°
36.3°
+8°
19 November – 28 November
36.5°
32.1°
+2.4°
29 November – 8 December
at normal
29.8°
—
November records over 66 years
55.9°8 November 2006All-time high
-18.4°28 November 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Taos Ski Valley (10 mi).
Tue, 1062° / 33°0
62 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 62°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.6 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point24°
Wed, 1157° / 33°0
57 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 33°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.2 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Thu, 1253° / 34°0
53 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.8 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Fri, 1349° / 36°0
49 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Sat, 1444° / 33°0.29
44 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 44°, low 33°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 1544° / 30°0.09
44 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1648° / 29°0
48 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 48°, low 29°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.5 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1748° / 30°0.04
48 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 17 November
Light snow. High 48°, low 30°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1843° / 29°0.17
43 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 18 November
Snow. High 43°, low 29°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1948° / 29°0
48 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 48°, low 29°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9 mph E
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Fri, 2040° / 25°0.94
40 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 20 November
Snow. High 40°, low 25°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13 mph E
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2133° / 19°0.14
33 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 21 November
Snow. High 33°, low 19°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 2230° / 15°0.01
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 22 November
Light snow. High 30°, low 15°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 2334° / 16°0
34 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 34°, low 16°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.7 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2434° / 19°0.04
34 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 19°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2532° / 14°0.03
32 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high48° (1960)
Record low-4° (2014)
Thu, 2630° / 12°0.04
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high50° (2017)
Record low-16° (1975)
Fri, 2728° / 11°0.06
28 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high44° (2017)
Record low-10° (2019)
Sat, 2829° / 11°0.03
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high45° (1999)
Record low-18° (1976)
Sun, 2929° / 11°0.06
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high49° (2021)
Record low-15° (1976)
Mon, 3029° / 10°0.02
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1995)
Record low-10° (2006)
Tue, 0130° / 11°0.05
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high49° (2021)
Record low-5° (2015)
Wed, 0231° / 12°0.02
31 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high50° (2021)
Record low-4° (2018)
Thu, 0330° / 12°0.04
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high46° (2021)
Record low-5° (2018)
Fri, 0431° / 13°0.04
31 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high46° (1989)
Record low-10° (2009)
Sat, 0530° / 12°0.03
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high46° (1989)
Record low-8° (1964)
Sun, 0630° / 11°0.03
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high44° (2008)
Record low-13° (1983)
Mon, 0729° / 11°0.03
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high47° (1981)
Record low-11° (1978)
Tue, 0829° / 11°0.05
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high47° (1981)
Record low-17° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arroyo Seco, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arroyo Seco, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.