Monthly outlook for Arroyo Seco, NM: average high 48.2°, average low 32°. That is 6.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 November (54.2°), the coolest 18 November (25.5°).
48.2°/32°
Average high / low
+6.1°
Above normal
5 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
50.5°
38.4°
+6.7°
14 November – 23 November
44.3°
34.6°
+5.4°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
30°
—
November records over 66 years
55.9°8 November 2006All-time high
-18.4°28 November 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Taos Ski Valley (10 mi).
Thu, 0550° / 30°0
50 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.9 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Fri, 0645° / 31°0
45 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.7 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Sat, 0749° / 31°0
49 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 49°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sun, 0851° / 30°0
51 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 51°, low 30°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 0954° / 34°0
54 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 1053° / 38°0
53 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Wed, 1152° / 35°0.02
52 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6 mph E
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1250° / 34°0.1
50 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 1349° / 38°0.19
49 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.3 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1449° / 34°0.08
49 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1548° / 31°0
48 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1648° / 35°0.54
48 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 16 November
Snow. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1739° / 26°0.07
39 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 17 November
Light snow. High 39°, low 26°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1840° / 25°0
40 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 40°, low 25°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.7 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1942° / 27°0
42 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 42°, low 27°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2035° / 16°0.04
35 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high54° (1989)
Record low-3° (2022)
Sat, 2135° / 17°0.04
35 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high48° (2006)
Record low0° (1979)
Sun, 2234° / 16°0.03
34 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high48° (2021)
Record low-6° (1975)
Mon, 2332° / 15°0.05
32 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high45° (1981)
Record low-12° (2003)
Tue, 2432° / 14°0.04
32 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high48° (1990)
Record low-5° (2014)
Wed, 2532° / 14°0.03
32 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high48° (1960)
Record low-4° (2014)
Thu, 2630° / 12°0.04
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high50° (2017)
Record low-16° (1975)
Fri, 2728° / 11°0.06
28 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high44° (2017)
Record low-10° (2019)
Sat, 2829° / 11°0.03
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high45° (1999)
Record low-18° (1976)
Sun, 2929° / 11°0.06
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high49° (2021)
Record low-15° (1976)
Mon, 3029° / 10°0.02
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1995)
Record low-10° (2006)
Tue, 0130° / 11°0.05
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high49° (2021)
Record low-5° (2015)
Wed, 0231° / 12°0.02
31 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high50° (2021)
Record low-4° (2018)
Thu, 0330° / 12°0.04
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high46° (2021)
Record low-5° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arroyo Seco, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arroyo Seco, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.