Monthly outlook for Arroyo Seco, NM: average high 41°, average low 23.4°. That is 4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 November (61.5°), the coolest 27 November (-4.8°).
41°/23.4°
Average high / low
+4°
Above normal
7 / 3
Wet days / normal
2.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
46.7°
35.4°
+6.3°
22 November – 1 December
31.6°
30.5°
+0.6°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
29.6°
—
November records over 66 years
55.9°8 November 2006All-time high
-18.4°28 November 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Taos Ski Valley (10 mi).
Fri, 1357° / 34°0
57 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point19°
Sat, 1437° / 30°0.23
37 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 37°, low 30°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SW
Humidity92%
Visibility5.0 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 1544° / 30°0
44 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.3 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 1646° / 29°0
46 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 29°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 1746° / 32°0.03
46 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 32°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 1838° / 25°0.4
38 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 18 November
Snow. High 38°, low 25°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind18.3 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 1946° / 24°0
46 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 46°, low 24°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Fri, 2049° / 31°0
49 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 31°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 2144° / 32°0.09
44 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 21 November
Snow. High 44°, low 32°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.7 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2236° / 18°0.43
36 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 22 November
Snow. High 36°, low 18°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 2334° / 15°0.06
34 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 23 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 15°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2437° / 14°0
37 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 37°, low 14°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Wed, 2538° / 20°0
38 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 20°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Thu, 2634° / 11°1.2
34 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 26 November
Snow. High 34°, low 11°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind17 mph E
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2710° / -5°0.35
10 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 27 November
Snow. High 10°, low -5°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point5°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2829° / 11°0.03
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high45° (1999)
Record low-18° (1976)
Sun, 2929° / 11°0.06
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high49° (2021)
Record low-15° (1976)
Mon, 3029° / 10°0.02
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1995)
Record low-10° (2006)
Tue, 0130° / 11°0.05
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high49° (2021)
Record low-5° (2015)
Wed, 0231° / 12°0.02
31 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high50° (2021)
Record low-4° (2018)
Thu, 0330° / 12°0.04
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high46° (2021)
Record low-5° (2018)
Fri, 0431° / 13°0.04
31 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high46° (1989)
Record low-10° (2009)
Sat, 0530° / 12°0.03
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high46° (1989)
Record low-8° (1964)
Sun, 0630° / 11°0.03
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high44° (2008)
Record low-13° (1983)
Mon, 0729° / 11°0.03
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high47° (1981)
Record low-11° (1978)
Tue, 0829° / 11°0.05
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high47° (1981)
Record low-17° (1978)
Wed, 0928° / 10°0.03
28 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1981)
Record low-19° (1978)
Thu, 1029° / 8°0.03
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high43° (1981)
Record low-13° (2013)
Fri, 1129° / 10°0.04
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high45° (2025)
Record low-12° (2021)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arroyo Seco, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arroyo Seco, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.