Monthly outlook for Arroyo Seco, NM: average high 42.6°, average low 26.1°. That is 4.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (62.7°), the coolest 24 November (14.4°).
42.6°/26.1°
Average high / low
+4.3°
Above normal
7 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 November – 19 November
48.1°
35.9°
+6.8°
20 November – 29 November
33.3°
31.6°
+1°
30 November – 9 December
at normal
29.7°
—
November records over 66 years
55.9°8 November 2006All-time high
-18.4°28 November 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Taos Ski Valley (10 mi).
Wed, 1163° / 31°0
63 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 31°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.2 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Thu, 1253° / 34°0
53 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Fri, 1349° / 34°0
49 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point20°
Sat, 1441° / 31°0.35
41 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 41°, low 31°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind6.9 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 1542° / 30°0.06
42 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 42°, low 30°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1646° / 29°0
46 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 29°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1747° / 30°0
47 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1841° / 29°0.3
41 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 18 November
Snow. High 41°, low 29°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1942° / 26°0
42 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 42°, low 26°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.5 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Fri, 2035° / 21°0.44
35 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 20 November
Snow. High 35°, low 21°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14.6 mph SW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 2130° / 15°0.09
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 21 November
Light snow. High 30°, low 15°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 2229° / 19°0.1
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 22 November
Light snow. High 29°, low 19°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.9 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 2333° / 15°0
33 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 23 November
Light snow. High 33°, low 15°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.2 mph E
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2437° / 14°0
37 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 37°, low 14°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.5 mph E
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Wed, 2536° / 28°0.1
36 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 25 November
Light snow. High 36°, low 28°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2630° / 12°0.04
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high50° (2017)
Record low-16° (1975)
Fri, 2728° / 11°0.06
28 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high44° (2017)
Record low-10° (2019)
Sat, 2829° / 11°0.03
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high45° (1999)
Record low-18° (1976)
Sun, 2929° / 11°0.06
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high49° (2021)
Record low-15° (1976)
Mon, 3029° / 10°0.02
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1995)
Record low-10° (2006)
Tue, 0130° / 11°0.05
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high49° (2021)
Record low-5° (2015)
Wed, 0231° / 12°0.02
31 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high50° (2021)
Record low-4° (2018)
Thu, 0330° / 12°0.04
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high46° (2021)
Record low-5° (2018)
Fri, 0431° / 13°0.04
31 °
Arroyo Seco, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high46° (1989)
Record low-10° (2009)
Sat, 0530° / 12°0.03
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high46° (1989)
Record low-8° (1964)
Sun, 0630° / 11°0.03
30 °
Arroyo Seco, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high44° (2008)
Record low-13° (1983)
Mon, 0729° / 11°0.03
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high47° (1981)
Record low-11° (1978)
Tue, 0829° / 11°0.05
29 °
Arroyo Seco, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high47° (1981)
Record low-17° (1978)
Wed, 0928° / 10°0.03
28 °
Arroyo Seco, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1981)
Record low-19° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arroyo Seco, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arroyo Seco, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.