Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, CA: average high 65.5°, average low 49.9°. That is 2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (70.1°), the coolest 2 November (45.7°).
65.5°/49.9°
Average high / low
−2°
Below normal
6 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
29 October – 7 November
67.2°
70.6°
-1.9°
8 November – 17 November
62.6°
65.9°
-1.8°
18 November – 27 November
at normal
61.6°
—
October records over 66 years
106.5°3 October 2024All-time high
37.9°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Merced (3 mi).
Fri, 3068° / 52°0.19
68 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind2.6 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sat, 3168° / 48°0.24
68 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 68°, low 48°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sun, 0165° / 51°0.19
65 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 65°, low 51°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Mon, 0265° / 46°0
65 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind0.9 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 0370° / 47°0
70 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 70°, low 47°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3.1 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 0469° / 51°0
69 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 0567° / 52°0.04
67 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 0665° / 47°0
65 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.8 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 0766° / 47°0
66 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 66°, low 47°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 0865° / 52°0
65 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.7 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0967° / 51°0.02
67 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.3 mph SE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1058° / 55°0.59
58 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 58°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind24.9 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 1167° / 52°0
67 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.7 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 1258° / 50°0.13
58 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 1361° / 48°0.01
61 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 1466° / 46°0.09
66 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high76° (1995)
Record low32° (1985)
Sun, 1565° / 45°0.04
65 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high77° (2007)
Record low31° (1964)
Mon, 1665° / 46°0.09
65 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (2008)
Record low31° (1964)
Tue, 1764° / 46°0.12
64 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2008)
Record low33° (1961)
Wed, 1864° / 45°0.06
64 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high78° (2008)
Record low30° (1964)
Thu, 1963° / 44°0.06
63 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low30° (1994)
Fri, 2063° / 44°0.09
63 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1995)
Record low32° (1994)
Sat, 2162° / 44°0.09
62 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high74° (2005)
Record low33° (1964)
Sun, 2262° / 44°0.06
62 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2005)
Record low32° (2022)
Mon, 2362° / 43°0.05
62 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low34° (1994)
Tue, 2462° / 43°0.07
62 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (1995)
Record low35° (1972)
Wed, 2561° / 42°0.04
61 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high75° (2017)
Record low30° (2010)
Thu, 2660° / 42°0.08
60 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (2017)
Record low32° (2010)
Fri, 2760° / 41°0.06
60 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (1986)
Record low33° (2015)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, CA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, CA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.