Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, CA: average high 60.5°, average low 44.8°. That is 1.4° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 November (75.5°), the coolest 22 November (38.9°).
60.5°/44.8°
Average high / low
−1.4°
Below normal
5 / 3
Wet days / normal
2.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
61.4°
64.3°
-1.6°
22 November – 1 December
58.9°
60.1°
-0.7°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
58.3°
—
November records over 66 years
86°5 November 2010All-time high
30°19 November 1994All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Merced (3 mi).
Fri, 1365° / 48°0.44
65 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind16.3 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility2.0 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 1464° / 40°0
64 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind3.6 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Sun, 1566° / 46°0
66 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Mon, 1661° / 47°0.29
61 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Rain. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Tue, 1758° / 43°0
58 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 1858° / 45°0.79
58 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind22.9 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 1958° / 48°0.82
58 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Heavy rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.8 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2054° / 45°0.15
54 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 2154° / 40°0
54 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2254° / 39°0
54 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 2356° / 41°0
56 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2456° / 43°0
56 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 2559° / 43°0
59 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2667° / 50°0
67 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 2761° / 48°0
61 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2859° / 41°0.07
59 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (2014)
Record low31° (2015)
Sun, 2959° / 41°0.09
59 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (2013)
Record low30° (2010)
Mon, 3059° / 41°0.08
59 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1995)
Record low31° (2015)
Tue, 0159° / 41°0.11
59 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (1995)
Record low33° (1991)
Wed, 0259° / 41°0.13
59 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (2013)
Record low32° (2004)
Thu, 0359° / 41°0.08
59 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1979)
Record low32° (2004)
Fri, 0459° / 41°0.08
59 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low29° (2004)
Sat, 0559° / 42°0.09
59 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low28° (2013)
Sun, 0659° / 42°0.06
59 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high68° (2014)
Record low29° (2013)
Mon, 0758° / 42°0.09
58 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (1979)
Record low29° (1960)
Tue, 0857° / 40°0.05
57 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (2006)
Record low27° (1978)
Wed, 0957° / 40°0.04
57 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low23° (1972)
Thu, 1057° / 40°0.09
57 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1995)
Record low27° (1972)
Fri, 1157° / 40°0.12
57 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (1962)
Record low24° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, CA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, CA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.