Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, CA: average high 69.2°, average low 52.7°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 3.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 November (77.6°), the coolest 5 November (47.6°).
69.2°/52.7°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
4 / 3
Wet days / normal
3.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
71.6°
69.3°
+1.3°
11 November – 20 November
65.1°
64.8°
+0.2°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
60.4°
—
November records over 66 years
86°5 November 2010All-time high
30°19 November 1994All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Merced (3 mi).
Mon, 0269° / 50°0
69 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind1.6 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 0369° / 51°0.01
69 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.3 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Wed, 0467° / 50°0
67 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Thu, 0569° / 48°0
69 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind2.6 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 0670° / 48°0
70 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 0776° / 55°0
76 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind2.9 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 0875° / 57°0
75 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 75°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 0978° / 58°0
78 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 78°, low 58°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1077° / 57°0
77 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 77°, low 57°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1176° / 57°0
76 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 76°, low 57°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.3 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 1269° / 58°1.01
69 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Heavy rain. High 69°, low 58°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 1364° / 52°0.22
64 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind22.5 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 1460° / 53°1.84
60 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 53°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind30.9 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sun, 1561° / 50°0.47
61 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 50°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 1660° / 49°0.01
60 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1764° / 46°0.12
64 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2008)
Record low33° (1961)
Wed, 1864° / 45°0.06
64 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high78° (2008)
Record low30° (1964)
Thu, 1963° / 44°0.06
63 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low30° (1994)
Fri, 2063° / 44°0.09
63 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1995)
Record low32° (1994)
Sat, 2162° / 44°0.09
62 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high74° (2005)
Record low33° (1964)
Sun, 2262° / 44°0.06
62 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2005)
Record low32° (2022)
Mon, 2362° / 43°0.05
62 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low34° (1994)
Tue, 2462° / 43°0.07
62 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (1995)
Record low35° (1972)
Wed, 2561° / 42°0.04
61 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high75° (2017)
Record low30° (2010)
Thu, 2660° / 42°0.08
60 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (2017)
Record low32° (2010)
Fri, 2760° / 41°0.06
60 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (1986)
Record low33° (2015)
Sat, 2859° / 41°0.07
59 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (2014)
Record low31° (2015)
Sun, 2959° / 41°0.09
59 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (2013)
Record low30° (2010)
Mon, 3059° / 41°0.08
59 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1995)
Record low31° (2015)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, CA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, CA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.