Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, CA: average high 68.1°, average low 51.7°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (75.9°), the coolest 2 November (44.7°).
68.1°/51.7°
Average high / low
−0.3°
Below normal
5 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
68.1°
70.2°
-1.1°
9 November – 18 November
68.1°
65.5°
+1.5°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
61.2°
—
October records over 66 years
106.5°3 October 2024All-time high
37.9°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Merced (3 mi).
Sat, 3165° / 52°0.68
65 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 65°, low 52°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sun, 0164° / 49°0.03
64 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 49°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Mon, 0264° / 45°0
64 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind1.6 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Tue, 0368° / 47°0.01
68 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind1.6 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Wed, 0464° / 49°0
64 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 64°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 0572° / 49°0
72 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 72°, low 49°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0670° / 54°0
70 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.3 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 0770° / 49°0
70 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 70°, low 49°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 0873° / 54°0
73 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.1 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 0974° / 57°0
74 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 74°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.3 mph E
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1076° / 58°0.07
76 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 58°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.7 mph S
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1163° / 55°0.26
63 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 55°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.6 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 1265° / 49°0
65 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 1368° / 53°0
68 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.3 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 1462° / 53°0.67
62 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 62°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1565° / 45°0.04
65 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high77° (2007)
Record low31° (1964)
Mon, 1665° / 46°0.09
65 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (2008)
Record low31° (1964)
Tue, 1764° / 46°0.12
64 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2008)
Record low33° (1961)
Wed, 1864° / 45°0.06
64 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high78° (2008)
Record low30° (1964)
Thu, 1963° / 44°0.06
63 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low30° (1994)
Fri, 2063° / 44°0.09
63 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1995)
Record low32° (1994)
Sat, 2162° / 44°0.09
62 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high74° (2005)
Record low33° (1964)
Sun, 2262° / 44°0.06
62 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2005)
Record low32° (2022)
Mon, 2362° / 43°0.05
62 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low34° (1994)
Tue, 2462° / 43°0.07
62 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (1995)
Record low35° (1972)
Wed, 2561° / 42°0.04
61 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high75° (2017)
Record low30° (2010)
Thu, 2660° / 42°0.08
60 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (2017)
Record low32° (2010)
Fri, 2760° / 41°0.06
60 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (1986)
Record low33° (2015)
Sat, 2859° / 41°0.07
59 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (2014)
Record low31° (2015)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, CA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, CA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.