Monthly outlook for Lutsen, MN: average high 52.1°, average low 40.2°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (60.6°), the coolest 17 October (33.6°).
52.1°/40.2°
Average high / low
+1.3°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
52.8°
50.8°
+1.1°
22 October – 31 October
51°
47.4°
+2°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
42.3°
—
October records over 66 years
74.3°2 October 2023All-time high
20.8°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tofte (10 mi).
Tue, 1350° / 42°0.09
50 °
Lutsen, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 50°, low 42°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.4 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Wed, 1450° / 37°0
50 °
Lutsen, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 1550° / 37°0.01
50 °
Lutsen, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 1647° / 38°0.01
47 °
Lutsen, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 38°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind23.6 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 1753° / 34°0
53 °
Lutsen, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.7 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1857° / 39°0
57 °
Lutsen, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1961° / 45°0
61 °
Lutsen, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2049° / 43°0
49 °
Lutsen, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 49°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind15.7 mph E
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 2156° / 44°0.01
56 °
Lutsen, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.2 mph E
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 2256° / 48°0.68
56 °
Lutsen, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SW
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 2347° / 37°0
47 °
Lutsen, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind16.6 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 2447° / 36°0.17
47 °
Lutsen, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 47°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 2551° / 43°0.35
51 °
Lutsen, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9 mph NE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 2652° / 38°0
52 °
Lutsen, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.1 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2753° / 43°0
53 °
Lutsen, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.7 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2846° / 39°0.06
46 °
Lutsen, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high58° (1974)
Record low28° (1980)
Thu, 2946° / 39°0.09
46 °
Lutsen, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high59° (2024)
Record low25° (2023)
Fri, 3047° / 39°0.09
47 °
Lutsen, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high58° (1971)
Record low23° (2023)
Sat, 3146° / 38°0.07
46 °
Lutsen, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high58° (1971)
Record low21° (1996)
Sun, 0144° / 38°0.09
44 °
Lutsen, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high59° (1990)
Record low19° (1984)
Mon, 0244° / 37°0.07
44 °
Lutsen, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high58° (2022)
Record low17° (1984)
Tue, 0344° / 36°0.05
44 °
Lutsen, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high60° (1978)
Record low20° (1991)
Wed, 0443° / 36°0.07
43 °
Lutsen, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high59° (1975)
Record low19° (1991)
Thu, 0543° / 36°0.05
43 °
Lutsen, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high57° (1975)
Record low20° (2019)
Fri, 0643° / 35°0.07
43 °
Lutsen, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high61° (2020)
Record low13° (1991)
Sat, 0742° / 35°0.06
42 °
Lutsen, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high57° (2016)
Record low11° (1991)
Sun, 0842° / 34°0.06
42 °
Lutsen, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high55° (1964)
Record low17° (1991)
Mon, 0941° / 34°0.09
41 °
Lutsen, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (1999)
Record low11° (2017)
Tue, 1039° / 32°0.09
39 °
Lutsen, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high57° (2016)
Record low11° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lutsen, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lutsen, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.