Monthly outlook for Warsaw, MN: average high 60.6°, average low 44.4°. That is 2.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (86.9°), the coolest 17 October (26.5°).
60.6°/44.4°
Average high / low
+2.5°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
63°
57.3°
+3.2°
21 October – 30 October
56.7°
53.5°
+1.7°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
47.8°
—
October records over 66 years
88.9°3 October 2025All-time high
16°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Medford (9 mi).
Mon, 1284° / 63°0
84 °
Warsaw, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 84°, low 63°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Tue, 1364° / 56°0
64 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 13 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 56°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Wed, 1460° / 50°0
60 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.8 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 1560° / 49°0.07
60 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 1656° / 40°0
56 °
Warsaw, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind17.8 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 1741° / 26°0
41 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 41°, low 26°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind16.2 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Sun, 1850° / 28°0
50 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 28°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind20 mph S
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Mon, 1962° / 39°0
62 °
Warsaw, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 39°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.3 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2067° / 45°0
67 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.1 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 2164° / 49°0
64 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.8 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 2258° / 42°0
58 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2366° / 46°0.27
66 °
Warsaw, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind24.1 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 2449° / 39°0
49 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind21.5 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 2551° / 35°0
51 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 2652° / 37°0
52 °
Warsaw, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.5 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2753° / 39°0.08
53 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low16° (2020)
Wed, 2851° / 37°0.07
51 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (2016)
Record low22° (1967)
Thu, 2952° / 37°0.07
52 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low22° (1988)
Fri, 3052° / 38°0.06
52 °
Warsaw, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low20° (1988)
Sat, 3150° / 37°0.11
50 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2000)
Record low20° (1996)
Sun, 0149° / 36°0.1
49 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2000)
Record low21° (1996)
Mon, 0249° / 35°0.07
49 °
Warsaw, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low13° (1991)
Tue, 0348° / 34°0.06
48 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (2008)
Record low8° (1991)
Wed, 0448° / 33°0.04
48 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2008)
Record low-7° (1991)
Thu, 0548° / 34°0.07
48 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2016)
Record low10° (1991)
Fri, 0647° / 34°0.07
47 °
Warsaw, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low-1° (1991)
Sat, 0747° / 33°0.02
47 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low-15° (1991)
Sun, 0847° / 33°0.03
47 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (1999)
Record low-2° (1991)
Mon, 0946° / 32°0.13
46 °
Warsaw, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low15° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warsaw, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warsaw, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.