Monthly outlook for Conway, MI: average high 55.2°, average low 41.5°. That is 1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 October (72.1°), the coolest 18 October (27°).
55.2°/41.5°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
3 / 8
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
57.5°
54.5°
+1.6°
21 October – 30 October
51.4°
51°
+0.2°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
47°
—
October records over 66 years
82°3 October 2023All-time high
25.7°30 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Harbor Springs (6 mi).
Mon, 1272° / 59°0
72 °
Conway, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 59°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Tue, 1366° / 55°0.11
66 °
Conway, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind11.3 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 1455° / 51°0.03
55 °
Conway, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 1555° / 46°0
55 °
Conway, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1655° / 33°0.22
55 °
Conway, Friday, 16 October
Snow. High 55°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind23.7 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 1738° / 28°0.09
38 °
Conway, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 38°, low 28°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind13.6 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sun, 1845° / 27°0
45 °
Conway, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 27°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 1956° / 38°0
56 °
Conway, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind14.1 mph SW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2060° / 42°0
60 °
Conway, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 2162° / 47°0
62 °
Conway, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.7 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2256° / 43°0.02
56 °
Conway, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.1 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 2343° / 37°0
43 °
Conway, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 43°, low 37°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 2447° / 35°0
47 °
Conway, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 2546° / 34°0.02
46 °
Conway, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.4 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 2654° / 32°0
54 °
Conway, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 32°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2751° / 42°0.12
51 °
Conway, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low30° (1976)
Wed, 2849° / 41°0.08
49 °
Conway, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high62° (1984)
Record low31° (1965)
Thu, 2949° / 41°0.06
49 °
Conway, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low31° (1978)
Fri, 3050° / 41°0.1
50 °
Conway, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2024)
Record low26° (2020)
Sat, 3150° / 41°0.11
50 °
Conway, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high63° (1971)
Record low28° (2020)
Sun, 0149° / 41°0.16
49 °
Conway, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low30° (2023)
Mon, 0248° / 40°0.18
48 °
Conway, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low28° (1984)
Tue, 0347° / 39°0.11
47 °
Conway, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low26° (1991)
Wed, 0447° / 40°0.14
47 °
Conway, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high66° (2022)
Record low27° (1991)
Thu, 0547° / 39°0.15
47 °
Conway, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (2015)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0647° / 38°0.13
47 °
Conway, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high65° (2008)
Record low24° (1991)
Sat, 0746° / 38°0.09
46 °
Conway, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low23° (1991)
Sun, 0846° / 37°0.1
46 °
Conway, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low22° (2019)
Mon, 0945° / 37°0.13
45 °
Conway, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low18° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conway, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conway, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.