Monthly outlook for Carp Lake, MI: average high 49.5°, average low 41.5°. That is 4.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (66.2°), the coolest 16 November (31.2°).
49.5°/41.5°
Average high / low
+4.1°
Above normal
7 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
53°
43.5°
+5.3°
12 November – 21 November
43.7°
39.8°
+2.2°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
36.6°
—
November records over 66 years
59.4°3 November 1961All-time high
11.1°24 November 2005All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mackinac Island (13 mi).
Tue, 0366° / 48°0.46
66 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.6 mph SW
Humidity90%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Wed, 0465° / 54°0.5
65 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 54°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility2.9 mi
Dew point59°
Thu, 0555° / 51°0.28
55 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 51°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind8.8 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility5.6 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 0652° / 46°0.12
52 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NE
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sat, 0749° / 46°0
49 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 0846° / 38°0.04
46 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0944° / 35°0
44 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 1044° / 40°0.05
44 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind20.4 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1145° / 41°0.02
45 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind18 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1240° / 37°0.04
40 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 40°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind18.8 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 1347° / 40°0
47 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind22.5 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 1443° / 37°0.02
43 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 43°, low 37°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind24.7 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 1542° / 37°0
42 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1643° / 31°0
43 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.9 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 1747° / 33°0
47 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 47°, low 33°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1840° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high55° (2016)
Record low20° (1980)
Thu, 1940° / 34°0.09
40 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high55° (2016)
Record low22° (2014)
Fri, 2039° / 33°0.11
39 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high51° (1982)
Record low15° (2018)
Sat, 2138° / 31°0.11
38 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high52° (1982)
Record low13° (2018)
Sun, 2237° / 32°0.05
37 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high53° (1963)
Record low15° (2018)
Mon, 2339° / 32°0.11
39 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high52° (1963)
Record low19° (2013)
Tue, 2438° / 31°0.08
38 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high50° (1999)
Record low11° (2005)
Wed, 2537° / 32°0.08
37 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high51° (2001)
Record low16° (1975)
Thu, 2637° / 31°0.12
37 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high47° (1979)
Record low17° (1977)
Fri, 2736° / 30°0.17
36 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high49° (1990)
Record low19° (2014)
Sat, 2836° / 30°0.11
36 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high51° (1990)
Record low15° (1995)
Sun, 2936° / 30°0.07
36 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high50° (1998)
Record low15° (1976)
Mon, 3036° / 29°0.11
36 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high52° (1998)
Record low14° (1964)
Tue, 0134° / 28°0.11
34 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high49° (1970)
Record low13° (1966)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carp Lake, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carp Lake, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.