Monthly outlook for Carp Lake, MI: average high 52.8°, average low 42.9°. That is 3.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (64.3°), the coolest 28 October (34.5°).
52.8°/42.9°
Average high / low
+3.1°
Above normal
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
53.7°
48.1°
+3.1°
31 October – 9 November
51.2°
44.6°
+3.7°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
40.4°
—
October records over 66 years
74.1°8 October 2007All-time high
23.9°30 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mackinac Island (13 mi).
Thu, 2258° / 37°0
58 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.1 mph NE
Humidity93%
Visibility6.1 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 2358° / 45°0
58 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.1 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Sat, 2463° / 49°0
63 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Sun, 2559° / 50°0.13
59 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 2652° / 44°0.28
52 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 52°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2743° / 38°0
43 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 43°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 2849° / 34°0
49 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2949° / 39°0.44
49 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Snow. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind27 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 3041° / 38°0.07
41 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 30 October
Snow. High 41°, low 38°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind17.2 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 3148° / 36°0
48 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13.2 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 0145° / 41°0.03
45 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0248° / 45°0.02
48 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.6 mph E
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 0351° / 48°0
51 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.9 mph E
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 0453° / 50°0
53 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 50°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.1 mph E
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 0563° / 53°0.47
63 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 63°, low 53°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind19.8 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0644° / 38°0.11
44 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high56° (2015)
Record low23° (1991)
Sat, 0743° / 38°0.06
43 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high56° (2016)
Record low22° (1991)
Sun, 0843° / 37°0.07
43 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low22° (1976)
Mon, 0943° / 37°0.11
43 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low19° (2017)
Tue, 1042° / 36°0.13
42 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low12° (2017)
Wed, 1141° / 35°0.09
41 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high56° (2022)
Record low19° (2019)
Thu, 1240° / 34°0.09
40 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high54° (2012)
Record low15° (2019)
Fri, 1340° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high53° (2005)
Record low18° (1986)
Sat, 1440° / 35°0.04
40 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high53° (1994)
Record low19° (2018)
Sun, 1540° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high51° (1960)
Record low18° (1967)
Mon, 1640° / 34°0.07
40 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high53° (1988)
Record low20° (2019)
Tue, 1740° / 35°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high54° (1987)
Record low22° (2018)
Wed, 1840° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high55° (2016)
Record low20° (1980)
Thu, 1940° / 34°0.09
40 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high55° (2016)
Record low22° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carp Lake, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carp Lake, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.