Monthly outlook for Carp Lake, MI: average high 54.1°, average low 46.2°. That is 4.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 3.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (63.8°), the coolest 26 October (41.2°).
54.1°/46.2°
Average high / low
+4.4°
Above normal
8 / 6
Wet days / normal
3.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
56.1°
47.3°
+4.9°
3 November – 12 November
50.7°
43°
+4.3°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
39.5°
—
October records over 66 years
74.1°8 October 2007All-time high
23.9°30 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mackinac Island (13 mi).
Sun, 2558° / 44°0.05
58 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.6 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Mon, 2650° / 41°0
50 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.2 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Tue, 2750° / 43°0
50 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind12 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Wed, 2863° / 46°0.04
63 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.7 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Thu, 2953° / 47°0
53 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.5 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 3051° / 45°0
51 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.3 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 3158° / 48°0.27
58 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.9 mph E
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0158° / 55°0.3
58 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 55°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind18.5 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 0255° / 52°0.67
55 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 55°, low 52°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind16.2 mph NE
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Tue, 0354° / 46°1.6
54 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind22.4 mph NE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 0448° / 44°0.43
48 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind21.2 mph NE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 0548° / 44°0
48 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.1 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0650° / 46°0
50 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.8 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 0752° / 47°0.06
52 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0852° / 46°0
52 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.1 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0943° / 37°0.11
43 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low19° (2017)
Tue, 1042° / 36°0.13
42 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low12° (2017)
Wed, 1141° / 35°0.09
41 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high56° (2022)
Record low19° (2019)
Thu, 1240° / 34°0.09
40 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high54° (2012)
Record low15° (2019)
Fri, 1340° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high53° (2005)
Record low18° (1986)
Sat, 1440° / 35°0.04
40 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high53° (1994)
Record low19° (2018)
Sun, 1540° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high51° (1960)
Record low18° (1967)
Mon, 1640° / 34°0.07
40 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high53° (1988)
Record low20° (2019)
Tue, 1740° / 35°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high54° (1987)
Record low22° (2018)
Wed, 1840° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high55° (2016)
Record low20° (1980)
Thu, 1940° / 34°0.09
40 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high55° (2016)
Record low22° (2014)
Fri, 2039° / 33°0.11
39 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high51° (1982)
Record low15° (2018)
Sat, 2138° / 31°0.11
38 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high52° (1982)
Record low13° (2018)
Sun, 2237° / 32°0.05
37 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high53° (1963)
Record low15° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carp Lake, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carp Lake, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.