Monthly outlook for Carp Lake, MI: average high 50.9°, average low 40.4°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (64.1°), the coolest 30 October (34.3°).
50.9°/40.4°
Average high / low
+1.9°
Above normal
7 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
52.8°
48.4°
+2.5°
30 October – 8 November
47.8°
45°
+1.6°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
40.6°
—
October records over 66 years
74.1°8 October 2007All-time high
23.9°30 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mackinac Island (13 mi).
Wed, 2164° / 42°0
64 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Thu, 2255° / 43°0
55 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NE
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Fri, 2358° / 43°0
58 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7.1 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sat, 2461° / 47°0
61 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sun, 2558° / 47°0.11
58 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 47°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind17.9 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 2646° / 35°1
46 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.7 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2739° / 35°0.13
39 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Snow. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind18.1 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2843° / 36°0.01
43 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Light snow. High 43°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind19.2 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 2944° / 38°0.08
44 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Snow. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind19.3 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 3039° / 34°0.08
39 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 30 October
Light snow. High 39°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 3148° / 39°0.11
48 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind25.3 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 0146° / 40°0.01
46 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind17.8 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 0249° / 40°0
49 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.2 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 0356° / 40°0
56 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 0449° / 49°0.39
49 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 49°, low 49°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.7 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0544° / 39°0.15
44 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high57° (2015)
Record low27° (1962)
Fri, 0644° / 38°0.11
44 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high56° (2015)
Record low23° (1991)
Sat, 0743° / 38°0.06
43 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high56° (2016)
Record low22° (1991)
Sun, 0843° / 37°0.07
43 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low22° (1976)
Mon, 0943° / 37°0.11
43 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low19° (2017)
Tue, 1042° / 36°0.13
42 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low12° (2017)
Wed, 1141° / 35°0.09
41 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high56° (2022)
Record low19° (2019)
Thu, 1240° / 34°0.09
40 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high54° (2012)
Record low15° (2019)
Fri, 1340° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high53° (2005)
Record low18° (1986)
Sat, 1440° / 35°0.04
40 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high53° (1994)
Record low19° (2018)
Sun, 1540° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high51° (1960)
Record low18° (1967)
Mon, 1640° / 34°0.07
40 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high53° (1988)
Record low20° (2019)
Tue, 1740° / 35°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high54° (1987)
Record low22° (2018)
Wed, 1840° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high55° (2016)
Record low20° (1980)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carp Lake, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carp Lake, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.