Monthly outlook for Carp Lake, MI: average high 53.3°, average low 43.1°. That is 5.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (68°), the coolest 14 November (34.4°).
53.3°/43.1°
Average high / low
+5.7°
Above normal
6 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
57.1°
44.6°
+6.9°
10 November – 19 November
46.9°
40.4°
+3.7°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
37.3°
—
October records over 66 years
74.1°8 October 2007All-time high
23.9°30 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mackinac Island (13 mi).
Sun, 0161° / 40°0
61 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Mon, 0263° / 45°0.06
63 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind1.8 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Tue, 0362° / 54°0.5
62 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Wed, 0468° / 60°0.19
68 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 60°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind13.1 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Thu, 0561° / 46°1.28
61 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind20.9 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 0645° / 43°0
45 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind18.4 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 0749° / 43°0
49 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0855° / 45°0.09
55 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 0951° / 46°0
51 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1055° / 43°0
55 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind15.9 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 1147° / 42°0.05
47 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind21.6 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1242° / 38°0.03
42 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 42°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.6 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 1341° / 35°0
41 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 35°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 1445° / 34°0
45 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 34°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1552° / 42°0
52 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.2 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1640° / 34°0.07
40 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high53° (1988)
Record low20° (2019)
Tue, 1740° / 35°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high54° (1987)
Record low22° (2018)
Wed, 1840° / 34°0.08
40 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high55° (2016)
Record low20° (1980)
Thu, 1940° / 34°0.09
40 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high55° (2016)
Record low22° (2014)
Fri, 2039° / 33°0.11
39 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high51° (1982)
Record low15° (2018)
Sat, 2138° / 31°0.11
38 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high52° (1982)
Record low13° (2018)
Sun, 2237° / 32°0.05
37 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high53° (1963)
Record low15° (2018)
Mon, 2339° / 32°0.11
39 °
Carp Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high52° (1963)
Record low19° (2013)
Tue, 2438° / 31°0.08
38 °
Carp Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high50° (1999)
Record low11° (2005)
Wed, 2537° / 32°0.08
37 °
Carp Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high51° (2001)
Record low16° (1975)
Thu, 2637° / 31°0.12
37 °
Carp Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high47° (1979)
Record low17° (1977)
Fri, 2736° / 30°0.17
36 °
Carp Lake, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high49° (1990)
Record low19° (2014)
Sat, 2836° / 30°0.11
36 °
Carp Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high51° (1990)
Record low15° (1995)
Sun, 2936° / 30°0.07
36 °
Carp Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high50° (1998)
Record low15° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carp Lake, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carp Lake, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.