Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, FL: average high 74°, average low 54.8°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (83.7°), the coolest 20 October (47.4°).
74°/54.8°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
1 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
74.2°
76.1°
-1.1°
26 October – 4 November
73.7°
73.3°
+0.2°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
69.5°
—
October records over 66 years
96.8°3 October 2019All-time high
36°21 October 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Jay (3 mi).
Sat, 1769° / 55°0
69 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 69°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.2 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sun, 1870° / 51°0
70 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 70°, low 51°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NE
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 1972° / 52°0
72 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Tue, 2074° / 47°0
74 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 74°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 2176° / 50°0
76 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 76°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 2274° / 50°0
74 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 74°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 2375° / 50°0
75 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 75°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2473° / 56°0
73 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 56°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 2576° / 54°0
76 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 76°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 2666° / 60°0.03
66 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 2775° / 63°0
75 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 63°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.1 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 2870° / 62°0.17
70 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 62°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.5 mph E
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Thu, 2980° / 59°0
80 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 80°, low 59°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 3074° / 51°0
74 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 74°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.2 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 3176° / 53°0
76 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 76°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0173° / 56°0.14
73 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high86° (2016)
Record low32° (1993)
Mon, 0272° / 55°0.09
72 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high84° (2016)
Record low36° (1993)
Tue, 0372° / 54°0.14
72 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low31° (1966)
Wed, 0471° / 53°0.14
71 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low32° (1966)
Thu, 0570° / 54°0.1
70 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (1961)
Record low31° (1991)
Fri, 0671° / 53°0.05
71 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high84° (2022)
Record low33° (1991)
Sat, 0771° / 53°0.08
71 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high84° (2024)
Record low35° (1967)
Sun, 0871° / 53°0.13
71 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high84° (2022)
Record low37° (1967)
Mon, 0970° / 53°0.15
70 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low33° (1976)
Tue, 1070° / 53°0.09
70 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high83° (2020)
Record low36° (1991)
Wed, 1169° / 52°0.18
69 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high82° (2020)
Record low29° (2025)
Thu, 1269° / 51°0.18
69 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2003)
Record low36° (2019)
Fri, 1367° / 49°0.06
67 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low27° (2019)
Sat, 1467° / 49°0.07
67 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (1993)
Record low35° (1963)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.