Monthly outlook for Velarde, NM: average high 69.8°, average low 47.1°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.0 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (76.6°), the coolest 17 October (40.9°).
69.8°/47.1°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
0 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
70.3°
67.7°
+1.4°
20 October – 29 October
68.9°
63°
+3.3°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
58.7°
—
October records over 66 years
85.3°1 October 1980All-time high
0.3°22 October 1996All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — El Valle de Arroyo Seco (15 mi).
Sun, 1177° / 52°0.02
77 °
Velarde, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 52°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Mon, 1274° / 50°0
74 °
Velarde, Monday, 12 October
Mostly clear. High 74°, low 50°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 1372° / 52°0
72 °
Velarde, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind17.7 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 1473° / 47°0
73 °
Velarde, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 73°, low 47°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SW
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 1571° / 41°0
71 °
Velarde, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 71°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.9 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 1663° / 46°0
63 °
Velarde, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind19.4 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 1761° / 41°0
61 °
Velarde, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1867° / 43°0
67 °
Velarde, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 67°, low 43°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1968° / 48°0
68 °
Velarde, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2069° / 52°0
69 °
Velarde, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 52°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind22.7 mph NW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2164° / 44°0
64 °
Velarde, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 2268° / 44°0
68 °
Velarde, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 68°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 2370° / 46°0
70 °
Velarde, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 70°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 2471° / 48°0
71 °
Velarde, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NW
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 2571° / 48°0
71 °
Velarde, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2662° / 38°0.04
62 °
Velarde, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1979)
Record low16° (1996)
Tue, 2761° / 37°0.06
61 °
Velarde, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high74° (2016)
Record low20° (2020)
Wed, 2861° / 37°0.03
61 °
Velarde, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low15° (2020)
Thu, 2961° / 37°0.02
61 °
Velarde, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (2016)
Record low23° (2020)
Fri, 3059° / 36°0.03
59 °
Velarde, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (2016)
Record low15° (1996)
Sat, 3159° / 35°0.04
59 °
Velarde, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (2016)
Record low19° (1991)
Sun, 0158° / 35°0.02
58 °
Velarde, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high70° (2008)
Record low7° (1991)
Mon, 0259° / 34°0.03
59 °
Velarde, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high69° (2008)
Record low13° (1972)
Tue, 0359° / 34°0.03
59 °
Velarde, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high74° (2025)
Record low6° (1991)
Wed, 0458° / 35°0.05
58 °
Velarde, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (2023)
Record low13° (1991)
Thu, 0559° / 34°0.02
59 °
Velarde, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high72° (2023)
Record low23° (1990)
Fri, 0659° / 34°0.01
59 °
Velarde, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high75° (2023)
Record low24° (2013)
Sat, 0759° / 34°0.06
59 °
Velarde, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (2023)
Record low23° (1972)
Sun, 0858° / 34°0.03
58 °
Velarde, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low15° (1990)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Velarde, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Velarde, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.