Weather in Velarde, NM
Velarde, Friday, 16 October, 02:06
Clear. Feels like 39°. High 63°, low 39°.
Monthly outlook for Velarde, NM: average high 59.5°, average low 39.5°. That is 2.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (68.6°), the coolest 26 October (26.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 61.7° | 65.1° | -1.9° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 55.9° | 59.7° | -2.1° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 56.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — El Valle de Arroyo Seco (15 mi).
0
Velarde, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 68°, low 40°.
0
Velarde, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 34°.
0.01
Velarde, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 41°.
0.05Velarde, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 49°.
0.09Velarde, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 47°.
0.29Velarde, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 53°.
0.26Velarde, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 56°, low 44°.
0.01Velarde, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 38°.
1.52
Velarde, Sunday, 25 October
Snow. High 42°, low 30°.
0
Velarde, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 26°.
0Velarde, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 54°, low 34°.
0Velarde, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 55°, low 31°.
0
Velarde, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 40°.
0Velarde, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
0Velarde, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 59°, low 44°.
0.02Velarde, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Velarde, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Velarde, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Velarde, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Velarde, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Velarde, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Velarde, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Velarde, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Velarde, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Velarde, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Velarde, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Velarde, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Velarde, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Velarde, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Velarde, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Velarde, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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