Monthly outlook for Churchville, VA: average high 88.8°, average low 64.5°. That is 4° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 August (103.3°), the coolest 15 August (54.3°).
88.8°/64.5°
Average high / low
+4°
Above normal
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 August – 18 August
83.7°
82°
+0.9°
19 August – 28 August
97.2°
81.3°
+8.9°
29 August – 7 September
at normal
79.8°
—
August records over 66 years
96.8°17 August 1988All-time high
46°29 August 1986All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Staunton (7 mi).
Mon, 1091° / 70°0
91 °
Churchville, Monday, 10 August
Mostly clear. High 91°, low 70°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Tue, 1193° / 68°0.2
93 °
Churchville, Tuesday, 11 August
Rain. High 93°, low 68°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Wed, 1292° / 64°1.17
92 °
Churchville, Wednesday, 12 August
Heavy rain. High 92°, low 64°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SW
Humidity94%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Thu, 1385° / 63°0
85 °
Churchville, Thursday, 13 August
Overcast. High 85°, low 63°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Fri, 1469° / 59°0.04
69 °
Churchville, Friday, 14 August
Light rain. High 69°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sat, 1583° / 54°0
83 °
Churchville, Saturday, 15 August
Overcast. High 83°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 1673° / 54°0
73 °
Churchville, Sunday, 16 August
Overcast. High 73°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 1777° / 61°0.02
77 °
Churchville, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 77°, low 61°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Tue, 1883° / 59°0
83 °
Churchville, Tuesday, 18 August
Partly cloudy. High 83°, low 59°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SE
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 1987° / 62°0
87 °
Churchville, Wednesday, 19 August
Mostly clear. High 87°, low 62°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 2092° / 63°0
92 °
Churchville, Thursday, 20 August
Partly cloudy. High 92°, low 63°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.4 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 21101° / 70°0
101 °
Churchville, Friday, 21 August
Overcast. High 101°, low 70°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Sat, 2299° / 74°0
99 °
Churchville, Saturday, 22 August
Overcast. High 99°, low 74°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sun, 23100° / 71°0.24
100 °
Churchville, Sunday, 23 August
Rain. High 100°, low 71°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.1 mph W
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Mon, 24103° / 70°0.14
103 °
Churchville, Monday, 24 August
Light rain. High 103°, low 70°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.7 mph W
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2581° / 62°0.06
81 °
Churchville, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high96° (2023)
Record low53° (1986)
Wed, 2682° / 62°0.04
82 °
Churchville, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high92° (2024)
Record low53° (2025)
Thu, 2782° / 64°0.08
82 °
Churchville, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high91° (2016)
Record low49° (2025)
Fri, 2882° / 64°0.1
82 °
Churchville, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high94° (2024)
Record low50° (2025)
Sat, 2982° / 63°0.08
82 °
Churchville, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high91° (1973)
Record low46° (1986)
Sun, 3082° / 62°0.07
82 °
Churchville, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high91° (2010)
Record low49° (1965)
Mon, 3180° / 63°0.1
80 °
Churchville, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high92° (2012)
Record low50° (1986)
Tue, 0179° / 62°0.13
79 °
Churchville, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high91° (1973)
Record low51° (1967)
Wed, 0280° / 61°0.07
80 °
Churchville, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high90° (1993)
Record low48° (1967)
Thu, 0380° / 61°0.1
80 °
Churchville, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high93° (2023)
Record low48° (1967)
Fri, 0479° / 62°0.13
79 °
Churchville, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high96° (2023)
Record low49° (1967)
Sat, 0578° / 61°0.2
78 °
Churchville, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high95° (2023)
Record low46° (1997)
Sun, 0679° / 61°0.23
79 °
Churchville, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high95° (2023)
Record low48° (2024)
Mon, 0779° / 60°0.05
79 °
Churchville, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high91° (2023)
Record low47° (1988)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Churchville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Churchville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.