Monthly outlook for Bear Dance, MT: average high 53.8°, average low 39.7°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 October (70.1°), the coolest 16 October (29°).
53.8°/39.7°
Average high / low
+0.1°
Above normal
3 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
53.3°
54.6°
-0.7°
19 October – 28 October
54.7°
50.8°
+2.2°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
44.7°
—
October records over 66 years
80.8°1 October 1992All-time high
13.8°28 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Woods Bay (8 mi).
Sat, 1057° / 31°0.02
57 °
Bear Dance, Saturday, 10 October
Snow. High 57°, low 31°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind4 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 1146° / 44°0.07
46 °
Bear Dance, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Mon, 1250° / 43°0.05
50 °
Bear Dance, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind2.8 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Tue, 1355° / 45°0
55 °
Bear Dance, Tuesday, 13 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 1454° / 45°0.01
54 °
Bear Dance, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 1549° / 35°0.17
49 °
Bear Dance, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 1647° / 29°0
47 °
Bear Dance, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 47°, low 29°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 1752° / 37°0
52 °
Bear Dance, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 1854° / 39°0
54 °
Bear Dance, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.2 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 1956° / 40°0
56 °
Bear Dance, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2053° / 40°0
53 °
Bear Dance, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2153° / 41°0
53 °
Bear Dance, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.9 mph E
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2254° / 39°0
54 °
Bear Dance, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 2358° / 43°0
58 °
Bear Dance, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 2454° / 43°0
54 °
Bear Dance, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2550° / 40°0.07
50 °
Bear Dance, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high63° (2005)
Record low16° (2020)
Mon, 2649° / 39°0.13
49 °
Bear Dance, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1986)
Record low20° (2020)
Tue, 2748° / 38°0.13
48 °
Bear Dance, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high60° (1983)
Record low21° (1971)
Wed, 2847° / 38°0.12
47 °
Bear Dance, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (1974)
Record low14° (1971)
Thu, 2946° / 37°0.14
46 °
Bear Dance, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high60° (1987)
Record low14° (1991)
Fri, 3046° / 36°0.1
46 °
Bear Dance, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high62° (2008)
Record low15° (2002)
Sat, 3145° / 37°0.13
45 °
Bear Dance, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (2008)
Record low14° (2003)
Sun, 0145° / 36°0.12
45 °
Bear Dance, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low13° (1991)
Mon, 0245° / 36°0.14
45 °
Bear Dance, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high59° (1981)
Record low11° (1991)
Tue, 0345° / 37°0.11
45 °
Bear Dance, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low20° (1973)
Wed, 0445° / 37°0.15
45 °
Bear Dance, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high57° (2020)
Record low17° (1973)
Thu, 0544° / 36°0.13
44 °
Bear Dance, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low19° (1973)
Fri, 0643° / 35°0.15
43 °
Bear Dance, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high59° (2010)
Record low15° (1973)
Sat, 0743° / 35°0.16
43 °
Bear Dance, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high56° (1978)
Record low18° (2022)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Dance, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Dance, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.