Monthly outlook for Carefree, AZ: average high 76.8°, average low 63.9°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (86°), the coolest 23 October (57.5°).
76.8°/63.9°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
3 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
76.8°
79.1°
-1.3°
30 October – 8 November
76.8°
75.5°
+0.7°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
71.4°
—
October records over 66 years
106.2°1 October 2024All-time high
32.4°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Scottsdale (10 mi).
Wed, 2182° / 66°0.19
82 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 66°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.5 mph E
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Thu, 2271° / 62°0.61
71 °
Carefree, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 71°, low 62°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility5.7 mi
Dew point59°
Fri, 2370° / 58°0.06
70 °
Carefree, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 58°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 2472° / 59°0
72 °
Carefree, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 72°, low 59°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 2573° / 61°0
73 °
Carefree, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 61°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.8 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 2680° / 62°0
80 °
Carefree, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 80°, low 62°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2780° / 65°0
80 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 80°, low 65°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind27.1 mph E
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2877° / 65°0
77 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 65°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.1 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2976° / 65°0
76 °
Carefree, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 65°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 3077° / 64°0.04
77 °
Carefree, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 64°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.2 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 3179° / 66°0
79 °
Carefree, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 66°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0179° / 68°0
79 °
Carefree, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 79°, low 68°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 0277° / 67°0
77 °
Carefree, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 77°, low 67°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 0376° / 66°0
76 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 76°, low 66°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 0473° / 65°0
73 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 65°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5 mph SW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0576° / 50°0.02
76 °
Carefree, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high93° (2020)
Record low40° (2003)
Fri, 0676° / 50°0.02
76 °
Carefree, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high89° (1999)
Record low41° (2011)
Sat, 0774° / 51°0.01
74 °
Carefree, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high87° (2007)
Record low39° (1990)
Sun, 0874° / 50°0.04
74 °
Carefree, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low36° (2000)
Mon, 0973° / 49°0.04
73 °
Carefree, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high86° (2025)
Record low36° (2000)
Tue, 1073° / 49°0.03
73 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high86° (2009)
Record low37° (1998)
Wed, 1173° / 49°0.07
73 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high87° (1999)
Record low37° (2012)
Thu, 1272° / 49°0.07
72 °
Carefree, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high87° (1999)
Record low35° (2000)
Fri, 1372° / 49°0.03
72 °
Carefree, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high86° (1999)
Record low33° (2000)
Sat, 1471° / 48°0.06
71 °
Carefree, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high87° (1999)
Record low34° (1985)
Sun, 1571° / 47°0.05
71 °
Carefree, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high86° (1999)
Record low33° (1985)
Mon, 1670° / 47°0.02
70 °
Carefree, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high87° (2020)
Record low34° (2000)
Tue, 1769° / 46°0.03
69 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high88° (2020)
Record low31° (1964)
Wed, 1869° / 46°0.04
69 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high84° (2020)
Record low34° (1961)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carefree, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carefree, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.