Monthly outlook for Carefree, AZ: average high 72.7°, average low 58.8°. That is 1.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 5.3 inches), against a normal of 1 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (81.6°), the coolest 28 October (53.9°).
72.7°/58.8°
Average high / low
−1.3°
Below normal
6 / 1
Wet days / normal
5.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
71.2°
76.1°
-2.7°
7 November – 16 November
75.2°
72.4°
+1.6°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
68°
—
October records over 66 years
106.2°1 October 2024All-time high
32.4°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Scottsdale (10 mi).
Thu, 2982° / 57°0
82 °
Carefree, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Fri, 3068° / 57°0.8
68 °
Carefree, Friday, 30 October
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 57°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind2.1 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility1.2 mi
Dew point57°
Sat, 3168° / 57°0.68
68 °
Carefree, Saturday, 31 October
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sun, 0160° / 57°2.8
60 °
Carefree, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility1.1 mi
Dew point57°
Mon, 0263° / 55°0.66
63 °
Carefree, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 63°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.7 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 0376° / 55°0
76 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 0474° / 59°0
74 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 74°, low 59°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 0574° / 61°0
74 °
Carefree, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 74°, low 61°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8 mph S
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 0667° / 61°0.04
67 °
Carefree, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 61°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 0770° / 59°0.28
70 °
Carefree, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 70°, low 59°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0876° / 61°0
76 °
Carefree, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 76°, low 61°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.2 mph NE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 0979° / 63°0
79 °
Carefree, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 79°, low 63°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NE
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1077° / 62°0
77 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 77°, low 62°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NE
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1175° / 63°0
75 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 63°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1275° / 61°0
75 °
Carefree, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 75°, low 61°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1372° / 49°0.03
72 °
Carefree, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high86° (1999)
Record low33° (2000)
Sat, 1471° / 48°0.06
71 °
Carefree, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high87° (1999)
Record low34° (1985)
Sun, 1571° / 47°0.05
71 °
Carefree, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high86° (1999)
Record low33° (1985)
Mon, 1670° / 47°0.02
70 °
Carefree, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high87° (2020)
Record low34° (2000)
Tue, 1769° / 46°0.03
69 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high88° (2020)
Record low31° (1964)
Wed, 1869° / 46°0.04
69 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high84° (2020)
Record low34° (1961)
Thu, 1969° / 45°0.04
69 °
Carefree, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high84° (2006)
Record low32° (2000)
Fri, 2069° / 45°0.05
69 °
Carefree, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high83° (2020)
Record low29° (1994)
Sat, 2169° / 46°0.07
69 °
Carefree, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high82° (2002)
Record low33° (1994)
Sun, 2268° / 46°0.07
68 °
Carefree, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high83° (2017)
Record low31° (1961)
Mon, 2367° / 45°0.05
67 °
Carefree, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high82° (2017)
Record low33° (1983)
Tue, 2467° / 44°0.04
67 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high82° (1995)
Record low32° (1992)
Wed, 2566° / 44°0.04
66 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high81° (2017)
Record low29° (1992)
Thu, 2665° / 43°0.04
65 °
Carefree, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high86° (2017)
Record low31° (2010)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carefree, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carefree, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.