Monthly outlook for Carefree, AZ: average high 98.1°, average low 81.9°. That is 0° below the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 August (109.5°), the coolest 10 August (75.8°).
98.1°/81.9°
Average high / low
−0°
Below normal
10 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 August – 17 August
100°
98.4°
+0.9°
18 August – 27 August
94.7°
97.6°
-1.6°
28 August – 6 September
at normal
97.6°
—
August records over 66 years
113.2°7 August 2025All-time high
60.1°21 August 1979All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Scottsdale (10 mi).
Sun, 09109° / 86°0
109 °
Carefree, Sunday, 9 August
Clear. High 109°, low 86°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SW
Humidity23%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Mon, 10105° / 76°0.08
105 °
Carefree, Monday, 10 August
Light rain. High 105°, low 76°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Tue, 11100° / 77°0.06
100 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 11 August
Light rain. High 100°, low 77°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Wed, 1291° / 79°0.41
91 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 12 August
Rain. High 91°, low 79°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.2 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Thu, 1394° / 78°0.35
94 °
Carefree, Thursday, 13 August
Rain. High 94°, low 78°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.5 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 1496° / 83°0
96 °
Carefree, Friday, 14 August
Overcast. High 96°, low 83°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 1599° / 85°0
99 °
Carefree, Saturday, 15 August
Overcast. High 99°, low 85°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.5 mph W
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 16100° / 86°0
100 °
Carefree, Sunday, 16 August
Partly cloudy. High 100°, low 86°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.9 mph W
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 17102° / 88°0
102 °
Carefree, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 102°, low 88°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SE
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 18101° / 84°0.06
101 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 18 August
Light rain. High 101°, low 84°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind21.3 mph NE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Wed, 1996° / 81°0.01
96 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 19 August
Light rain. High 96°, low 81°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Thu, 2094° / 80°0.37
94 °
Carefree, Thursday, 20 August
Rain. High 94°, low 80°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.8 mph SE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 2192° / 81°0.22
92 °
Carefree, Friday, 21 August
Light rain. High 92°, low 81°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 2290° / 79°0.04
90 °
Carefree, Saturday, 22 August
Light rain. High 90°, low 79°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.9 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sun, 2395° / 81°0.04
95 °
Carefree, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 95°, low 81°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2498° / 76°0.03
98 °
Carefree, Monday, 24 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high98°
Average low76°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high110° (2020)
Record low65° (1992)
Tue, 2598° / 76°0.03
98 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high98°
Average low76°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high108° (2011)
Record low66° (2002)
Wed, 2698° / 76°0.03
98 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high98°
Average low76°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high108° (2001)
Record low66° (1960)
Thu, 2798° / 76°0.04
98 °
Carefree, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high98°
Average low76°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high108° (2011)
Record low66° (1992)
Fri, 2899° / 76°0.04
99 °
Carefree, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high99°
Average low76°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high110° (2023)
Record low66° (1978)
Sat, 2999° / 76°0.04
99 °
Carefree, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high99°
Average low76°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high109° (2023)
Record low66° (1960)
Sun, 3098° / 76°0.02
98 °
Carefree, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high98°
Average low76°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high107° (2022)
Record low66° (1992)
Mon, 3198° / 76°0.03
98 °
Carefree, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high98°
Average low76°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high107° (2011)
Record low64° (1962)
Tue, 0197° / 76°0.03
97 °
Carefree, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high97°
Average low76°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high106° (1982)
Record low64° (1992)
Wed, 0297° / 75°0.04
97 °
Carefree, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high97°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high106° (1982)
Record low60° (1992)
Thu, 0398° / 75°0.01
98 °
Carefree, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high98°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high106° (2022)
Record low63° (1961)
Fri, 0497° / 75°0.06
97 °
Carefree, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high97°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high109° (2020)
Record low60° (1961)
Sat, 0597° / 75°0.1
97 °
Carefree, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high97°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high110° (2020)
Record low59° (1992)
Sun, 0696° / 75°0.05
96 °
Carefree, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high96°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high107° (2020)
Record low60° (1992)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carefree, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carefree, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.