Monthly outlook for Smithville, TX: average high 75.8°, average low 61.2°. That is 1.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (91.3°), the coolest 18 October (50.9°).
75.8°/61.2°
Average high / low
−1.8°
Below normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
80.9°
80°
+0.5°
24 October – 2 November
67.3°
76.4°
-5.1°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
73°
—
October records over 66 years
98.4°13 October 2024All-time high
33.4°31 October 1993All-time low
Thu, 1590° / 75°0
90 °
Smithville, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 90°, low 75°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Fri, 1676° / 59°0.07
76 °
Smithville, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 59°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind21.7 mph N
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Sat, 1767° / 53°0
67 °
Smithville, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind11.3 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 1871° / 51°0
71 °
Smithville, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Mon, 1976° / 51°0
76 °
Smithville, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 76°, low 51°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2077° / 57°0
77 °
Smithville, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 57°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.2 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 2187° / 68°0
87 °
Smithville, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 87°, low 68°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.5 mph E
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Thu, 2287° / 66°0
87 °
Smithville, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 87°, low 66°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.2 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 2386° / 69°0
86 °
Smithville, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 86°, low 69°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Sat, 2486° / 67°0.19
86 °
Smithville, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 86°, low 67°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.3 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sun, 2567° / 59°0.06
67 °
Smithville, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 59°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind16.9 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Mon, 2666° / 58°0
66 °
Smithville, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 58°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.7 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2761° / 54°0.01
61 °
Smithville, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 54°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.5 mph N
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2858° / 54°0.06
58 °
Smithville, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12 mph NE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 2965° / 59°0.52
65 °
Smithville, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 65°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3076° / 58°0.17
76 °
Smithville, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high93° (2024)
Record low38° (1980)
Sat, 3176° / 58°0.14
76 °
Smithville, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high88° (2024)
Record low33° (1993)
Sun, 0175° / 57°0.1
75 °
Smithville, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high87° (2010)
Record low33° (2019)
Mon, 0274° / 56°0.1
74 °
Smithville, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high86° (2024)
Record low38° (2023)
Tue, 0373° / 55°0.11
73 °
Smithville, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high90° (2024)
Record low37° (1991)
Wed, 0473° / 56°0.14
73 °
Smithville, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high87° (1988)
Record low32° (1991)
Thu, 0574° / 55°0.11
74 °
Smithville, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high89° (1963)
Record low34° (1991)
Fri, 0674° / 56°0.06
74 °
Smithville, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high87° (1963)
Record low41° (1992)
Sat, 0774° / 56°0.08
74 °
Smithville, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high90° (2025)
Record low34° (1993)
Sun, 0873° / 57°0.11
73 °
Smithville, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high89° (1989)
Record low37° (1991)
Mon, 0973° / 57°0.07
73 °
Smithville, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high88° (1988)
Record low33° (1991)
Tue, 1073° / 56°0.04
73 °
Smithville, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high86° (2006)
Record low38° (1991)
Wed, 1173° / 54°0.07
73 °
Smithville, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high85° (1962)
Record low38° (2019)
Thu, 1271° / 54°0.07
71 °
Smithville, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high85° (2020)
Record low31° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Smithville, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Smithville, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.