Monthly outlook for Progreso, TX: average high 85.3°, average low 72.9°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (93.1°), the coolest 18 October (62.2°).
85.3°/72.9°
Average high / low
−0.3°
Below normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
6 October – 15 October
89.4°
86.4°
+1.7°
16 October – 25 October
78.3°
84.5°
-3.5°
26 October – 4 November
at normal
82.1°
—
October records over 66 years
100.2°18 October 2012All-time high
39.6°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Progreso Lakes (2 mi).
Wed, 0787° / 75°0.14
87 °
Progreso, Wednesday, 7 October
Rain. High 87°, low 75°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point73°
Thu, 0885° / 75°0.18
85 °
Progreso, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 85°, low 75°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility5.9 mi
Dew point73°
Fri, 0987° / 72°0
87 °
Progreso, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 87°, low 72°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Sat, 1089° / 72°0
89 °
Progreso, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 89°, low 72°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Sun, 1189° / 70°0
89 °
Progreso, Sunday, 11 October
Mostly clear. High 89°, low 70°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Mon, 1291° / 76°0
91 °
Progreso, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 91°, low 76°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Tue, 1393° / 79°0
93 °
Progreso, Tuesday, 13 October
Mostly clear. High 93°, low 79°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind17.1 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Wed, 1493° / 80°0
93 °
Progreso, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 93°, low 80°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind20.2 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Thu, 1593° / 80°0
93 °
Progreso, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 93°, low 80°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.9 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point71°
Fri, 1691° / 77°0.63
91 °
Progreso, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 91°, low 77°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sat, 1774° / 65°0.43
74 °
Progreso, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 74°, low 65°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind16.9 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sun, 1866° / 62°0.09
66 °
Progreso, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 62°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.5 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 1979° / 65°0.01
79 °
Progreso, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 79°, low 65°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.7 mph E
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Tue, 2078° / 71°0.13
78 °
Progreso, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 71°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Wed, 2181° / 73°0.01
81 °
Progreso, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 73°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.6 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2284° / 69°0.07
84 °
Progreso, Thursday, 22 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low69°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high93° (2025)
Record low52° (1999)
Fri, 2384° / 67°0.04
84 °
Progreso, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high94° (2020)
Record low50° (1965)
Sat, 2484° / 67°0.12
84 °
Progreso, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high95° (2001)
Record low54° (1981)
Sun, 2584° / 67°0.06
84 °
Progreso, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high94° (2025)
Record low54° (2005)
Mon, 2683° / 67°0.12
83 °
Progreso, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high95° (2025)
Record low54° (2019)
Tue, 2783° / 67°0.1
83 °
Progreso, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high97° (2025)
Record low51° (1981)
Wed, 2882° / 66°0.08
82 °
Progreso, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high95° (2025)
Record low45° (2020)
Thu, 2982° / 66°0.12
82 °
Progreso, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high92° (2023)
Record low48° (2017)
Fri, 3083° / 65°0.05
83 °
Progreso, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high92° (2019)
Record low47° (1993)
Sat, 3182° / 66°0.06
82 °
Progreso, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high91° (2013)
Record low40° (1993)
Sun, 0182° / 65°0.06
82 °
Progreso, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high92° (2004)
Record low46° (1993)
Mon, 0281° / 64°0.04
81 °
Progreso, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high94° (1961)
Record low46° (1966)
Tue, 0380° / 64°0.04
80 °
Progreso, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high90° (1992)
Record low46° (1991)
Wed, 0480° / 63°0.08
80 °
Progreso, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high97° (1988)
Record low45° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Progreso, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Progreso, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.