Weather in Mercedes, TX
Mercedes, Wednesday, 28 October, 18:03
Overcast. Feels like 88°. High 87°, low 71°.
Monthly outlook for Mercedes, TX: average high 84.6°, average low 70.9°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (92.2°), the coolest 12 November (58.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 October – 6 November | 88° | 81.6° | +3.6° |
| 7 November – 16 November | 78.9° | 79.2° | -0.2° |
| 17 November – 26 November | at normal | 77.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Progreso Lakes (6 mi).
0Mercedes, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 86°, low 74°.
0Mercedes, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 88°, low 72°.
0
Mercedes, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 92°, low 73°.
0.04
Mercedes, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 90°, low 74°.
0Mercedes, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 92°, low 75°.
0.09Mercedes, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 90°, low 75°.
0
Mercedes, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 83°, low 65°.
0Mercedes, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 84°, low 66°.
0Mercedes, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 87°, low 68°.
0.02Mercedes, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 82°, low 73°.
0.01Mercedes, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 88°, low 77°.
0.01Mercedes, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 88°, low 78°.
0.35Mercedes, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 79°, low 72°.
0.23Mercedes, Wednesday, 11 November
Rain. High 70°, low 65°.
1.14Mercedes, Thursday, 12 November
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 59°.
0.07
Mercedes, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Mercedes, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Mercedes, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mercedes, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mercedes, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Mercedes, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Mercedes, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mercedes, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mercedes, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mercedes, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mercedes, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Mercedes, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mercedes, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mercedes, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mercedes, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mercedes, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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