Monthly outlook for Elsa, TX: average high 83.7°, average low 72.3°. That is 1.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (92.8°), the coolest 19 October (63°).
83.7°/72.3°
Average high / low
−1.3°
Below normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
87.9°
86.7°
+0.6°
19 October – 28 October
76.7°
84.3°
-4.2°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
81.9°
—
October records over 66 years
100.2°18 October 2012All-time high
38.7°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Edinburg (10 mi).
Sat, 1092° / 72°0
92 °
Elsa, Saturday, 10 October
Mostly clear. High 92°, low 72°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point71°
Sun, 1189° / 74°0
89 °
Elsa, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 89°, low 74°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.7 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point72°
Mon, 1292° / 78°0
92 °
Elsa, Monday, 12 October
Mostly clear. High 92°, low 78°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point75°
Tue, 1392° / 78°0.04
92 °
Elsa, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 92°, low 78°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.3 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point73°
Wed, 1493° / 80°0
93 °
Elsa, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 93°, low 80°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.8 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point73°
Thu, 1588° / 78°0.03
88 °
Elsa, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 88°, low 78°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind18.2 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Fri, 1687° / 78°0.03
87 °
Elsa, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 87°, low 78°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind14.8 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sat, 1781° / 73°1.4
81 °
Elsa, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 81°, low 73°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point72°
Sun, 1873° / 68°0.46
73 °
Elsa, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 73°, low 68°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Mon, 1966° / 63°0
66 °
Elsa, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 63°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.7 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 2066° / 63°0.01
66 °
Elsa, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 63°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Wed, 2181° / 65°0
81 °
Elsa, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 65°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.2 mph N
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Thu, 2282° / 73°0
82 °
Elsa, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 73°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.3 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Fri, 2384° / 74°0.01
84 °
Elsa, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 84°, low 74°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.9 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Sat, 2481° / 67°0.01
81 °
Elsa, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 67°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.5 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2584° / 67°0.06
84 °
Elsa, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high95° (2025)
Record low53° (2005)
Mon, 2684° / 67°0.18
84 °
Elsa, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high96° (2010)
Record low53° (2019)
Tue, 2783° / 66°0.09
83 °
Elsa, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high96° (2025)
Record low50° (1981)
Wed, 2883° / 65°0.08
83 °
Elsa, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high96° (2025)
Record low45° (2020)
Thu, 2983° / 65°0.09
83 °
Elsa, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high93° (2023)
Record low46° (2017)
Fri, 3084° / 65°0.04
84 °
Elsa, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high94° (2019)
Record low47° (1993)
Sat, 3183° / 65°0.05
83 °
Elsa, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high92° (2024)
Record low39° (1993)
Sun, 0183° / 65°0.06
83 °
Elsa, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high93° (2004)
Record low46° (1993)
Mon, 0281° / 63°0.03
81 °
Elsa, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high95° (1961)
Record low46° (1966)
Tue, 0380° / 63°0.05
80 °
Elsa, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high92° (1992)
Record low46° (1991)
Wed, 0481° / 63°0.08
81 °
Elsa, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high97° (1988)
Record low45° (1991)
Thu, 0581° / 63°0.02
81 °
Elsa, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high93° (2017)
Record low43° (1970)
Fri, 0682° / 63°0.06
82 °
Elsa, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high92° (2018)
Record low47° (1970)
Sat, 0782° / 65°0.06
82 °
Elsa, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high94° (2018)
Record low46° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elsa, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elsa, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.