As of 11:49 PDT

Weather in Merced, CA

84°

Merced, Thursday, 8 October, 11:49

Clear. Feels like 82°. High 95°, low 62°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind3.4 mph N

Humidity32%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point51°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Merced, CA: average high 83°, average low 56.8°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.0 inches), against a normal of 1 days and 0.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 8 October (95.5°), the coolest 13 October (51.4°).

83°/56.8°

Average high / low

+2.3°

Above normal

0 / 1

Wet days / normal

0.0 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
8 October – 17 October	80.2°	79.9°	+0.2°
18 October – 27 October	87.7°	76.2°	+6.4°
28 October – 6 November	at normal	71°	—

October records over 66 years

106.5°3 October 2024All-time high

37.9°30 October 1971All-time low

Fri, 0994° / 63°

94 °

Merced, Friday, 9 October

Clear. High 94°, low 63°.

Pressure29.71 inHg

Wind2.8 mph NW

Humidity18%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point43°

Sat, 1083° / 61°

83 °

Merced, Saturday, 10 October

Clear. High 83°, low 61°.

Pressure29.62 inHg

Wind6.1 mph SW

Humidity39%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point51°

Sun, 1171° / 54°

71 °

Merced, Sunday, 11 October

Clear. High 71°, low 54°.

Pressure29.56 inHg

Wind6.1 mph W

Humidity41%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point42°

Mon, 1266° / 54°

0.03

66 °

Merced, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 66°, low 54°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind13.4 mph SE

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point43°

Tue, 1374° / 51°

74 °

Merced, Tuesday, 13 October

Clear. High 74°, low 51°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind6.5 mph NW

Humidity47%

Visibility—

Dew point43°

Wed, 1478° / 54°

78 °

Merced, Wednesday, 14 October

Mostly clear. High 78°, low 54°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind8.3 mph N

Humidity37%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

Thu, 1578° / 54°

78 °

Merced, Thursday, 15 October

Clear. High 78°, low 54°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind10.3 mph NW

Humidity36%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

Fri, 1681° / 53°

81 °

Merced, Friday, 16 October

Clear. High 81°, low 53°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind8.9 mph NW

Humidity16%

Visibility—

Dew point20°

Sat, 1782° / 55°

82 °

Merced, Saturday, 17 October

Clear. High 82°, low 55°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind4.1 mph NE

Humidity18%

Visibility—

Dew point25°

Sun, 1884° / 56°

84 °

Merced, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 84°, low 56°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind8.6 mph NW

Humidity17%

Visibility—

Dew point25°

Mon, 1984° / 55°

84 °

Merced, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 84°, low 55°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind8.1 mph NW

Humidity19%

Visibility—

Dew point27°

Tue, 2089° / 57°

89 °

Merced, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 89°, low 57°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind4.8 mph N

Humidity16%

Visibility—

Dew point25°

Wed, 2190° / 60°

90 °

Merced, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear. High 90°, low 60°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind4.7 mph N

Humidity16%

Visibility—

Dew point27°

Thu, 2291° / 61°

91 °

Merced, Thursday, 22 October

Clear. High 91°, low 61°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind5.5 mph N

Humidity15%

Visibility—

Dew point26°

Fri, 2387° / 59°

87 °

Merced, Friday, 23 October

Clear. High 87°, low 59°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind14.1 mph NW

Humidity13%

Visibility—

Dew point22°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 2476° / 53°

0.05

76 °

Merced, Saturday, 24 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high76°

Average low53°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high89° (2019)

Record low42° (1975)

Sun, 2575° / 53°

0.06

75 °

Merced, Sunday, 25 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high75°

Average low53°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high89° (2019)

Record low43° (1975)

Mon, 2674° / 51°

0.06

74 °

Merced, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high74°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation12%

Record high87° (2003)

Record low42° (1971)

Tue, 2773° / 51°

0.01

73 °

Merced, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high73°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.01 in

Chance of precipitation2%

Record high87° (2003)

Record low43° (2010)

Wed, 2873° / 51°

0.06

73 °

Merced, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high73°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high86° (2003)

Record low41° (2019)

Thu, 2972° / 51°

0.06

72 °

Merced, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high72°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high85° (2003)

Record low40° (1971)

Fri, 3071° / 50°

0.07

71 °

Merced, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high71°

Average low50°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high83° (2014)

Record low38° (1971)

Sat, 3171° / 49°

0.02

71 °

Merced, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high71°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation10%

Record high83° (2015)

Record low38° (2019)

Sun, 0171° / 49°

0.03

71 °

Merced, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high71°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation10%

Record high83° (2020)

Record low37° (2019)

Mon, 0271° / 48°

0.04

71 °

Merced, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high71°

Average low48°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation12%

Record high83° (2020)

Record low40° (2019)

Tue, 0371° / 49°

0.03

71 °

Merced, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high71°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation12%

Record high83° (2020)

Record low39° (2019)

Wed, 0471° / 49°

0.03

71 °

Merced, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high71°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation8%

Record high83° (1976)

Record low38° (1973)

Thu, 0570° / 49°

0.04

70 °

Merced, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high70°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation10%

Record high86° (2010)

Record low41° (2003)

Fri, 0670° / 49°

0.04

70 °

Merced, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high70°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high83° (2012)

Record low39° (1996)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Merced, CA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Merced, CA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.