Monthly outlook for Dayton, TX: average high 82.6°, average low 61.6°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (90.2°), the coolest 18 October (39.3°).
82.6°/61.6°
Average high / low
+2.3°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
82°
79.4°
+1.5°
21 October – 30 October
83.6°
76.4°
+4°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
72.8°
—
October records over 66 years
95.5°1 October 2023All-time high
35.6°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Ames (10 mi).
Mon, 1288° / 69°0.17
88 °
Dayton, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 88°, low 69°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point71°
Tue, 1387° / 71°0.2
87 °
Dayton, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 87°, low 71°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point76°
Wed, 1489° / 75°0
89 °
Dayton, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 89°, low 75°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point75°
Thu, 1587° / 72°0
87 °
Dayton, Thursday, 15 October
Mostly clear. High 87°, low 72°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Fri, 1687° / 67°0
87 °
Dayton, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 87°, low 67°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sat, 1773° / 50°0
73 °
Dayton, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 50°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind18.4 mph NE
Humidity18%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sun, 1867° / 39°0
67 °
Dayton, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 67°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NE
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Mon, 1974° / 47°0
74 °
Dayton, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 74°, low 47°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind11.6 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2078° / 57°0
78 °
Dayton, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 57°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 2181° / 64°0.36
81 °
Dayton, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 81°, low 64°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.8 mph E
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Thu, 2283° / 63°0
83 °
Dayton, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 83°, low 63°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.9 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 2384° / 62°0
84 °
Dayton, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 84°, low 62°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.4 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 2485° / 61°0
85 °
Dayton, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 85°, low 61°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 2586° / 59°0
86 °
Dayton, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 86°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2683° / 64°0
83 °
Dayton, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 83°, low 64°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2776° / 60°0.11
76 °
Dayton, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high89° (2010)
Record low44° (1981)
Wed, 2875° / 59°0.11
75 °
Dayton, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low59°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high86° (1963)
Record low42° (2008)
Thu, 2976° / 59°0.14
76 °
Dayton, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low59°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high87° (2023)
Record low40° (2017)
Fri, 3075° / 58°0.21
75 °
Dayton, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high86° (2004)
Record low43° (1993)
Sat, 3175° / 58°0.19
75 °
Dayton, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high86° (2004)
Record low36° (1993)
Sun, 0173° / 58°0.19
73 °
Dayton, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high85° (1978)
Record low35° (2019)
Mon, 0273° / 57°0.18
73 °
Dayton, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high85° (1978)
Record low39° (2023)
Tue, 0372° / 56°0.09
72 °
Dayton, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high84° (1978)
Record low34° (1966)
Wed, 0473° / 55°0.09
73 °
Dayton, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high87° (1988)
Record low33° (1991)
Thu, 0573° / 56°0.09
73 °
Dayton, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2012)
Record low35° (1991)
Fri, 0673° / 57°0.11
73 °
Dayton, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2015)
Record low39° (1992)
Sat, 0773° / 56°0.09
73 °
Dayton, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high85° (2024)
Record low35° (1993)
Sun, 0873° / 57°0.09
73 °
Dayton, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high86° (1988)
Record low44° (1991)
Mon, 0973° / 57°0.1
73 °
Dayton, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high82° (1994)
Record low33° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Dayton, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Dayton, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.