Monthly outlook for Vail, AZ: average high 83.1°, average low 62.9°. That is 1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 8 October (94.3°), the coolest 18 October (53.9°).
83.1°/62.9°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
1 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
84.5°
82.2°
+1.3°
17 October – 26 October
80.8°
79.1°
+0.9°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
75.2°
—
October records over 66 years
101.3°1 October 2024All-time high
28.6°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Corona de Tucson (7 mi).
Thu, 0894° / 70°0
94 °
Vail, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 94°, low 70°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.8 mph E
Humidity19%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 0994° / 71°0
94 °
Vail, Friday, 9 October
Partly cloudy. High 94°, low 71°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SE
Humidity18%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sat, 1083° / 70°0.13
83 °
Vail, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 83°, low 70°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind2.7 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sun, 1186° / 68°0.02
86 °
Vail, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 86°, low 68°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind17.9 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Mon, 1285° / 66°0.01
85 °
Vail, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 66°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 1381° / 62°0.01
81 °
Vail, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 62°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind14 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 1471° / 58°0
71 °
Vail, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 71°, low 58°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1578° / 59°0
78 °
Vail, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 78°, low 59°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 1680° / 62°0
80 °
Vail, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 80°, low 62°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13.8 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 1779° / 59°0
79 °
Vail, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 79°, low 59°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 1877° / 54°0
77 °
Vail, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.1 mph W
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1980° / 59°0
80 °
Vail, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 59°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2083° / 60°0
83 °
Vail, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 83°, low 60°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 2182° / 60°0
82 °
Vail, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 82°, low 60°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2283° / 62°0
83 °
Vail, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 83°, low 62°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2379° / 53°0.03
79 °
Vail, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high94° (2024)
Record low42° (1969)
Sat, 2479° / 53°0.01
79 °
Vail, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low42° (1975)
Sun, 2579° / 53°0.02
79 °
Vail, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high93° (2024)
Record low42° (1975)
Mon, 2677° / 53°0.02
77 °
Vail, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high94° (2024)
Record low40° (1997)
Tue, 2776° / 52°0.02
76 °
Vail, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high94° (2024)
Record low34° (2020)
Wed, 2877° / 51°0.01
77 °
Vail, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high88° (2016)
Record low40° (1970)
Thu, 2976° / 51°0.02
76 °
Vail, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high90° (2010)
Record low35° (2009)
Fri, 3074° / 50°0.01
74 °
Vail, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high90° (2001)
Record low29° (1971)
Sat, 3174° / 49°0.01
74 °
Vail, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high87° (2014)
Record low35° (1972)
Sun, 0175° / 49°0.01
75 °
Vail, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation2%
Record high88° (2020)
Record low31° (1972)
Mon, 0275° / 49°0.01
75 °
Vail, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high87° (2020)
Record low35° (2004)
Tue, 0375° / 49°0.02
75 °
Vail, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high88° (2025)
Record low37° (2004)
Wed, 0474° / 49°0.02
74 °
Vail, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high86° (2001)
Record low36° (1974)
Thu, 0575° / 48°0.01
75 °
Vail, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high89° (2020)
Record low38° (1994)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.