Monthly outlook for Tonalea, AZ: average high 57.1°, average low 43°. That is 2.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (64.6°), the coolest 29 October (35.3°).
57.1°/43°
Average high / low
−2.4°
Below normal
6 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
58.7°
63.2°
-2.5°
26 October – 4 November
54.6°
58°
-1.9°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
54.6°
—
October records over 66 years
84.9°1 October 2015All-time high
13.3°31 October 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Cow Springs (10 mi).
Sat, 1764° / 40°0
64 °
Tonalea, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind1.3 mph NE
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sun, 1858° / 45°0.13
58 °
Tonalea, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.5 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 1961° / 43°0.03
61 °
Tonalea, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.3 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Tue, 2061° / 44°0.05
61 °
Tonalea, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2164° / 46°0.12
64 °
Tonalea, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2258° / 54°0.2
58 °
Tonalea, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind27.9 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 2357° / 49°0.22
57 °
Tonalea, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind20.6 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 2451° / 45°0.11
51 °
Tonalea, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 2547° / 38°0
47 °
Tonalea, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 47°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.8 mph N
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Mon, 2653° / 38°0
53 °
Tonalea, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Tue, 2757° / 43°0
57 °
Tonalea, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NE
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Wed, 2861° / 46°0
61 °
Tonalea, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind22.9 mph SW
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Thu, 2949° / 35°0.02
49 °
Tonalea, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind26.3 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 3050° / 36°0
50 °
Tonalea, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sat, 3157° / 42°0
57 °
Tonalea, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0157° / 36°0.01
57 °
Tonalea, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high71° (2008)
Record low20° (1971)
Mon, 0257° / 36°0.02
57 °
Tonalea, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high67° (2005)
Record low25° (2004)
Tue, 0357° / 36°0.03
57 °
Tonalea, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low24° (1971)
Wed, 0457° / 37°0.01
57 °
Tonalea, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low24° (2022)
Thu, 0557° / 37°0.02
57 °
Tonalea, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high69° (2009)
Record low26° (2022)
Fri, 0657° / 36°0.01
57 °
Tonalea, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (2008)
Sat, 0757° / 37°0.02
57 °
Tonalea, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low24° (1996)
Sun, 0855° / 37°0.03
55 °
Tonalea, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low20° (2000)
Mon, 0954° / 35°0.02
54 °
Tonalea, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (2005)
Record low11° (2011)
Tue, 1054° / 34°0.02
54 °
Tonalea, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (1980)
Record low13° (2011)
Wed, 1153° / 34°0.03
53 °
Tonalea, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high67° (1973)
Record low19° (2020)
Thu, 1253° / 34°0.04
53 °
Tonalea, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low20° (2012)
Fri, 1353° / 33°0.02
53 °
Tonalea, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low12° (1985)
Sat, 1452° / 33°0.02
52 °
Tonalea, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low12° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tonalea, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tonalea, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.