Monthly outlook for Tonalea, AZ: average high 58.4°, average low 44.6°. That is 2.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (68.4°), the coolest 15 October (35.7°).
58.4°/44.6°
Average high / low
−2.8°
Below normal
6 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
59.5°
64.9°
-3°
22 October – 31 October
56.7°
59.8°
-1.7°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
56.3°
—
October records over 66 years
84.9°1 October 2015All-time high
13.3°31 October 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Cow Springs (10 mi).
Tue, 1359° / 45°0.07
59 °
Tonalea, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 1451° / 38°0.2
51 °
Tonalea, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.2 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Thu, 1556° / 36°0
56 °
Tonalea, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Fri, 1664° / 42°0
64 °
Tonalea, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind16 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 1751° / 44°0.1
51 °
Tonalea, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.6 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 1864° / 47°0
64 °
Tonalea, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 1967° / 55°0
67 °
Tonalea, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 67°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2068° / 54°0
68 °
Tonalea, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind26.5 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 2158° / 49°0.05
58 °
Tonalea, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 49°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind33.3 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2251° / 41°0.02
51 °
Tonalea, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.6 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 2348° / 38°0.04
48 °
Tonalea, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind15.1 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sat, 2456° / 40°0
56 °
Tonalea, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.4 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 2560° / 43°0
60 °
Tonalea, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15 mph NE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 2661° / 46°0
61 °
Tonalea, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 2764° / 47°0
64 °
Tonalea, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NE
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2859° / 38°0.03
59 °
Tonalea, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high72° (2008)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2958° / 38°0.05
58 °
Tonalea, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high74° (1964)
Record low24° (1971)
Fri, 3057° / 37°0.02
57 °
Tonalea, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (2016)
Record low15° (2019)
Sat, 3157° / 37°0.02
57 °
Tonalea, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (2014)
Record low13° (2019)
Sun, 0157° / 36°0.01
57 °
Tonalea, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high71° (2008)
Record low20° (1971)
Mon, 0257° / 36°0.02
57 °
Tonalea, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high67° (2005)
Record low25° (2004)
Tue, 0357° / 36°0.03
57 °
Tonalea, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low24° (1971)
Wed, 0457° / 37°0.01
57 °
Tonalea, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low24° (2022)
Thu, 0557° / 37°0.02
57 °
Tonalea, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high69° (2009)
Record low26° (2022)
Fri, 0657° / 36°0.01
57 °
Tonalea, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (2008)
Sat, 0757° / 37°0.02
57 °
Tonalea, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low24° (1996)
Sun, 0855° / 37°0.03
55 °
Tonalea, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low20° (2000)
Mon, 0954° / 35°0.02
54 °
Tonalea, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (2005)
Record low11° (2011)
Tue, 1054° / 34°0.02
54 °
Tonalea, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (1980)
Record low13° (2011)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tonalea, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tonalea, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.