Monthly outlook for Bagdad, AZ: average high 74.7°, average low 58.4°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.5 inches), against a normal of 1 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 October (81.7°), the coolest 13 October (43.3°).
74.7°/58.4°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
5 / 1
Wet days / normal
3.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
72.1°
76.9°
-2.7°
20 October – 29 October
79.1°
72.6°
+3.6°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
69.2°
—
October records over 66 years
99.3°1 October 2024All-time high
23.5°30 October 1971All-time low
Sun, 1167° / 56°1.39
67 °
Bagdad, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 67°, low 56°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind14.9 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility3.5 mi
Dew point60°
Mon, 1261° / 52°1.77
61 °
Bagdad, Monday, 12 October
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.7 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility2.0 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1359° / 43°0.11
59 °
Bagdad, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Wed, 1462° / 44°0
62 °
Bagdad, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.3 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 1571° / 49°0
71 °
Bagdad, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 71°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1681° / 59°0
81 °
Bagdad, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 81°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NE
Humidity13%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sat, 1782° / 61°0
82 °
Bagdad, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 82°, low 61°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NE
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1881° / 65°0
81 °
Bagdad, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 65°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 1977° / 65°0.08
77 °
Bagdad, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 65°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2078° / 64°0
78 °
Bagdad, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 78°, low 64°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2177° / 64°0
77 °
Bagdad, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 77°, low 64°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2279° / 63°0
79 °
Bagdad, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 79°, low 63°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NE
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 2381° / 64°0
81 °
Bagdad, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 81°, low 64°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.8 mph W
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2481° / 63°0
81 °
Bagdad, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 81°, low 63°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NE
Humidity14%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 2579° / 63°0
79 °
Bagdad, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 79°, low 63°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SW
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2672° / 48°0.02
72 °
Bagdad, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high86° (2008)
Record low37° (1989)
Tue, 2771° / 48°0.03
71 °
Bagdad, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high85° (2008)
Record low37° (1970)
Wed, 2871° / 48°0.04
71 °
Bagdad, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high84° (1968)
Record low34° (1970)
Thu, 2969° / 47°0.05
69 °
Bagdad, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high82° (2007)
Record low29° (1971)
Fri, 3069° / 46°0.02
69 °
Bagdad, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high82° (1966)
Record low24° (1971)
Sat, 3169° / 46°0.01
69 °
Bagdad, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high83° (1988)
Record low30° (1991)
Sun, 0170° / 45°0.04
70 °
Bagdad, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high83° (2020)
Record low28° (1972)
Mon, 0270° / 46°0.02
70 °
Bagdad, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high84° (2020)
Record low34° (1972)
Tue, 0370° / 46°0.02
70 °
Bagdad, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high84° (2009)
Record low33° (2004)
Wed, 0470° / 46°0.01
70 °
Bagdad, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high83° (2020)
Record low31° (2022)
Thu, 0570° / 46°0.02
70 °
Bagdad, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high85° (2020)
Record low33° (2015)
Fri, 0669° / 46°0
69 °
Bagdad, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high82° (2007)
Record low34° (2011)
Sat, 0768° / 46°0.02
68 °
Bagdad, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high83° (2006)
Record low33° (1986)
Sun, 0867° / 45°0.04
67 °
Bagdad, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high79° (2014)
Record low29° (2011)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bagdad, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bagdad, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.