Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, TN: average high 52.9°, average low 34.3°. That is 2.4° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (65.6°), the coolest 24 November (17.5°).
52.9°/34.3°
Average high / low
−2.4°
Below normal
1 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
56.9°
57.8°
-0.5°
23 November – 2 December
46.1°
55°
-4.9°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
51.2°
—
November records over 66 years
84.2°1 November 2016All-time high
18.5°13 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rover (6 mi).
Sat, 1449° / 34°0
49 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.6 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sun, 1552° / 33°0
52 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Mon, 1653° / 34°0
53 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind2.3 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Tue, 1758° / 34°0
58 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 58°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind3.9 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Wed, 1862° / 37°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 62°, low 37°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1965° / 40°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 40°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2066° / 47°0
66 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 2164° / 43°0
64 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 2254° / 34°0.03
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.9 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2339° / 25°0
39 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Mostly clear. High 39°, low 25°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Tue, 2436° / 17°0
36 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 36°, low 17°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Wed, 2542° / 19°0
42 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 19°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point5°
Thu, 2646° / 26°0
46 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 26°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Fri, 2759° / 43°0
59 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2855° / 46°1.77
55 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Heavy rain. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind21.2 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2953° / 38°0.13
53 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low23° (1976)
Mon, 3054° / 39°0.34
54 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.34 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (2006)
Record low19° (1976)
Tue, 0154° / 38°0.2
54 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high68° (1982)
Record low20° (1964)
Wed, 0253° / 38°0.14
53 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low21° (2020)
Thu, 0354° / 38°0.13
54 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low24° (1985)
Fri, 0452° / 38°0.22
52 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low23° (1989)
Sat, 0552° / 37°0.15
52 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low22° (2024)
Sun, 0651° / 36°0.19
51 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low17° (2024)
Mon, 0750° / 36°0.13
50 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (1980)
Record low16° (1977)
Tue, 0851° / 37°0.18
51 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1978)
Record low18° (2006)
Wed, 0952° / 37°0.29
52 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.29 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (2007)
Record low20° (1978)
Thu, 1051° / 37°0.22
51 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1971)
Record low13° (1995)
Fri, 1150° / 35°0.15
50 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2007)
Record low15° (1962)
Sat, 1250° / 36°0.13
50 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (2015)
Record low7° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.