Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, TN: average high 58.6°, average low 40.5°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (68.8°), the coolest 15 November (32.2°).
58.6°/40.5°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
57.5°
58°
-0.3°
22 November – 1 December
60.5°
55.3°
+2.9°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
51.5°
—
November records over 66 years
84.2°1 November 2016All-time high
18.5°13 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rover (6 mi).
Fri, 1346° / 35°0
46 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sat, 1449° / 34°0
49 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.8 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sun, 1551° / 32°0
51 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 51°, low 32°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Mon, 1652° / 35°0
52 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind2.9 mph E
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Tue, 1758° / 35°0
58 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 58°, low 35°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1861° / 40°0
61 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 1962° / 41°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 2067° / 44°0
67 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.6 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 2169° / 47°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 2265° / 47°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 2369° / 50°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.7 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 2464° / 43°0.88
64 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Heavy rain. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind20.2 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 2550° / 36°0
50 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2654° / 35°0
54 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 2761° / 49°0.05
61 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind24.5 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2854° / 39°0.22
54 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low20° (2018)
Sun, 2953° / 38°0.13
53 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low23° (1976)
Mon, 3054° / 39°0.34
54 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.34 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (2006)
Record low19° (1976)
Tue, 0154° / 38°0.2
54 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high68° (1982)
Record low20° (1964)
Wed, 0253° / 38°0.14
53 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low21° (2020)
Thu, 0354° / 38°0.13
54 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low24° (1985)
Fri, 0452° / 38°0.22
52 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low23° (1989)
Sat, 0552° / 37°0.15
52 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low22° (2024)
Sun, 0651° / 36°0.19
51 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low17° (2024)
Mon, 0750° / 36°0.13
50 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (1980)
Record low16° (1977)
Tue, 0851° / 37°0.18
51 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1978)
Record low18° (2006)
Wed, 0952° / 37°0.29
52 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.29 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (2007)
Record low20° (1978)
Thu, 1051° / 37°0.22
51 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1971)
Record low13° (1995)
Fri, 1150° / 35°0.15
50 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2007)
Record low15° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.