Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NC: average high 65.1°, average low 46.8°. That is 2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (76.7°), the coolest 16 November (37.2°).
65.1°/46.8°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
68.6°
62.9°
+3.2°
13 November – 22 November
59.4°
59.1°
+0.2°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
57.3°
—
November records over 66 years
82.2°9 November 2023All-time high
20.1°25 November 1970All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Durham (8 mi).
Wed, 0477° / 54°0
77 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Thu, 0575° / 63°0.39
75 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 75°, low 63°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Fri, 0668° / 61°0.72
68 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 68°, low 61°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SW
Humidity96%
Visibility1.5 mi
Dew point66°
Sat, 0769° / 53°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 69°, low 53°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.3 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 0861° / 44°0
61 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 0960° / 44°0
60 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 60°, low 44°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1064° / 40°0
64 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6 mph W
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1168° / 46°0
68 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 1270° / 51°0
70 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.4 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 1358° / 45°0.12
58 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.6 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1454° / 40°0
54 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 1554° / 40°0
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.3 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1663° / 37°0
63 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 63°, low 37°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5 mph NW
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 1763° / 41°0
63 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1864° / 41°0
64 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1960° / 42°0.07
60 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (1964)
Record low24° (2014)
Fri, 2059° / 42°0.07
59 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high74° (1988)
Record low29° (2008)
Sat, 2158° / 40°0.1
58 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2007)
Record low26° (1984)
Sun, 2257° / 40°0.13
57 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2025)
Record low23° (2000)
Mon, 2356° / 39°0.08
56 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (2010)
Record low26° (1971)
Tue, 2458° / 40°0.13
58 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1973)
Record low22° (1970)
Wed, 2558° / 40°0.08
58 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (1973)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2659° / 40°0.12
59 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (1986)
Record low26° (1970)
Fri, 2759° / 41°0.13
59 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (1973)
Record low24° (1977)
Sat, 2859° / 42°0.11
59 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2001)
Record low25° (2013)
Sun, 2957° / 39°0.14
57 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (1960)
Record low22° (2023)
Mon, 3055° / 39°0.15
55 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2016)
Record low26° (1976)
Tue, 0156° / 39°0.1
56 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low23° (1976)
Wed, 0255° / 38°0.06
55 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (1991)
Record low25° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NC are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NC since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.