Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NC: average high 64.8°, average low 48.1°. That is 0.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (73.4°), the coolest 8 November (31.7°).
64.8°/48.1°
Average high / low
−0.4°
Below normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
69.1°
66.8°
+1.3°
3 November – 12 November
57.7°
62.9°
-2.9°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
59.1°
—
October records over 66 years
97.9°3 October 2019All-time high
27.1°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Durham (8 mi).
Sun, 2570° / 41°0
70 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 70°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Mon, 2667° / 44°0
67 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 67°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Tue, 2771° / 43°0
71 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 71°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.7 mph E
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 2868° / 52°0
68 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 2972° / 55°0
72 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 3073° / 47°0
73 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 73°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.3 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 3173° / 55°0
73 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 55°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0170° / 51°0
70 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 51°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.1 mph E
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 0260° / 57°0.11
60 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 57°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 0359° / 57°0.43
59 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 59°, low 57°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.6 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 0467° / 60°0.88
67 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 60°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Thu, 0566° / 53°0.84
66 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 66°, low 53°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind17.9 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Fri, 0654° / 41°0
54 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 0748° / 36°0
48 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind10.4 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sun, 0852° / 32°0
52 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 32°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.8 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0963° / 44°0.07
63 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Tue, 1063° / 45°0.12
63 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2020)
Record low31° (1995)
Wed, 1162° / 44°0.18
62 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2020)
Record low27° (1973)
Thu, 1260° / 44°0.29
60 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.29 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low26° (1996)
Fri, 1359° / 41°0.11
59 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low25° (2019)
Sat, 1459° / 41°0.09
59 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high76° (1985)
Record low25° (2019)
Sun, 1560° / 42°0.1
60 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (1993)
Record low27° (2014)
Mon, 1660° / 42°0.07
60 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2005)
Record low26° (1969)
Tue, 1759° / 42°0.06
59 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1987)
Record low27° (1997)
Wed, 1860° / 41°0.05
60 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (2013)
Record low27° (1997)
Thu, 1960° / 42°0.07
60 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (1964)
Record low24° (2014)
Fri, 2059° / 42°0.07
59 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high74° (1988)
Record low29° (2008)
Sat, 2158° / 40°0.1
58 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2007)
Record low26° (1984)
Sun, 2257° / 40°0.13
57 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2025)
Record low23° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NC are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NC since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.