Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NC: average high 58.4°, average low 37.5°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (71.9°), the coolest 27 November (22.8°).
58.4°/37.5°
Average high / low
−0.2°
Below normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
60.4°
59.1°
+0.8°
23 November – 2 December
55.2°
57.3°
-1.2°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
53.4°
—
November records over 66 years
82.2°9 November 2023All-time high
20.1°25 November 1970All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Durham (8 mi).
Sat, 1456° / 34°0
56 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 56°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sun, 1554° / 32°0
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Mon, 1652° / 36°0
52 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.2 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 1756° / 33°0
56 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 56°, low 33°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NE
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Wed, 1860° / 34°0
60 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 60°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind2.9 mph N
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1966° / 39°0
66 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind2.8 mph E
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2068° / 45°0
68 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2165° / 45°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 2271° / 48°0
71 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 2369° / 54°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Tue, 2472° / 47°0
72 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 72°, low 47°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 2547° / 31°0
47 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point5°
Thu, 2638° / 25°0.07
38 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 25°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point9°
Fri, 2749° / 23°0
49 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 49°, low 23°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sat, 2856° / 31°0
56 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Clear. High 56°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.1 mph S
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2957° / 39°0.14
57 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (1960)
Record low22° (2023)
Mon, 3055° / 39°0.15
55 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2016)
Record low26° (1976)
Tue, 0156° / 39°0.1
56 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low23° (1976)
Wed, 0255° / 38°0.06
55 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (1991)
Record low25° (1964)
Thu, 0355° / 38°0.07
55 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1991)
Record low23° (1979)
Fri, 0454° / 37°0.07
54 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low23° (1966)
Sat, 0554° / 37°0.15
54 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1982)
Record low25° (2000)
Sun, 0654° / 37°0.09
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2013)
Record low19° (2002)
Mon, 0753° / 36°0.09
53 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (1998)
Record low23° (1984)
Tue, 0852° / 36°0.11
52 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low22° (2010)
Wed, 0953° / 37°0.13
53 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (1978)
Record low23° (2006)
Thu, 1054° / 38°0.17
54 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high76° (2007)
Record low23° (1995)
Fri, 1153° / 37°0.15
53 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2007)
Record low21° (1968)
Sat, 1252° / 36°0.11
52 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2007)
Record low17° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NC are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NC since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.