Weather in Chapel Hill, NC
Chapel Hill, Friday, 23 October, 03:14
Clear. Feels like 41°. High 69°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NC: average high 71.2°, average low 52.2°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (83.8°), the coolest 24 October (41.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 October – 1 November | 70° | 67° | +1.7° |
| 2 November – 11 November | 73.3° | 63.6° | +5.4° |
| 12 November – 21 November | at normal | 59.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Durham (8 mi).
0
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
0
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 48°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 67°, low 45°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 71°, low 47°.
0Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 51°.
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 70°, low 51°.
0
Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 52°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 76°, low 54°.
0.15
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 60°.
0.13Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 78°, low 68°.
0.15Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 84°, low 68°.
0.2Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 77°, low 66°.
0.08Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 48°.
0Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 66°, low 45°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 67°, low 49°.
0.07
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.29
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NC are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NC since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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