Weather in Chapel Hill, NC
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October, 12:14
Overcast. Feels like 61°. High 64°, low 50°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NC: average high 65.2°, average low 50.4°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 3.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (76.4°), the coolest 14 November (41.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 69.3° | 64.5° | +2.7° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 58.3° | 60.1° | -1° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 58.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Durham (8 mi).
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 47°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 47°.
0
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 71°, low 50°.
0Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 73°, low 53°.
0.02
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 60°.
1.58Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 76°, low 59°.
0.05Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 50°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 47°.
0.06Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 52°.
1.18Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 56°, low 55°.
0.19Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 52°.
0.33Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 57°, low 52°.
0.18Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 46°.
0
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 42°.
0
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 44°.
0.07Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NC are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NC since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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