Weather in Chapel Hill, NC
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 21 October, 09:26
Clear. Feels like 50°. High 70°, low 45°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NC: average high 69.8°, average low 51°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (77.5°), the coolest 22 October (39.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 October – 30 October | 69.9° | 67.3° | +1.5° |
| 31 October – 9 November | 69.6° | 64.5° | +2.8° |
| 10 November – 19 November | at normal | 60.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Durham (8 mi).
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 73°, low 40°.
0Chapel Hill, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 66°, low 43°.
0
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 46°.
0
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 50°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 67°, low 47°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 72°, low 48°.
0Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 53°.
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 76°, low 51°.
0Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 56°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 52°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 54°.
0.01
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 56°.
2.65Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 69°, low 64°.
0.13Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 56°.
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 54°.
0.07Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.29
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NC are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NC since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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