Weather in Chapel Hill, NC
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November, 22:01
Overcast. Feels like 69°. High 77°, low 65°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NC: average high 63.1°, average low 45.2°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (76.7°), the coolest 15 November (34.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 November – 14 November | 63° | 61.8° | +0.7° |
| 15 November – 24 November | 63.2° | 58.7° | +2.5° |
| 25 November – 4 December | at normal | 56.8° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Durham (8 mi).
2.02
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 71°, low 58°.
0
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 62°, low 49°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 63°, low 41°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 65°, low 49°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 41°.
0Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 69°, low 51°.
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 44°.
0Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 43°.
0.02Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 38°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 53°, low 35°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 66°, low 39°.
0
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 43°.
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 44°.
0Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 50°.
0.1Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NC are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NC since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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