Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NC: average high 89.4°, average low 69.3°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 August (98.2°), the coolest 21 August (62.8°).
89.4°/69.3°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
3 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 August – 17 August
89.3°
86.3°
+1.7°
18 August – 27 August
89.6°
85.7°
+2.2°
28 August – 6 September
at normal
84.7°
—
August records over 66 years
104.2°18 August 1988All-time high
50.9°30 August 1986All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Durham (8 mi).
Sun, 0992° / 73°0
92 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 9 August
Mostly clear. High 92°, low 73°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.1 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Mon, 1098° / 76°0
98 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 10 August
Overcast. High 98°, low 76°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Tue, 1197° / 71°0.03
97 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 11 August
Light rain. High 97°, low 71°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind3.6 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Wed, 1298° / 73°0.16
98 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 12 August
Rain. High 98°, low 73°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Thu, 1395° / 70°0.04
95 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 95°, low 70°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 1478° / 65°0
78 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 14 August
Light rain. High 78°, low 65°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.1 mph NE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 1587° / 64°0
87 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 15 August
Overcast. High 87°, low 64°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 1683° / 65°0
83 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 16 August
Overcast. High 83°, low 65°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Mon, 1775° / 71°0
75 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 75°, low 71°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Tue, 1882° / 69°0.31
82 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 18 August
Rain. High 82°, low 69°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.2 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Wed, 1989° / 68°0
89 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 19 August
Overcast. High 89°, low 68°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Thu, 2097° / 71°0
97 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 20 August
Mostly clear. High 97°, low 71°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 2187° / 63°0
87 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 21 August
Overcast. High 87°, low 63°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 2289° / 67°0
89 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 22 August
Mostly clear. High 89°, low 67°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 2394° / 71°0.24
94 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 23 August
Rain. High 94°, low 71°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2485° / 68°0.08
85 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 24 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high100° (2002)
Record low57° (2024)
Tue, 2585° / 68°0.04
85 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high98° (1968)
Record low59° (2024)
Wed, 2685° / 68°0.06
85 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high97° (1975)
Record low60° (1984)
Thu, 2785° / 69°0.15
85 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low69°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high95° (1987)
Record low60° (1966)
Fri, 2886° / 69°0.11
86 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low69°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high97° (2021)
Record low57° (1969)
Sat, 2986° / 69°0.08
86 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low69°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high97° (1998)
Record low53° (1986)
Sun, 3085° / 68°0.11
85 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high97° (2021)
Record low51° (1986)
Mon, 3185° / 68°0.13
85 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high96° (2010)
Record low56° (1976)
Tue, 0184° / 68°0.16
84 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high97° (1993)
Record low57° (2025)
Wed, 0284° / 67°0.13
84 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high95° (2014)
Record low54° (1967)
Thu, 0385° / 67°0.12
85 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high97° (2010)
Record low52° (1967)
Fri, 0484° / 67°0.14
84 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high94° (1975)
Record low57° (1967)
Sat, 0583° / 67°0.23
83 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high94° (2007)
Record low53° (1997)
Sun, 0684° / 67°0.26
84 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high96° (1983)
Record low57° (1982)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NC are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NC since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.