Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, TN: average high 69.8°, average low 48.8°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (84.9°), the coolest 18 October (39.1°).
69.8°/48.8°
Average high / low
+2.6°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
71.3°
66.1°
+2.9°
25 October – 3 November
67.4°
63.7°
+2.1°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
59°
—
October records over 66 years
94.6°3 October 2019All-time high
28.2°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Kingsport (7 mi).
Fri, 1681° / 53°0.1
81 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Sat, 1754° / 44°0.02
54 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.4 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sun, 1863° / 39°0
63 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 63°, low 39°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8.2 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1965° / 39°0
65 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 65°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.5 mph E
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2068° / 43°0
68 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2174° / 48°0
74 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 74°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2274° / 49°0
74 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 74°, low 49°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.6 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 2373° / 47°0
73 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 73°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.2 mph E
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2475° / 47°0
75 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 75°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.8 mph E
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 2575° / 49°0
75 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 75°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 2667° / 56°0
67 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 56°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.7 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 2770° / 55°0.13
70 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 55°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Wed, 2863° / 58°0.32
63 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 58°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind11.3 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Thu, 2964° / 48°0.02
64 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.8 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 3066° / 43°0
66 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 66°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3165° / 46°0.06
65 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low34° (1968)
Sun, 0164° / 46°0.08
64 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low28° (2023)
Mon, 0264° / 44°0.14
64 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high78° (2004)
Record low26° (2023)
Tue, 0362° / 43°0.07
62 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2003)
Record low29° (1996)
Wed, 0460° / 42°0.11
60 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2003)
Record low26° (1966)
Thu, 0560° / 42°0.13
60 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2022)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 42°0.06
60 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sat, 0760° / 42°0.13
60 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 41°0.08
59 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low26° (1971)
Mon, 0960° / 41°0.09
60 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low25° (2019)
Tue, 1059° / 41°0.13
59 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low27° (2025)
Wed, 1158° / 39°0.14
58 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2020)
Record low23° (2025)
Thu, 1257° / 40°0.14
57 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2003)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1356° / 37°0.04
56 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low16° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.