Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, TN: average high 70.8°, average low 47.5°. That is 3.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (80.7°), the coolest 18 October (38°).
70.8°/47.5°
Average high / low
+3.3°
Above normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
68.6°
65.6°
+1.7°
26 October – 4 November
74.6°
63.3°
+6.2°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
58.6°
—
October records over 66 years
94.6°3 October 2019All-time high
28.2°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Kingsport (7 mi).
Sat, 1758° / 44°0.05
58 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.8 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 1862° / 38°0
62 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 62°, low 38°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.5 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1967° / 42°0
67 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 67°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind2.5 mph E
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Tue, 2069° / 42°0
69 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 69°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2169° / 42°0
69 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 69°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.7 mph N
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 2269° / 42°0
69 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 69°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.8 mph W
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2372° / 46°0
72 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 46°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2467° / 45°0
67 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2570° / 40°0
70 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 70°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NE
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 2670° / 52°0
70 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 52°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Tue, 2773° / 54°0
73 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 54°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.4 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 2874° / 53°0
74 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.7 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 2977° / 55°0
77 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 77°, low 55°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind2.6 mph E
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 3077° / 54°0
77 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind2.5 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 3177° / 54°0
77 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.5 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0164° / 46°0.08
64 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low28° (2023)
Mon, 0264° / 44°0.14
64 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high78° (2004)
Record low26° (2023)
Tue, 0362° / 43°0.07
62 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2003)
Record low29° (1996)
Wed, 0460° / 42°0.11
60 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2003)
Record low26° (1966)
Thu, 0560° / 42°0.13
60 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2022)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 42°0.06
60 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sat, 0760° / 42°0.13
60 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 41°0.08
59 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low26° (1971)
Mon, 0960° / 41°0.09
60 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low25° (2019)
Tue, 1059° / 41°0.13
59 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low27° (2025)
Wed, 1158° / 39°0.14
58 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2020)
Record low23° (2025)
Thu, 1257° / 40°0.14
57 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2003)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1356° / 37°0.04
56 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low16° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 37°0.06
56 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (1993)
Record low23° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.