Monthly outlook for McMinnville, TN: average high 54.2°, average low 35.9°. That is 1.3° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (68.8°), the coolest 25 November (18.6°).
54.2°/35.9°
Average high / low
−1.3°
Below normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
58.7°
57.2°
+0.8°
23 November – 2 December
46.7°
54.3°
-4.2°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
50.6°
—
November records over 66 years
83.3°1 November 2016All-time high
16.9°24 November 1970All-time low
Sat, 1448° / 35°0
48 °
McMinnville, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.5 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sun, 1552° / 32°0
52 °
McMinnville, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 52°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1654° / 34°0
54 °
McMinnville, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind1.5 mph NE
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Tue, 1758° / 35°0
58 °
McMinnville, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 58°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.6 mph NE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1864° / 36°0
64 °
McMinnville, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 64°, low 36°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1964° / 44°0
64 °
McMinnville, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.2 mph SE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 2069° / 48°0
69 °
McMinnville, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 2166° / 49°0
66 °
McMinnville, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2266° / 54°0.2
66 °
McMinnville, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.1 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 2357° / 53°0.18
57 °
McMinnville, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.1 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 2450° / 23°0.01
50 °
McMinnville, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 23°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 2535° / 19°0
35 °
McMinnville, Wednesday, 25 November
Partly cloudy. High 35°, low 19°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.8 mph N
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point1°
Thu, 2641° / 21°0
41 °
McMinnville, Thursday, 26 November
Mostly clear. High 41°, low 21°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NE
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point3°
Fri, 2747° / 24°0
47 °
McMinnville, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 24°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point9°
Sat, 2852° / 30°0
52 °
McMinnville, Saturday, 28 November
Clear. High 52°, low 30°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2952° / 37°0.09
52 °
McMinnville, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low22° (1976)
Mon, 3053° / 39°0.31
53 °
McMinnville, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.31 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (1970)
Record low19° (1976)
Tue, 0153° / 38°0.19
53 °
McMinnville, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1970)
Record low19° (1964)
Wed, 0253° / 37°0.13
53 °
McMinnville, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1982)
Record low22° (2020)
Thu, 0353° / 38°0.12
53 °
McMinnville, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low22° (1985)
Fri, 0452° / 38°0.2
52 °
McMinnville, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low21° (1989)
Sat, 0551° / 37°0.16
51 °
McMinnville, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low22° (2024)
Sun, 0650° / 35°0.17
50 °
McMinnville, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low18° (2024)
Mon, 0749° / 35°0.12
49 °
McMinnville, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low13° (1977)
Tue, 0850° / 37°0.14
50 °
McMinnville, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high68° (1978)
Record low17° (2006)
Wed, 0951° / 37°0.22
51 °
McMinnville, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (2023)
Record low20° (1995)
Thu, 1051° / 36°0.27
51 °
McMinnville, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high68° (2024)
Record low11° (1995)
Fri, 1149° / 35°0.15
49 °
McMinnville, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2007)
Record low13° (1962)
Sat, 1250° / 36°0.11
50 °
McMinnville, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (2015)
Record low5° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for McMinnville, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in McMinnville, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.