Monthly outlook for Melbourne, AR: average high 73.1°, average low 52.5°. That is 1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 4.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (91.3°), the coolest 18 October (34°).
73.1°/52.5°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
4.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
76.1°
72.2°
+2.2°
20 October – 29 October
68.1°
68.6°
-0.3°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
64.4°
—
October records over 66 years
93.9°11 October 1963All-time high
28.4°29 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mount Olive (12 mi).
Sun, 1190° / 54°0
90 °
Melbourne, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 90°, low 54°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Mon, 1290° / 67°0
90 °
Melbourne, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 90°, low 67°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.3 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Tue, 1391° / 69°0
91 °
Melbourne, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 91°, low 69°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Wed, 1482° / 73°0.3
82 °
Melbourne, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 82°, low 73°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point74°
Thu, 1585° / 71°2.81
85 °
Melbourne, Thursday, 15 October
Heavy rain. High 85°, low 71°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point71°
Fri, 1672° / 58°0.12
72 °
Melbourne, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 58°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 1754° / 41°0
54 °
Melbourne, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind20.5 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1854° / 34°0
54 °
Melbourne, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1958° / 35°0
58 °
Melbourne, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 58°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.9 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2064° / 38°0
64 °
Melbourne, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2170° / 44°0
70 °
Melbourne, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 2270° / 47°0
70 °
Melbourne, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 70°, low 47°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2371° / 51°0.07
71 °
Melbourne, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2471° / 54°1.11
71 °
Melbourne, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 71°, low 54°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sun, 2563° / 46°0
63 °
Melbourne, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2668° / 51°0.1
68 °
Melbourne, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high85° (2014)
Record low39° (1972)
Tue, 2767° / 51°0.15
67 °
Melbourne, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high84° (1963)
Record low39° (2012)
Wed, 2866° / 49°0.14
66 °
Melbourne, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low34° (2017)
Thu, 2967° / 50°0.13
67 °
Melbourne, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high82° (1971)
Record low28° (2017)
Fri, 3067° / 51°0.15
67 °
Melbourne, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high84° (2016)
Record low33° (1980)
Sat, 3167° / 51°0.19
67 °
Melbourne, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low29° (2023)
Sun, 0166° / 50°0.17
66 °
Melbourne, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low27° (2019)
Mon, 0264° / 49°0.08
64 °
Melbourne, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low30° (1991)
Tue, 0364° / 48°0.09
64 °
Melbourne, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low26° (1991)
Wed, 0464° / 48°0.09
64 °
Melbourne, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high82° (1978)
Record low22° (1991)
Thu, 0562° / 47°0.15
62 °
Melbourne, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high82° (1978)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0663° / 46°0.13
63 °
Melbourne, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0763° / 47°0.12
63 °
Melbourne, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low27° (1993)
Sun, 0863° / 47°0.03
63 °
Melbourne, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low23° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Melbourne, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Melbourne, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.