Monthly outlook for Erie, PA: average high 59.3°, average low 50°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (73.5°), the coolest 18 October (36.3°).
59.3°/50°
Average high / low
+1.3°
Above normal
7 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
63°
58°
+2.8°
22 October – 31 October
53.3°
54.7°
-0.8°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
51.4°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°1 October 2019All-time high
30.6°29 October 1965All-time low
Tue, 1374° / 63°0.01
74 °
Erie, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 63°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind17.8 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 1466° / 61°0.06
66 °
Erie, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 66°, low 61°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Thu, 1561° / 58°0.04
61 °
Erie, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 58°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Fri, 1662° / 52°0.5
62 °
Erie, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind34.5 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 1750° / 41°0.01
50 °
Erie, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind22.6 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1856° / 36°0
56 °
Erie, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind18.6 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1963° / 46°0
63 °
Erie, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind17.6 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2062° / 50°0
62 °
Erie, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.3 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2166° / 53°0
66 °
Erie, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 53°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind17.4 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 2269° / 56°0.41
69 °
Erie, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 69°, low 56°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind28.8 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 2355° / 48°0.76
55 °
Erie, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind20.8 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 2448° / 44°0.16
48 °
Erie, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind25.7 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2547° / 41°0
47 °
Erie, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 41°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind24.3 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 2649° / 46°0.06
49 °
Erie, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2752° / 47°0.04
52 °
Erie, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14 mph W
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2854° / 44°0.14
54 °
Erie, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (1984)
Record low33° (1965)
Thu, 2953° / 44°0.13
53 °
Erie, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low31° (1965)
Fri, 3054° / 44°0.11
54 °
Erie, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low34° (2011)
Sat, 3155° / 45°0.15
55 °
Erie, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low32° (1988)
Sun, 0154° / 45°0.14
54 °
Erie, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high67° (1984)
Record low35° (1993)
Mon, 0254° / 44°0.21
54 °
Erie, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low33° (1965)
Tue, 0353° / 43°0.12
53 °
Erie, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (1961)
Record low31° (1966)
Wed, 0452° / 43°0.14
52 °
Erie, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low28° (1991)
Thu, 0552° / 43°0.14
52 °
Erie, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 42°0.14
51 °
Erie, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0749° / 41°0.12
49 °
Erie, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (2008)
Record low29° (1967)
Sun, 0850° / 41°0.11
50 °
Erie, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low29° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 41°0.12
50 °
Erie, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low28° (2019)
Tue, 1050° / 40°0.19
50 °
Erie, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low24° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erie, PA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erie, PA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.