Monthly outlook for Erie, PA: average high 57.1°, average low 46.8°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (64.1°), the coolest 30 October (41.4°).
57.1°/46.8°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
4 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
22 October – 31 October
59.2°
54.7°
+2.5°
1 November – 10 November
53.7°
51.4°
+1.3°
11 November – 20 November
at normal
46.2°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°1 October 2019All-time high
30.6°29 October 1965All-time low
Fri, 2360° / 42°0
60 °
Erie, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sat, 2460° / 50°0
60 °
Erie, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind2.5 mph E
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sun, 2560° / 49°0
60 °
Erie, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.2 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Mon, 2662° / 55°0
62 °
Erie, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 55°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.1 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 2760° / 52°0
60 °
Erie, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 52°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 2859° / 49°0.16
59 °
Erie, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.9 mph N
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 2949° / 44°0
49 °
Erie, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.2 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 3055° / 41°0
55 °
Erie, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 3164° / 47°0
64 °
Erie, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind18.4 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0163° / 54°0.01
63 °
Erie, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind21.2 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 0257° / 49°0.6
57 °
Erie, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind24.4 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 0348° / 42°0.21
48 °
Erie, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind31.4 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 0453° / 43°0
53 °
Erie, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind28.1 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 0555° / 48°0.24
55 °
Erie, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind31 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 0645° / 44°0
45 °
Erie, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind18.5 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 0749° / 41°0.12
49 °
Erie, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (2008)
Record low29° (1967)
Sun, 0850° / 41°0.11
50 °
Erie, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low29° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 41°0.12
50 °
Erie, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low28° (2019)
Tue, 1050° / 40°0.19
50 °
Erie, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low24° (2017)
Wed, 1148° / 40°0.19
48 °
Erie, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low24° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 38°0.14
46 °
Erie, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (1964)
Record low24° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 37°0.1
46 °
Erie, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high61° (1989)
Record low24° (1986)
Sat, 1446° / 38°0.16
46 °
Erie, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 37°0.22
46 °
Erie, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 37°0.19
46 °
Erie, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1988)
Record low20° (1967)
Tue, 1746° / 37°0.15
46 °
Erie, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (2021)
Record low26° (2014)
Wed, 1846° / 37°0.09
46 °
Erie, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low15° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 37°0.12
46 °
Erie, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high65° (1985)
Record low13° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 37°0.15
45 °
Erie, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high63° (1985)
Record low24° (2022)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erie, PA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erie, PA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.