Monthly outlook for Erie, PA: average high 61.8°, average low 52.4°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (70.9°), the coolest 17 October (44.4°).
61.8°/52.4°
Average high / low
+3.4°
Above normal
5 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
62.6°
56.6°
+3.4°
25 October – 3 November
60.5°
53.9°
+3.6°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
49.4°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°1 October 2019All-time high
30.6°29 October 1965All-time low
Fri, 1668° / 53°0.89
68 °
Erie, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 68°, low 53°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind21.8 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility3.8 mi
Dew point57°
Sat, 1752° / 44°0.04
52 °
Erie, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind14.9 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Sun, 1858° / 48°0
58 °
Erie, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind16.1 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Mon, 1959° / 51°0
59 °
Erie, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind13 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2060° / 55°0
60 °
Erie, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.2 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 2161° / 52°0
61 °
Erie, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2264° / 52°0
64 °
Erie, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2368° / 55°0
68 °
Erie, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 55°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.3 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 2470° / 57°0
70 °
Erie, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 57°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.2 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 2566° / 60°0
66 °
Erie, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 60°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.3 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 2671° / 54°0.08
71 °
Erie, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 54°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind31.3 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 2758° / 50°0
58 °
Erie, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2858° / 51°0.8
58 °
Erie, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 58°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.4 mph E
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 2957° / 53°0.2
57 °
Erie, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 57°, low 53°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.2 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 3054° / 50°0.03
54 °
Erie, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind19 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3155° / 45°0.15
55 °
Erie, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low32° (1988)
Sun, 0154° / 45°0.14
54 °
Erie, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high67° (1984)
Record low35° (1993)
Mon, 0254° / 44°0.21
54 °
Erie, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low33° (1965)
Tue, 0353° / 43°0.12
53 °
Erie, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (1961)
Record low31° (1966)
Wed, 0452° / 43°0.14
52 °
Erie, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low28° (1991)
Thu, 0552° / 43°0.14
52 °
Erie, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 42°0.14
51 °
Erie, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0749° / 41°0.12
49 °
Erie, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (2008)
Record low29° (1967)
Sun, 0850° / 41°0.11
50 °
Erie, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low29° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 41°0.12
50 °
Erie, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low28° (2019)
Tue, 1050° / 40°0.19
50 °
Erie, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low24° (2017)
Wed, 1148° / 40°0.19
48 °
Erie, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low24° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 38°0.14
46 °
Erie, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (1964)
Record low24° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 37°0.1
46 °
Erie, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high61° (1989)
Record low24° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erie, PA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erie, PA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.