Monthly outlook for Fort Smith, AR: average high 72.9°, average low 49.4°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (81.9°), the coolest 30 October (36.7°).
72.9°/49.4°
Average high / low
+2.3°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
19 October – 28 October
75.7°
70.1°
+3.1°
29 October – 7 November
68.2°
66°
+1.3°
8 November – 17 November
at normal
62.2°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°11 October 1963All-time high
27.9°31 October 1993All-time low
Tue, 2076° / 48°0
76 °
Fort Smith, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.9 mph E
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 2176° / 53°0
76 °
Fort Smith, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 76°, low 53°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.4 mph E
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Thu, 2279° / 55°0
79 °
Fort Smith, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 79°, low 55°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.5 mph E
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 2380° / 56°0
80 °
Fort Smith, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 80°, low 56°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.6 mph E
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2482° / 57°0
82 °
Fort Smith, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 57°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.5 mph E
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 2580° / 55°0
80 °
Fort Smith, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 55°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.5 mph E
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 2681° / 58°0
81 °
Fort Smith, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 2770° / 57°0.24
70 °
Fort Smith, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 70°, low 57°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2857° / 46°0.17
57 °
Fort Smith, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.8 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 2961° / 38°0
61 °
Fort Smith, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 61°, low 38°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.1 mph N
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Fri, 3061° / 37°0
61 °
Fort Smith, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.5 mph E
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sat, 3168° / 37°0
68 °
Fort Smith, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sun, 0174° / 43°0
74 °
Fort Smith, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 74°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 0275° / 45°0
75 °
Fort Smith, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 75°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 0371° / 59°0.8
71 °
Fort Smith, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 71°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.7 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 0465° / 48°0.19
65 °
Fort Smith, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (1978)
Record low22° (1991)
Thu, 0565° / 48°0.21
65 °
Fort Smith, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high82° (2017)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0665° / 46°0.11
65 °
Fort Smith, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low31° (1991)
Sat, 0765° / 47°0.11
65 °
Fort Smith, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low26° (1993)
Sun, 0865° / 47°0.07
65 °
Fort Smith, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low24° (1991)
Mon, 0965° / 48°0.17
65 °
Fort Smith, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high81° (2022)
Record low24° (1991)
Tue, 1064° / 46°0.1
64 °
Fort Smith, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2022)
Record low24° (2018)
Wed, 1162° / 45°0.09
62 °
Fort Smith, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (1989)
Record low29° (2019)
Thu, 1261° / 44°0.08
61 °
Fort Smith, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low19° (2019)
Fri, 1362° / 43°0.07
62 °
Fort Smith, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low22° (2019)
Sat, 1461° / 45°0.09
61 °
Fort Smith, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low25° (2018)
Sun, 1561° / 44°0.17
61 °
Fort Smith, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (2025)
Record low24° (2018)
Mon, 1661° / 43°0.14
61 °
Fort Smith, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low27° (1970)
Tue, 1762° / 44°0.11
62 °
Fort Smith, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low26° (1997)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fort Smith, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fort Smith, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.