Monthly outlook for Ellenton, FL: average high 83.4°, average low 70.2°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (88.4°), the coolest 19 October (60.9°).
83.4°/70.2°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
84.1°
82.6°
+0.8°
20 October – 29 October
82.2°
80.9°
+0.7°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
78.8°
—
October records over 66 years
93.4°2 October 2019All-time high
48.4°29 October 2008All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — South Bradenton (6 mi).
Sun, 1186° / 77°0.56
86 °
Ellenton, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 86°, low 77°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point75°
Mon, 1285° / 75°0
85 °
Ellenton, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 85°, low 75°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Tue, 1385° / 75°0
85 °
Ellenton, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 85°, low 75°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.2 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Wed, 1484° / 70°0
84 °
Ellenton, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 84°, low 70°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.5 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Thu, 1585° / 73°0
85 °
Ellenton, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 85°, low 73°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.2 mph E
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Fri, 1688° / 71°0
88 °
Ellenton, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 88°, low 71°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.2 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Sat, 1786° / 72°0
86 °
Ellenton, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 86°, low 72°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sun, 1877° / 66°0
77 °
Ellenton, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 66°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind17.3 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 1978° / 61°0
78 °
Ellenton, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 78°, low 61°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind18.9 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 2079° / 65°0
79 °
Ellenton, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 79°, low 65°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind18.8 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 2181° / 65°0
81 °
Ellenton, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 81°, low 65°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind18.2 mph NE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Thu, 2284° / 67°0
84 °
Ellenton, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 84°, low 67°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind20 mph E
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 2384° / 69°0
84 °
Ellenton, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 84°, low 69°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 2483° / 68°0
83 °
Ellenton, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 83°, low 68°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.1 mph E
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sun, 2582° / 68°0
82 °
Ellenton, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 68°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.7 mph E
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2680° / 68°0.04
80 °
Ellenton, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high88° (2025)
Record low56° (2005)
Tue, 2780° / 67°0.05
80 °
Ellenton, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high89° (2010)
Record low56° (1968)
Wed, 2880° / 67°0.12
80 °
Ellenton, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high88° (2023)
Record low53° (2001)
Thu, 2980° / 67°0.06
80 °
Ellenton, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high88° (2023)
Record low48° (2008)
Fri, 3080° / 67°0.04
80 °
Ellenton, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high88° (2009)
Record low50° (2017)
Sat, 3180° / 67°0.07
80 °
Ellenton, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high87° (1972)
Record low49° (2017)
Sun, 0180° / 67°0.07
80 °
Ellenton, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high87° (1972)
Record low48° (1993)
Mon, 0280° / 67°0.09
80 °
Ellenton, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high87° (1972)
Record low50° (1993)
Tue, 0379° / 66°0.07
79 °
Ellenton, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high86° (1961)
Record low50° (1963)
Wed, 0478° / 65°0.12
78 °
Ellenton, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high86° (2015)
Record low44° (1966)
Thu, 0578° / 66°0.1
78 °
Ellenton, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high88° (2015)
Record low53° (1969)
Fri, 0678° / 65°0.02
78 °
Ellenton, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high88° (2022)
Record low50° (1976)
Sat, 0777° / 65°0.03
77 °
Ellenton, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high86° (2019)
Record low50° (2010)
Sun, 0878° / 64°0.03
78 °
Ellenton, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high85° (2024)
Record low52° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellenton, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellenton, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.