Monthly outlook for Elsie, MI: average high 59.4°, average low 45.3°. That is 5.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (71.2°), the coolest 13 November (31.9°).
59.4°/45.3°
Average high / low
+5.7°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
63.9°
51.1°
+7.1°
10 November – 19 November
51.9°
45.5°
+3.5°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
41.7°
—
October records over 66 years
84.9°3 October 2023All-time high
22.1°29 October 1967All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Johns (10 mi).
Sun, 0167° / 45°0
67 °
Elsie, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 0263° / 49°0.01
63 °
Elsie, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Tue, 0369° / 55°0.06
69 °
Elsie, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.6 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Wed, 0471° / 62°0.21
71 °
Elsie, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 71°, low 62°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Thu, 0561° / 51°0.87
61 °
Elsie, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 61°, low 51°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 0663° / 44°0
63 °
Elsie, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 0763° / 49°0
63 °
Elsie, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.2 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 0859° / 50°0.02
59 °
Elsie, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6 mph E
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 0964° / 51°0
64 °
Elsie, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 1060° / 46°0
60 °
Elsie, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 1153° / 39°0
53 °
Elsie, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16.5 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 1250° / 34°0
50 °
Elsie, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 1347° / 32°0
47 °
Elsie, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 32°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.9 mph E
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 1443° / 38°0.27
43 °
Elsie, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 43°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.7 mph NE
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 1558° / 39°0
58 °
Elsie, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 39°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind15.8 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1644° / 31°0.07
44 °
Elsie, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high62° (2023)
Record low12° (1997)
Tue, 1745° / 33°0.07
45 °
Elsie, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1971)
Record low18° (2014)
Wed, 1846° / 33°0.08
46 °
Elsie, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low14° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.07
45 °
Elsie, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (2024)
Record low13° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 32°0.1
44 °
Elsie, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high65° (1985)
Record low10° (2022)
Sat, 2143° / 31°0.07
43 °
Elsie, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high60° (1990)
Record low1° (2014)
Sun, 2242° / 29°0.04
42 °
Elsie, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high60° (2010)
Record low10° (2022)
Mon, 2343° / 30°0.09
43 °
Elsie, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low14° (1989)
Tue, 2442° / 30°0.08
42 °
Elsie, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (2005)
Wed, 2542° / 31°0.09
42 °
Elsie, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low17° (2005)
Thu, 2642° / 31°0.08
42 °
Elsie, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high59° (1960)
Record low13° (1977)
Fri, 2741° / 30°0.2
41 °
Elsie, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low7° (1977)
Sat, 2840° / 29°0.12
40 °
Elsie, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low9° (1969)
Sun, 2940° / 28°0.1
40 °
Elsie, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (1998)
Record low12° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elsie, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elsie, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.