Monthly outlook for Ellsworth, MI: average high 58.9°, average low 50°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 October (72.7°), the coolest 26 October (38.8°).
58.9°/50°
Average high / low
+2.6°
Above normal
8 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
61.1°
55.1°
+3.3°
22 October – 31 October
55.3°
51.9°
+1.9°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
47.4°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°3 October 2023All-time high
25.9°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — East Jordan (6 mi).
Tue, 1370° / 54°0.61
70 °
Ellsworth, Tuesday, 13 October
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind17.3 mph W
Humidity97%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 1464° / 52°0.04
64 °
Ellsworth, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Thu, 1556° / 48°0.09
56 °
Ellsworth, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 1653° / 47°0.61
53 °
Ellsworth, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind24.6 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility4.5 mi
Dew point46°
Sat, 1754° / 48°0.01
54 °
Ellsworth, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 1857° / 52°0
57 °
Ellsworth, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind22.4 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 1959° / 52°0
59 °
Ellsworth, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 52°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind19.8 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 2062° / 50°0
62 °
Ellsworth, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2163° / 55°0
63 °
Ellsworth, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 2271° / 56°0
71 °
Ellsworth, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 56°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind19.6 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2368° / 52°0.25
68 °
Ellsworth, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind30.1 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 2451° / 46°0.01
51 °
Ellsworth, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind25.5 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2546° / 44°0.02
46 °
Ellsworth, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 2648° / 39°0.09
48 °
Ellsworth, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.1 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2748° / 46°0.27
48 °
Ellsworth, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 46°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind19.2 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2851° / 41°0.07
51 °
Ellsworth, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low31° (1965)
Thu, 2950° / 40°0.07
50 °
Ellsworth, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low30° (1978)
Fri, 3052° / 40°0.09
52 °
Ellsworth, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low29° (2020)
Sat, 3151° / 41°0.11
51 °
Ellsworth, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low26° (2020)
Sun, 0150° / 41°0.15
50 °
Ellsworth, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low30° (2023)
Mon, 0249° / 40°0.17
49 °
Ellsworth, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low27° (1984)
Tue, 0348° / 39°0.1
48 °
Ellsworth, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low25° (1991)
Wed, 0448° / 39°0.13
48 °
Ellsworth, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low25° (1991)
Thu, 0548° / 39°0.15
48 °
Ellsworth, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high67° (2015)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0648° / 38°0.14
48 °
Ellsworth, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (2008)
Record low24° (1991)
Sat, 0747° / 38°0.08
47 °
Ellsworth, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low21° (1991)
Sun, 0846° / 37°0.09
46 °
Ellsworth, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low17° (2019)
Mon, 0946° / 37°0.12
46 °
Ellsworth, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low18° (2017)
Tue, 1045° / 36°0.14
45 °
Ellsworth, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low8° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellsworth, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellsworth, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.