Weather in Ellsworth, MI
Ellsworth, Thursday, 15 October, 05:43
Overcast. Feels like 44°. High 56°, low 46°.
Monthly outlook for Ellsworth, MI: average high 54°, average low 45.5°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (67.3°), the coolest 30 October (34.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 58.8° | 53.8° | +2.8° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 46° | 50.5° | -2.5° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 45.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — East Jordan (6 mi).
0.53
Ellsworth, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 50°, low 44°.
0
Ellsworth, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 54°, low 45°.
0Ellsworth, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 58°, low 52°.
0Ellsworth, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 56°, low 52°.
0Ellsworth, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 58°, low 49°.
0Ellsworth, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 60°, low 43°.
0
Ellsworth, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 46°.
0Ellsworth, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 50°.
0Ellsworth, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 55°.
0.22Ellsworth, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 48°.
0.06Ellsworth, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 42°.
0.08
Ellsworth, Tuesday, 27 October
Snow. High 42°, low 40°.
0.18Ellsworth, Wednesday, 28 October
Snow. High 47°, low 40°.
0.02Ellsworth, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
0.2Ellsworth, Friday, 30 October
Snow. High 39°, low 34°.
0.11
Ellsworth, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Ellsworth, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Ellsworth, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellsworth, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ellsworth, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Ellsworth, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Ellsworth, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Ellsworth, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ellsworth, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellsworth, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Ellsworth, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellsworth, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellsworth, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellsworth, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellsworth, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellsworth, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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