Monthly outlook for Warrenton, MO: average high 51.3°, average low 38.6°. That is 1.2° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (70.2°), the coolest 25 November (21.5°).
51.3°/38.6°
Average high / low
−1.2°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 November – 19 November
55°
54.6°
+0.2°
20 November – 29 November
45.2°
50.3°
-2.8°
30 November – 9 December
at normal
45.9°
—
November records over 66 years
81.3°8 November 2023All-time high
-5.4°8 November 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Haven (15 mi).
Wed, 1168° / 45°0
68 °
Warrenton, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Thu, 1247° / 39°0
47 °
Warrenton, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 39°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.6 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Fri, 1343° / 33°0
43 °
Warrenton, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point21°
Sat, 1447° / 28°0
47 °
Warrenton, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 28°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1551° / 34°0
51 °
Warrenton, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 34°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 1646° / 42°0
46 °
Warrenton, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 42°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.6 mph E
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 1753° / 44°0
53 °
Warrenton, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 1863° / 47°0
63 °
Warrenton, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1962° / 44°0
62 °
Warrenton, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 2060° / 55°0.27
60 °
Warrenton, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.6 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 2153° / 43°0.06
53 °
Warrenton, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2244° / 33°0
44 °
Warrenton, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 2339° / 33°0.01
39 °
Warrenton, Monday, 23 November
Light snow. High 39°, low 33°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 2441° / 30°0
41 °
Warrenton, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 41°, low 30°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.5 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 2536° / 22°0
36 °
Warrenton, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 36°, low 22°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point6°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2650° / 36°0.15
50 °
Warrenton, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high76° (1965)
Record low15° (1977)
Fri, 2749° / 35°0.2
49 °
Warrenton, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (1960)
Record low15° (1993)
Sat, 2846° / 32°0.07
46 °
Warrenton, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low17° (1975)
Sun, 2948° / 34°0.07
48 °
Warrenton, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low15° (1976)
Mon, 3048° / 33°0.15
48 °
Warrenton, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (1970)
Record low10° (1964)
Tue, 0147° / 32°0.1
47 °
Warrenton, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (2012)
Record low11° (1985)
Wed, 0248° / 32°0.09
48 °
Warrenton, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low8° (1985)
Thu, 0347° / 33°0.09
47 °
Warrenton, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (2012)
Record low9° (1974)
Fri, 0446° / 31°0.09
46 °
Warrenton, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high70° (2017)
Record low2° (2006)
Sat, 0547° / 31°0.07
47 °
Warrenton, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low14° (2006)
Sun, 0644° / 31°0.06
44 °
Warrenton, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low5° (1977)
Mon, 0744° / 30°0.09
44 °
Warrenton, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1980)
Record low-3° (1977)
Tue, 0844° / 30°0.08
44 °
Warrenton, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (1991)
Record low7° (2006)
Wed, 0944° / 29°0.07
44 °
Warrenton, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (2021)
Record low2° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warrenton, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warrenton, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.