Weather in Upper Frederick, PA
Upper Frederick, Wednesday, 7 October, 16:17
Clear. Feels like 68°. High 69°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for Upper Frederick, PA: average high 65°, average low 48.3°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (75.2°), the coolest 22 October (39.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 October – 16 October | 67.9° | 65.1° | +1.5° |
| 17 October – 26 October | 60.4° | 60.9° | -0.3° |
| 27 October – 5 November | at normal | 58.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — East Greenville (7 mi).
0Upper Frederick, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 74°, low 49°.
0Upper Frederick, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 68°, low 44°.
0
Upper Frederick, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 47°.
0.02
Upper Frederick, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 52°.
0.51Upper Frederick, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 70°, low 61°.
0.11Upper Frederick, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 57°.
0.01Upper Frederick, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 45°.
0Upper Frederick, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
0.02Upper Frederick, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 49°.
0Upper Frederick, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 53°.
0Upper Frederick, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 60°.
0Upper Frederick, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 60°, low 50°.
0
Upper Frederick, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 44°.
0.02Upper Frederick, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 41°.
0Upper Frederick, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 40°.
0.09Upper Frederick, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Upper Frederick, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Upper Frederick, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Upper Frederick, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Upper Frederick, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Upper Frederick, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Upper Frederick, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Upper Frederick, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Upper Frederick, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Upper Frederick, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Upper Frederick, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Upper Frederick, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07
Upper Frederick, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Upper Frederick, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Upper Frederick, PA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Upper Frederick, PA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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