Monthly outlook for Dawson, ND: average high 55.2°, average low 41°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (74.1°), the coolest 23 October (27.6°).
55.2°/41°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
1 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
58.8°
54.1°
+2.6°
21 October – 30 October
49.4°
49.9°
-0.3°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
43.1°
—
October records over 66 years
89.4°4 October 1963All-time high
5.5°31 October 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tappen (6 mi).
Mon, 1249° / 44°0.13
49 °
Dawson, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Tue, 1349° / 42°0
49 °
Dawson, Tuesday, 13 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Wed, 1453° / 35°0
53 °
Dawson, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind1.8 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 1550° / 43°0
50 °
Dawson, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind24.2 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Fri, 1653° / 32°0
53 °
Dawson, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 53°, low 32°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind16.1 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1765° / 43°0
65 °
Dawson, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.8 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1873° / 53°0
73 °
Dawson, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 53°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 1968° / 50°0
68 °
Dawson, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.7 mph E
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2074° / 53°0
74 °
Dawson, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 53°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind22.5 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2155° / 45°0
55 °
Dawson, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 45°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind21.9 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2247° / 36°0
47 °
Dawson, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 36°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind24.2 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 2346° / 28°0
46 °
Dawson, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 28°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16.2 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sat, 2456° / 38°0
56 °
Dawson, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 2545° / 38°0
45 °
Dawson, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.9 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 2647° / 31°0
47 °
Dawson, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2749° / 34°0.06
49 °
Dawson, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1983)
Record low15° (2020)
Wed, 2848° / 33°0.05
48 °
Dawson, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low12° (2023)
Thu, 2947° / 33°0.06
47 °
Dawson, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (2007)
Record low11° (1991)
Fri, 3046° / 32°0.04
46 °
Dawson, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (2007)
Record low8° (1991)
Sat, 3146° / 31°0.04
46 °
Dawson, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low6° (2023)
Sun, 0145° / 32°0.05
45 °
Dawson, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low9° (1984)
Mon, 0245° / 31°0.02
45 °
Dawson, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low5° (1991)
Tue, 0343° / 30°0.03
43 °
Dawson, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low-1° (1991)
Wed, 0444° / 29°0.02
44 °
Dawson, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low0° (1991)
Thu, 0544° / 29°0.03
44 °
Dawson, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low8° (2003)
Fri, 0643° / 29°0.03
43 °
Dawson, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low-4° (1991)
Sat, 0743° / 28°0.06
43 °
Dawson, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low-2° (1991)
Sun, 0841° / 28°0.04
41 °
Dawson, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low5° (2003)
Mon, 0938° / 26°0.04
38 °
Dawson, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low5° (1979)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Dawson, ND are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Dawson, ND since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.