Monthly outlook for Black Hat, NM: average high 55.5°, average low 38.5°. That is 1.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 October (63.7°), the coolest 27 October (30.2°).
55.5°/38.5°
Average high / low
−1.3°
Below normal
6 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
57.8°
58.7°
-0.5°
2 November – 11 November
51.6°
55.4°
-2.1°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
50.7°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°1 October 2015All-time high
11.7°30 October 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Michaels (8 mi).
Sat, 2457° / 40°0.24
57 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind2.7 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility3.5 mi
Dew point43°
Sun, 2555° / 36°0
55 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Mon, 2657° / 31°0
57 °
Black Hat, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 57°, low 31°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.6 mph E
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 2763° / 30°0
63 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 63°, low 30°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Wed, 2864° / 36°0
64 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 2961° / 42°0
61 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 3061° / 46°0.04
61 °
Black Hat, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 3153° / 42°0.24
53 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 0145° / 38°0.68
45 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 1 November
Snow. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.6 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 0248° / 38°0.01
48 °
Black Hat, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind24.9 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 0351° / 36°0
51 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind17.8 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 0451° / 34°0
51 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 51°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind13.4 mph E
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Thu, 0553° / 37°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.9 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 0653° / 42°0.03
53 °
Black Hat, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind17.1 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 0755° / 41°0
55 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0855° / 35°0.04
55 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low18° (2024)
Mon, 0954° / 34°0.04
54 °
Black Hat, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1980)
Record low15° (2011)
Tue, 1054° / 34°0.03
54 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (2005)
Record low10° (1998)
Wed, 1153° / 33°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low10° (2020)
Thu, 1253° / 33°0.06
53 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low14° (2000)
Fri, 1353° / 33°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Sat, 1452° / 33°0.02
52 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low12° (1985)
Sun, 1551° / 32°0.04
51 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1967)
Record low11° (1961)
Mon, 1651° / 32°0.03
51 °
Black Hat, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low13° (1993)
Tue, 1750° / 31°0.02
50 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Wed, 1850° / 30°0.03
50 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (2019)
Record low3° (2000)
Thu, 1949° / 30°0.03
49 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high68° (2007)
Record low3° (1985)
Fri, 2049° / 30°0.02
49 °
Black Hat, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low5° (1994)
Sat, 2149° / 30°0.04
49 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high63° (1995)
Record low10° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Hat, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Hat, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.