Monthly outlook for Black Hat, NM: average high 56°, average low 37.2°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (62.3°), the coolest 3 November (28.8°).
56°/37.2°
Average high / low
−0.3°
Below normal
2 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
54.4°
57.4°
-1.7°
5 November – 14 November
58.7°
54.1°
+2.6°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
49.3°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°1 October 2015All-time high
11.7°30 October 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Michaels (8 mi).
Tue, 2762° / 34°0
62 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 62°, low 34°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Wed, 2861° / 36°0
61 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Thu, 2962° / 40°0
62 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.8 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Fri, 3059° / 40°0.03
59 °
Black Hat, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.6 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sat, 3157° / 40°0.06
57 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0147° / 42°0.43
47 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.6 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 0242° / 31°0
42 °
Black Hat, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 42°, low 31°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind22.3 mph NW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Tue, 0344° / 29°0
44 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 44°, low 29°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind22.9 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point12°
Wed, 0452° / 31°0
52 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 52°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.2 mph E
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Thu, 0557° / 35°0
57 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Fri, 0659° / 40°0
59 °
Black Hat, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.5 mph W
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sat, 0761° / 42°0
61 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 0858° / 42°0
58 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17.5 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 0959° / 41°0
59 °
Black Hat, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1058° / 40°0
58 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind19.5 mph N
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1153° / 33°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low10° (2020)
Thu, 1253° / 33°0.06
53 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low14° (2000)
Fri, 1353° / 33°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Sat, 1452° / 33°0.02
52 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low12° (1985)
Sun, 1551° / 32°0.04
51 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1967)
Record low11° (1961)
Mon, 1651° / 32°0.03
51 °
Black Hat, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low13° (1993)
Tue, 1750° / 31°0.02
50 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Wed, 1850° / 30°0.03
50 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (2019)
Record low3° (2000)
Thu, 1949° / 30°0.03
49 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high68° (2007)
Record low3° (1985)
Fri, 2049° / 30°0.02
49 °
Black Hat, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low5° (1994)
Sat, 2149° / 30°0.04
49 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high63° (1995)
Record low10° (1964)
Sun, 2248° / 29°0.04
48 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2017)
Record low10° (1961)
Mon, 2347° / 29°0.04
47 °
Black Hat, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high66° (2017)
Record low3° (1983)
Tue, 2447° / 29°0.03
47 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high66° (2017)
Record low13° (1983)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Hat, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Hat, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.