Monthly outlook for Black Hat, NM: average high 58.2°, average low 42.2°. That is 0° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (62.9°), the coolest 26 October (31.7°).
58.2°/42.2°
Average high / low
−0°
Below normal
3 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
22 October – 31 October
59.3°
59.2°
+0°
1 November – 10 November
56.3°
55.8°
+0.3°
11 November – 20 November
at normal
51°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°1 October 2015All-time high
11.7°30 October 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Michaels (8 mi).
Fri, 2360° / 45°0.04
60 °
Black Hat, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sat, 2458° / 40°0.11
58 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility4.6 mi
Dew point44°
Sun, 2556° / 37°0.01
56 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 2656° / 32°0
56 °
Black Hat, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 56°, low 32°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2763° / 37°0
63 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 63°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 2862° / 46°0
62 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.2 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 2963° / 48°0
63 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.1 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 3057° / 51°0
57 °
Black Hat, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sat, 3158° / 45°0
58 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 0156° / 40°0
56 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 0254° / 44°0
54 °
Black Hat, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 0355° / 40°0
55 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 0455° / 40°0
55 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 0558° / 41°0
58 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 58°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.2 mph E
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 0659° / 40°0
59 °
Black Hat, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.3 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 0756° / 36°0.04
56 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low17° (1961)
Sun, 0855° / 35°0.04
55 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low18° (2024)
Mon, 0954° / 34°0.04
54 °
Black Hat, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1980)
Record low15° (2011)
Tue, 1054° / 34°0.03
54 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (2005)
Record low10° (1998)
Wed, 1153° / 33°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low10° (2020)
Thu, 1253° / 33°0.06
53 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low14° (2000)
Fri, 1353° / 33°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Sat, 1452° / 33°0.02
52 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low12° (1985)
Sun, 1551° / 32°0.04
51 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1967)
Record low11° (1961)
Mon, 1651° / 32°0.03
51 °
Black Hat, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low13° (1993)
Tue, 1750° / 31°0.02
50 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Wed, 1850° / 30°0.03
50 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (2019)
Record low3° (2000)
Thu, 1949° / 30°0.03
49 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high68° (2007)
Record low3° (1985)
Fri, 2049° / 30°0.02
49 °
Black Hat, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low5° (1994)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Hat, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Hat, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.