Weather in Black Hat, NM
Black Hat, Thursday, 22 October, 16:40
Light rain. Feels like 56°. High 61°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Black Hat, NM: average high 55.5°, average low 42.4°. That is 1.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 October (61.8°), the coolest 26 October (31.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October – 31 October | 58.8° | 59.2° | -0.3° |
| 1 November – 10 November | 50.1° | 55.8° | -3.1° |
| 11 November – 20 November | at normal | 51° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Michaels (8 mi).
0.06Black Hat, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0.16Black Hat, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 58°, low 39°.
0
Black Hat, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 38°.
0
Black Hat, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 57°, low 31°.
0Black Hat, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 62°, low 38°.
0Black Hat, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 35°.
0
Black Hat, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 46°.
0.05Black Hat, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0.06Black Hat, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 44°.
0.06Black Hat, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 45°.
0.31Black Hat, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 45°.
1.18Black Hat, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 47°, low 45°.
0.23Black Hat, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 43°.
0.07Black Hat, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 43°.
0.01Black Hat, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 43°.
0.04
Black Hat, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Black Hat, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Black Hat, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Black Hat, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Black Hat, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Black Hat, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Black Hat, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Black Hat, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Black Hat, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Black Hat, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Black Hat, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Black Hat, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Black Hat, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Black Hat, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Hat, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Hat, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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