Monthly outlook for Black Hat, NM: average high 56.5°, average low 41.7°. That is 1.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (65.8°), the coolest 26 October (34.6°).
56.5°/41.7°
Average high / low
−1.4°
Below normal
10 / 3
Wet days / normal
2.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
58.9°
60.4°
-0.9°
30 October – 8 November
52.5°
56.3°
-2.1°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
51.9°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°1 October 2015All-time high
11.7°30 October 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Michaels (8 mi).
Wed, 2160° / 44°0.17
60 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility2.7 mi
Dew point52°
Thu, 2257° / 43°0.86
57 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.7 mph E
Humidity91%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Fri, 2360° / 45°0.19
60 °
Black Hat, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 2459° / 39°0.05
59 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sun, 2551° / 36°0.15
51 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 2656° / 35°0
56 °
Black Hat, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.3 mph E
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2762° / 42°0
62 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.1 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2857° / 42°0
57 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.3 mph E
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 2961° / 45°0.02
61 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 3056° / 46°0.09
56 °
Black Hat, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.1 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 3150° / 41°0.47
50 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind18.5 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 0154° / 38°0.13
54 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 54°, low 38°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.2 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 0259° / 41°0
59 °
Black Hat, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.9 mph SE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 0348° / 45°0.15
48 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 0448° / 44°0.23
48 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7 mph E
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0557° / 36°0.02
57 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high69° (2009)
Record low17° (1961)
Fri, 0657° / 36°0.02
57 °
Black Hat, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low14° (1961)
Sat, 0756° / 36°0.04
56 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low17° (1961)
Sun, 0855° / 35°0.04
55 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low18° (2024)
Mon, 0954° / 34°0.04
54 °
Black Hat, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1980)
Record low15° (2011)
Tue, 1054° / 34°0.03
54 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (2005)
Record low10° (1998)
Wed, 1153° / 33°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low10° (2020)
Thu, 1253° / 33°0.06
53 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low14° (2000)
Fri, 1353° / 33°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Sat, 1452° / 33°0.02
52 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low12° (1985)
Sun, 1551° / 32°0.04
51 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1967)
Record low11° (1961)
Mon, 1651° / 32°0.03
51 °
Black Hat, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low13° (1993)
Tue, 1750° / 31°0.02
50 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Wed, 1850° / 30°0.03
50 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (2019)
Record low3° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Hat, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Hat, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.