Monthly outlook for Black Hat, NM: average high 55.8°, average low 37.3°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (63.1°), the coolest 10 November (31.8°).
55.8°/37.3°
Average high / low
−0.2°
Below normal
3 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
27 October – 5 November
56.4°
57.2°
-0.4°
6 November – 15 November
54.7°
53.6°
+0.6°
16 November – 25 November
at normal
48.8°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°1 October 2015All-time high
11.7°30 October 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Michaels (8 mi).
Wed, 2862° / 37°0
62 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Thu, 2963° / 41°0
63 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Fri, 3062° / 42°0
62 °
Black Hat, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sat, 3158° / 42°0.1
58 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 0149° / 42°0.43
49 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.1 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 0245° / 36°0.07
45 °
Black Hat, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 36°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind29.1 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 0351° / 34°0
51 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 51°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind21.3 mph N
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point4°
Wed, 0458° / 33°0
58 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 58°, low 33°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SW
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point12°
Thu, 0556° / 38°0
56 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Fri, 0654° / 37°0
54 °
Black Hat, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8 mph E
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Sat, 0756° / 36°0
56 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sun, 0860° / 39°0
60 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 60°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 0953° / 39°0
53 °
Black Hat, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind26.1 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 1049° / 32°0
49 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 1155° / 35°0
55 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 35°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.6 mph E
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1253° / 33°0.06
53 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low14° (2000)
Fri, 1353° / 33°0.04
53 °
Black Hat, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Sat, 1452° / 33°0.02
52 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low12° (1985)
Sun, 1551° / 32°0.04
51 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1967)
Record low11° (1961)
Mon, 1651° / 32°0.03
51 °
Black Hat, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low13° (1993)
Tue, 1750° / 31°0.02
50 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low11° (2000)
Wed, 1850° / 30°0.03
50 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (2019)
Record low3° (2000)
Thu, 1949° / 30°0.03
49 °
Black Hat, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high68° (2007)
Record low3° (1985)
Fri, 2049° / 30°0.02
49 °
Black Hat, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low5° (1994)
Sat, 2149° / 30°0.04
49 °
Black Hat, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high63° (1995)
Record low10° (1964)
Sun, 2248° / 29°0.04
48 °
Black Hat, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2017)
Record low10° (1961)
Mon, 2347° / 29°0.04
47 °
Black Hat, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high66° (2017)
Record low3° (1983)
Tue, 2447° / 29°0.03
47 °
Black Hat, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high66° (2017)
Record low13° (1983)
Wed, 2547° / 28°0.04
47 °
Black Hat, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (2017)
Record low8° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Hat, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Hat, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.