Monthly outlook for Lake Arrowhead, MO: average high 53.2°, average low 37.9°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (67.5°), the coolest 25 November (25.6°).
53.2°/37.9°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
55.7°
51.5°
+2.3°
22 November – 1 December
48.9°
46.4°
+1.4°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
42.1°
—
November records over 66 years
77.4°4 November 1978All-time high
7.7°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lawson (6 mi).
Fri, 1345° / 30°0
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 13 November
Mostly clear. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sat, 1445° / 27°0
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 27°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sun, 1549° / 29°0
49 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 29°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.2 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1653° / 32°0
53 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 53°, low 32°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Tue, 1756° / 38°0
56 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1860° / 42°0
60 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.5 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 1967° / 52°0
67 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.8 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2068° / 52°0
68 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.7 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 2167° / 52°0
67 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.3 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 2258° / 54°0.75
58 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 58°, low 54°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.9 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 2358° / 45°0.02
58 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.9 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2444° / 30°0.02
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind22.7 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Wed, 2539° / 26°0
39 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 39°, low 26°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Thu, 2644° / 28°0
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 28°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Fri, 2751° / 36°0
51 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 27 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind21 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2843° / 30°0.06
43 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (2006)
Record low13° (2018)
Sun, 2945° / 32°0.12
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low12° (1976)
Mon, 3045° / 31°0.07
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low8° (1964)
Tue, 0145° / 30°0.08
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low2° (1985)
Wed, 0245° / 30°0.03
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low-1° (1985)
Thu, 0344° / 30°0.07
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low-1° (1985)
Fri, 0443° / 29°0.06
43 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low9° (2025)
Sat, 0544° / 29°0.05
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low3° (1964)
Sun, 0641° / 28°0.07
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high63° (1980)
Record low5° (1972)
Mon, 0741° / 28°0.04
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high62° (1991)
Record low8° (1972)
Tue, 0841° / 27°0.06
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low8° (1995)
Wed, 0941° / 26°0.08
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high59° (1965)
Record low-7° (2005)
Thu, 1041° / 26°0.06
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high64° (2021)
Record low-4° (1977)
Fri, 1141° / 26°0.04
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1965)
Record low-4° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Arrowhead, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Arrowhead, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.