Monthly outlook for Lake Arrowhead, MO: average high 60.8°, average low 49.7°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 3.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 October (78°), the coolest 12 November (31.1°).
60.8°/49.7°
Average high / low
+2.6°
Above normal
8 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
66.9°
57.4°
+5.3°
7 November – 16 November
50.6°
53°
-1.4°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
49.9°
—
October records over 66 years
91.6°10 October 1963All-time high
23.9°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lawson (6 mi).
Thu, 2974° / 56°0.01
74 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind2.5 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Fri, 3077° / 58°0.36
77 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 30 October
Heavy rain. High 77°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.8 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Sat, 3165° / 59°0.27
65 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind2.2 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Sun, 0170° / 58°0.11
70 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Mon, 0270° / 61°0.13
70 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 61°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind21.1 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Tue, 0363° / 48°0
63 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.5 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 0457° / 55°0.09
57 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 55°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind16.8 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 0558° / 49°0.04
58 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 49°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.3 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 0657° / 44°0
57 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 0755° / 42°0
55 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 42°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.3 mph E
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 0860° / 45°0.01
60 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0951° / 48°1.5
51 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 9 November
Heavy rain. High 51°, low 48°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16.2 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 1050° / 44°1.12
50 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 50°, low 44°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind24.4 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 1143° / 38°0.07
43 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 38°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind20.4 mph N
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1244° / 31°0
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1352° / 36°0.06
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1999)
Record low9° (1986)
Sat, 1452° / 38°0.04
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low17° (2014)
Sun, 1552° / 38°0.09
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2025)
Record low22° (1982)
Mon, 1652° / 37°0.07
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (2016)
Record low20° (1997)
Tue, 1753° / 38°0.1
53 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Wed, 1852° / 38°0.06
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (1999)
Record low14° (2014)
Thu, 1952° / 37°0.08
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low20° (2022)
Fri, 2050° / 36°0.11
50 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low19° (1985)
Sat, 2149° / 34°0.06
49 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low12° (1964)
Sun, 2249° / 34°0.05
49 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (1966)
Record low18° (1964)
Mon, 2349° / 34°0.08
49 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1966)
Record low13° (1970)
Tue, 2448° / 33°0.07
48 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (1966)
Record low14° (2013)
Wed, 2547° / 33°0.07
47 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low17° (2004)
Thu, 2648° / 34°0.09
48 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (1990)
Record low14° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Arrowhead, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Arrowhead, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.