Monthly outlook for Lake Arrowhead, MO: average high 58.7°, average low 42.4°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (68.8°), the coolest 14 November (28.3°).
58.7°/42.4°
Average high / low
+3.5°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 November – 16 November
56.9°
53°
+2.1°
17 November – 26 November
61.6°
49.9°
+6.5°
27 November – 6 December
at normal
43.9°
—
November records over 66 years
77.4°4 November 1978All-time high
7.7°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lawson (6 mi).
Sun, 0860° / 38°0
60 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 60°, low 38°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Mon, 0966° / 36°0
66 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 66°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.3 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Tue, 1065° / 46°0
65 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind1.7 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Wed, 1165° / 50°0
65 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 65°, low 50°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Thu, 1250° / 40°0
50 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 12 November
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.7 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 1342° / 30°0
42 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 42°, low 30°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.5 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sat, 1450° / 28°0
50 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 50°, low 28°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sun, 1561° / 36°0
61 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 61°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.9 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1659° / 42°0.01
59 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 42°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1759° / 48°0.15
59 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 1860° / 43°0
60 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1968° / 45°0
68 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.8 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 2069° / 59°0
69 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 59°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.3 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 2161° / 52°0.33
61 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 21 November
Rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.6 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 2252° / 50°0.69
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 52°, low 50°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2349° / 34°0.08
49 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1966)
Record low13° (1970)
Tue, 2448° / 33°0.07
48 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (1966)
Record low14° (2013)
Wed, 2547° / 33°0.07
47 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low17° (2004)
Thu, 2648° / 34°0.09
48 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (1990)
Record low14° (2018)
Fri, 2744° / 31°0.13
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1960)
Record low9° (2018)
Sat, 2843° / 30°0.06
43 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (2006)
Record low13° (2018)
Sun, 2945° / 32°0.12
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low12° (1976)
Mon, 3045° / 31°0.07
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low8° (1964)
Tue, 0145° / 30°0.08
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low2° (1985)
Wed, 0245° / 30°0.03
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low-1° (1985)
Thu, 0344° / 30°0.07
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low-1° (1985)
Fri, 0443° / 29°0.06
43 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low9° (2025)
Sat, 0544° / 29°0.05
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low3° (1964)
Sun, 0641° / 28°0.07
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high63° (1980)
Record low5° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Arrowhead, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Arrowhead, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.