Monthly outlook for Lake Arrowhead, MO: average high 64.2°, average low 49.4°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (76.1°), the coolest 29 October (42.5°).
64.2°/49.4°
Average high / low
+2.6°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
67.5°
61.3°
+3.4°
31 October – 9 November
58.8°
56.3°
+1.4°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
52°
—
October records over 66 years
91.6°10 October 1963All-time high
23.9°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lawson (6 mi).
Thu, 2274° / 47°0
74 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 74°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 2376° / 55°0
76 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 2476° / 59°0
76 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 76°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 2576° / 57°0
76 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 57°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.9 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 2672° / 56°0
72 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 2755° / 47°0.26
55 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2862° / 46°0.06
62 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2955° / 43°0
55 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 3055° / 43°0
55 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 3148° / 43°0.24
48 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.5 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 0152° / 45°0.37
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 52°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 0263° / 46°0
63 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 0362° / 49°0.27
62 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 62°, low 49°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind16.2 mph SE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 0466° / 59°0.27
66 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 59°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind13.9 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Thu, 0562° / 46°0
62 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0655° / 40°0.09
55 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high72° (1999)
Record low23° (1993)
Sat, 0756° / 40°0.02
56 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low12° (1991)
Sun, 0856° / 41°0.06
56 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high75° (1980)
Record low9° (1991)
Mon, 0956° / 41°0.11
56 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low19° (2018)
Tue, 1053° / 38°0.09
53 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (2012)
Record low14° (2018)
Wed, 1151° / 36°0.07
51 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (1964)
Record low17° (1986)
Thu, 1250° / 36°0.07
50 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low9° (2019)
Fri, 1352° / 36°0.06
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1999)
Record low9° (1986)
Sat, 1452° / 38°0.04
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low17° (2014)
Sun, 1552° / 38°0.09
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2025)
Record low22° (1982)
Mon, 1652° / 37°0.07
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (2016)
Record low20° (1997)
Tue, 1753° / 38°0.1
53 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Wed, 1852° / 38°0.06
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (1999)
Record low14° (2014)
Thu, 1952° / 37°0.08
52 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low20° (2022)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Arrowhead, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Arrowhead, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.