Monthly outlook for Lake Arrowhead, MO: average high 87.1°, average low 68.7°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 August (103.1°), the coolest 21 August (55.1°).
87.1°/68.7°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 August – 17 August
87.7°
84.8°
+1.6°
18 August – 27 August
86.1°
85°
+0.6°
28 August – 6 September
at normal
82.7°
—
August records over 66 years
104.7°2 August 2011All-time high
50.9°28 August 1986All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lawson (6 mi).
Sun, 0993° / 75°0.01
93 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 9 August
Light rain. High 93°, low 75°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind18.6 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Mon, 1096° / 76°0
96 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 10 August
Overcast. High 96°, low 76°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Tue, 11103° / 83°0
103 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 11 August
Overcast. High 103°, low 83°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.7 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Wed, 1291° / 70°0.09
91 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 12 August
Light rain. High 91°, low 70°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Thu, 1378° / 70°0.11
78 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 78°, low 70°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point71°
Fri, 1473° / 66°0.33
73 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 14 August
Rain. High 73°, low 66°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.7 mph E
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Sat, 1581° / 69°0.07
81 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 15 August
Light rain. High 81°, low 69°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.4 mph E
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Sun, 1686° / 68°0.01
86 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 16 August
Light rain. High 86°, low 68°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Mon, 1788° / 68°0.15
88 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 88°, low 68°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Tue, 1891° / 70°0.24
91 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 18 August
Rain. High 91°, low 70°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.1 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Wed, 1987° / 70°0
87 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 19 August
Overcast. High 87°, low 70°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Thu, 2078° / 61°0
78 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 20 August
Overcast. High 78°, low 61°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16.7 mph NE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 2177° / 55°0.02
77 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 21 August
Light rain. High 77°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.9 mph E
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sat, 2289° / 62°0.03
89 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 22 August
Light rain. High 89°, low 62°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Sun, 2394° / 68°0
94 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 23 August
Partly cloudy. High 94°, low 68°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2485° / 68°0.13
85 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 24 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high98° (2023)
Record low53° (1966)
Tue, 2585° / 68°0.09
85 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high100° (2003)
Record low57° (2015)
Wed, 2685° / 68°0.19
85 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high98° (1983)
Record low56° (2025)
Thu, 2785° / 69°0.06
85 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low69°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high98° (1983)
Record low56° (1967)
Fri, 2884° / 67°0.1
84 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high99° (1984)
Record low51° (1986)
Sat, 2984° / 67°0.09
84 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high103° (1984)
Record low54° (1988)
Sun, 3083° / 67°0.12
83 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high97° (2000)
Record low54° (2009)
Mon, 3183° / 66°0.19
83 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high98° (2000)
Record low54° (1967)
Tue, 0182° / 67°0.17
82 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high98° (2011)
Record low52° (1967)
Wed, 0282° / 66°0.11
82 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high97° (2000)
Record low50° (1974)
Thu, 0383° / 66°0.09
83 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high94° (2000)
Record low47° (1974)
Fri, 0482° / 65°0.1
82 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high93° (1990)
Record low45° (1974)
Sat, 0582° / 65°0.11
82 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high95° (2023)
Record low48° (1974)
Sun, 0681° / 65°0.1
81 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high96° (1990)
Record low50° (2025)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Arrowhead, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Arrowhead, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.