Monthly outlook for Lake Arrowhead, MO: average high 54.1°, average low 39°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (68.2°), the coolest 14 November (25°).
54.1°/39°
Average high / low
+2.7°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
55.6°
51.1°
+2.5°
24 November – 3 December
51.5°
45.4°
+3.4°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
41.5°
—
November records over 66 years
77.4°4 November 1978All-time high
7.7°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lawson (6 mi).
Sun, 1551° / 28°0
51 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 28°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 1653° / 31°0
53 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Tue, 1757° / 38°0
57 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind12.6 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 1859° / 44°0
59 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind16.9 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 1962° / 54°0.02
62 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.7 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 2068° / 55°0.06
68 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind19.7 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 2165° / 47°0.21
65 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 21 November
Rain. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind26.4 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 2247° / 37°0
47 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind15.3 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 2348° / 32°0
48 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 23 November
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 2449° / 35°0.11
49 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.3 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 2547° / 44°0.03
47 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.2 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 2661° / 44°0.02
61 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind24.2 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2764° / 51°0.83
64 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 27 November
Heavy rain. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind29.1 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2843° / 34°0
43 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 34°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind21.1 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 2945° / 28°0
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 45°, low 28°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3045° / 31°0.07
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low8° (1964)
Tue, 0145° / 30°0.08
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low2° (1985)
Wed, 0245° / 30°0.03
45 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low-1° (1985)
Thu, 0344° / 30°0.07
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low-1° (1985)
Fri, 0443° / 29°0.06
43 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low9° (2025)
Sat, 0544° / 29°0.05
44 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low3° (1964)
Sun, 0641° / 28°0.07
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high63° (1980)
Record low5° (1972)
Mon, 0741° / 28°0.04
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high62° (1991)
Record low8° (1972)
Tue, 0841° / 27°0.06
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low8° (1995)
Wed, 0941° / 26°0.08
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high59° (1965)
Record low-7° (2005)
Thu, 1041° / 26°0.06
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high64° (2021)
Record low-4° (1977)
Fri, 1141° / 26°0.04
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1965)
Record low-4° (1972)
Sat, 1241° / 27°0.05
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high62° (1991)
Record low-5° (2000)
Sun, 1341° / 28°0.11
41 °
Lake Arrowhead, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high62° (1975)
Record low-10° (1961)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Arrowhead, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Arrowhead, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.