Monthly outlook for Lower Frederick, PA: average high 60.1°, average low 43.7°. That is 0.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (66.7°), the coolest 18 October (34.4°).
60.1°/43.7°
Average high / low
−0.4°
Below normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
17 October – 26 October
60.9°
61.7°
-0.5°
27 October – 5 November
58.7°
58.9°
-0.1°
6 November – 15 November
at normal
54.1°
—
October records over 66 years
92.1°2 October 2019All-time high
27.9°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Royersford (7 mi).
Sun, 1856° / 34°0
56 °
Lower Frederick, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 34°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1965° / 39°0
65 °
Lower Frederick, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 65°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 2067° / 48°0
67 °
Lower Frederick, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.6 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 2162° / 47°0
62 °
Lower Frederick, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 2261° / 43°0
61 °
Lower Frederick, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.6 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 2363° / 41°0
63 °
Lower Frederick, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2458° / 41°0
58 °
Lower Frederick, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 58°, low 41°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 2564° / 40°0
64 °
Lower Frederick, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.4 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2656° / 41°0
56 °
Lower Frederick, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2760° / 41°0
60 °
Lower Frederick, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.6 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 2863° / 51°0.13
63 °
Lower Frederick, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.8 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2963° / 45°0.01
63 °
Lower Frederick, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.6 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 3056° / 45°0
56 °
Lower Frederick, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 3158° / 52°0.13
58 °
Lower Frederick, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 52°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 0153° / 51°0.2
53 °
Lower Frederick, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 51°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind16.8 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0260° / 45°0.1
60 °
Lower Frederick, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (1971)
Record low30° (2023)
Tue, 0360° / 44°0.07
60 °
Lower Frederick, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (2003)
Record low32° (1980)
Wed, 0458° / 43°0.07
58 °
Lower Frederick, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high74° (1987)
Record low29° (2021)
Thu, 0557° / 43°0.11
57 °
Lower Frederick, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2022)
Record low29° (1991)
Fri, 0656° / 42°0.07
56 °
Lower Frederick, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Sat, 0756° / 41°0.07
56 °
Lower Frederick, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low27° (1962)
Sun, 0855° / 40°0.12
55 °
Lower Frederick, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (1975)
Record low26° (1960)
Mon, 0956° / 40°0.1
56 °
Lower Frederick, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (1975)
Record low22° (2019)
Tue, 1056° / 40°0.17
56 °
Lower Frederick, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low25° (2017)
Wed, 1154° / 40°0.12
54 °
Lower Frederick, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1253° / 39°0.18
53 °
Lower Frederick, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high70° (1964)
Record low26° (2017)
Fri, 1351° / 38°0.12
51 °
Lower Frederick, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (1964)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1452° / 38°0.08
52 °
Lower Frederick, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1993)
Record low24° (2019)
Sun, 1553° / 38°0.11
53 °
Lower Frederick, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low25° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lower Frederick, PA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lower Frederick, PA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.