Monthly outlook for Lower Frederick, PA: average high 64.8°, average low 48°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (76°), the coolest 18 October (35.3°).
64.8°/48°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
65.5°
63.8°
+1°
22 October – 31 October
63.5°
60°
+1.9°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
57.3°
—
October records over 66 years
92.1°2 October 2019All-time high
27.9°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Royersford (7 mi).
Tue, 1376° / 54°0
76 °
Lower Frederick, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 76°, low 54°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Wed, 1476° / 63°0.02
76 °
Lower Frederick, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 63°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.1 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Thu, 1565° / 53°0
65 °
Lower Frederick, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.4 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Fri, 1672° / 54°0.66
72 °
Lower Frederick, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 72°, low 54°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind17.8 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 1750° / 41°0
50 °
Lower Frederick, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind19.3 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1853° / 35°0
53 °
Lower Frederick, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind6.7 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 1962° / 36°0
62 °
Lower Frederick, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 62°, low 36°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2063° / 47°0
63 °
Lower Frederick, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.2 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 2167° / 49°0
67 °
Lower Frederick, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 2258° / 40°0
58 °
Lower Frederick, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2363° / 43°0
63 °
Lower Frederick, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2469° / 54°0
69 °
Lower Frederick, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.3 mph N
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sun, 2570° / 54°0.02
70 °
Lower Frederick, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 2662° / 47°0.03
62 °
Lower Frederick, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 2761° / 41°0
61 °
Lower Frederick, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind17.7 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2860° / 45°0.13
60 °
Lower Frederick, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2958° / 43°0.23
58 °
Lower Frederick, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (1984)
Record low31° (1965)
Fri, 3058° / 42°0.09
58 °
Lower Frederick, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low31° (2011)
Sat, 3159° / 43°0.05
59 °
Lower Frederick, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high82° (2024)
Record low30° (2011)
Sun, 0160° / 45°0.09
60 °
Lower Frederick, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low34° (1983)
Mon, 0260° / 45°0.1
60 °
Lower Frederick, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (1971)
Record low30° (2023)
Tue, 0360° / 44°0.07
60 °
Lower Frederick, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (2003)
Record low32° (1980)
Wed, 0458° / 43°0.07
58 °
Lower Frederick, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high74° (1987)
Record low29° (2021)
Thu, 0557° / 43°0.11
57 °
Lower Frederick, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2022)
Record low29° (1991)
Fri, 0656° / 42°0.07
56 °
Lower Frederick, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Sat, 0756° / 41°0.07
56 °
Lower Frederick, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low27° (1962)
Sun, 0855° / 40°0.12
55 °
Lower Frederick, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (1975)
Record low26° (1960)
Mon, 0956° / 40°0.1
56 °
Lower Frederick, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (1975)
Record low22° (2019)
Tue, 1056° / 40°0.17
56 °
Lower Frederick, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low25° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lower Frederick, PA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lower Frederick, PA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.