Monthly outlook for Waconia, MN: average high 50.3°, average low 39.8°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 5.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 October (66.5°), the coolest 7 November (26.8°).
50.3°/39.8°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
9 / 4
Wet days / normal
5.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
56.1°
49.9°
+3.4°
5 November – 14 November
40.7°
43.6°
-1.6°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
38.9°
—
October records over 66 years
90.3°3 October 2025All-time high
12.4°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Germany (9 mi).
Tue, 2757° / 43°0.49
57 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Wed, 2867° / 46°0.29
67 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Thu, 2958° / 44°0
58 °
Waconia, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 3061° / 44°0
61 °
Waconia, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sat, 3156° / 46°0.18
56 °
Waconia, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.9 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0159° / 53°0.13
59 °
Waconia, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 0254° / 47°0
54 °
Waconia, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind19.4 mph NE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 0352° / 48°0.94
52 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 52°, low 48°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind23.3 mph NE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 0452° / 39°2.24
52 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 52°, low 39°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind30.1 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 0537° / 30°0.54
37 °
Waconia, Thursday, 5 November
Snow. High 37°, low 30°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind26.9 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 0638° / 29°0
38 °
Waconia, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 29°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind22.1 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sat, 0738° / 27°0
38 °
Waconia, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 38°, low 27°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.5 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sun, 0843° / 30°0
43 °
Waconia, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind17.1 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 0948° / 37°0.04
48 °
Waconia, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind19.7 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 1040° / 34°0
40 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 34°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1141° / 28°0.05
41 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high59° (2005)
Record low7° (1986)
Thu, 1239° / 27°0.07
39 °
Waconia, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low-2° (1966)
Fri, 1341° / 28°0.06
41 °
Waconia, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low3° (1986)
Sat, 1442° / 29°0.02
42 °
Waconia, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (2025)
Record low5° (2014)
Sun, 1542° / 28°0.05
42 °
Waconia, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low4° (2014)
Mon, 1642° / 28°0.09
42 °
Waconia, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (2023)
Record low5° (2014)
Tue, 1740° / 28°0.07
40 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low7° (2014)
Wed, 1841° / 28°0.07
41 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low1° (2014)
Thu, 1940° / 27°0.07
40 °
Waconia, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high57° (2012)
Record low4° (1986)
Fri, 2038° / 25°0.09
38 °
Waconia, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high59° (1962)
Record low2° (2014)
Sat, 2137° / 24°0.04
37 °
Waconia, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high68° (1990)
Record low-4° (2014)
Sun, 2237° / 25°0.04
37 °
Waconia, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high56° (2012)
Record low2° (1978)
Mon, 2336° / 24°0.06
36 °
Waconia, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high55° (2025)
Record low3° (1970)
Tue, 2437° / 23°0.05
37 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high61° (2011)
Record low-6° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Waconia, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Waconia, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.