Monthly outlook for Waconia, MN: average high 57.6°, average low 42.3°. That is 3.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (73.9°), the coolest 5 November (30.1°).
57.6°/42.3°
Average high / low
+3.7°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
60.2°
52.8°
+4.1°
31 October – 9 November
53.2°
47.1°
+3.4°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
40.9°
—
October records over 66 years
90.3°3 October 2025All-time high
12.4°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Germany (9 mi).
Thu, 2274° / 46°0
74 °
Waconia, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 74°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.2 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Fri, 2373° / 55°0.04
73 °
Waconia, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 55°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.5 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sat, 2472° / 55°0.21
72 °
Waconia, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sun, 2554° / 49°0.01
54 °
Waconia, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 49°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 2649° / 44°0.76
49 °
Waconia, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind13.9 mph NE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2746° / 39°0.69
46 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 46°, low 39°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2851° / 34°0
51 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 2953° / 35°0
53 °
Waconia, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.4 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 3056° / 44°0
56 °
Waconia, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind19.7 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 3160° / 51°0.35
60 °
Waconia, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 60°, low 51°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 0157° / 46°0
57 °
Waconia, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.1 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0244° / 35°0
44 °
Waconia, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 0348° / 33°0
48 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 33°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Wed, 0460° / 35°0
60 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 35°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind23.2 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 0550° / 30°0.02
50 °
Waconia, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind27.8 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0647° / 33°0.06
47 °
Waconia, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low2° (1991)
Sat, 0746° / 32°0.02
46 °
Waconia, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low-9° (1991)
Sun, 0846° / 32°0.04
46 °
Waconia, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (1999)
Record low-1° (1991)
Mon, 0945° / 32°0.1
45 °
Waconia, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1042° / 30°0.13
42 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (2012)
Record low8° (2018)
Wed, 1141° / 28°0.05
41 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high59° (2005)
Record low7° (1986)
Thu, 1239° / 27°0.07
39 °
Waconia, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low-2° (1966)
Fri, 1341° / 28°0.06
41 °
Waconia, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low3° (1986)
Sat, 1442° / 29°0.02
42 °
Waconia, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (2025)
Record low5° (2014)
Sun, 1542° / 28°0.05
42 °
Waconia, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low4° (2014)
Mon, 1642° / 28°0.09
42 °
Waconia, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (2023)
Record low5° (2014)
Tue, 1740° / 28°0.07
40 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low7° (2014)
Wed, 1841° / 28°0.07
41 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low1° (2014)
Thu, 1940° / 27°0.07
40 °
Waconia, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high57° (2012)
Record low4° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Waconia, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Waconia, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.