Monthly outlook for Waconia, MN: average high 56°, average low 45.9°. That is 3.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 3.2 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 October (66.5°), the coolest 9 November (36.8°).
56°/45.9°
Average high / low
+3.9°
Above normal
7 / 3
Wet days / normal
3.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
58.4°
50.5°
+4.3°
4 November – 13 November
52°
44.1°
+4.4°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
39.4°
—
October records over 66 years
90.3°3 October 2025All-time high
12.4°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Germany (9 mi).
Mon, 2649° / 43°0.52
49 °
Waconia, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 49°, low 43°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility3.8 mi
Dew point37°
Tue, 2758° / 46°0.33
58 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.7 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Wed, 2867° / 49°0.18
67 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Thu, 2961° / 48°0
61 °
Waconia, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3.9 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Fri, 3058° / 45°0
58 °
Waconia, Friday, 30 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 3152° / 46°0.69
52 °
Waconia, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 52°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.1 mph E
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0162° / 53°0.02
62 °
Waconia, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 53°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 0262° / 55°0.01
62 °
Waconia, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 55°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.6 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 0360° / 53°0.02
60 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 0456° / 45°0.41
56 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.5 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 0554° / 41°0
54 °
Waconia, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 0654° / 38°0
54 °
Waconia, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 0757° / 47°0.69
57 °
Waconia, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 0851° / 43°0
51 °
Waconia, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind18.8 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 0940° / 37°0.33
40 °
Waconia, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 40°, low 37°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind22.1 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1042° / 30°0.13
42 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (2012)
Record low8° (2018)
Wed, 1141° / 28°0.05
41 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high59° (2005)
Record low7° (1986)
Thu, 1239° / 27°0.07
39 °
Waconia, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low-2° (1966)
Fri, 1341° / 28°0.06
41 °
Waconia, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low3° (1986)
Sat, 1442° / 29°0.02
42 °
Waconia, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (2025)
Record low5° (2014)
Sun, 1542° / 28°0.05
42 °
Waconia, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low4° (2014)
Mon, 1642° / 28°0.09
42 °
Waconia, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (2023)
Record low5° (2014)
Tue, 1740° / 28°0.07
40 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low7° (2014)
Wed, 1841° / 28°0.07
41 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low1° (2014)
Thu, 1940° / 27°0.07
40 °
Waconia, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high57° (2012)
Record low4° (1986)
Fri, 2038° / 25°0.09
38 °
Waconia, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high59° (1962)
Record low2° (2014)
Sat, 2137° / 24°0.04
37 °
Waconia, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high68° (1990)
Record low-4° (2014)
Sun, 2237° / 25°0.04
37 °
Waconia, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high56° (2012)
Record low2° (1978)
Mon, 2336° / 24°0.06
36 °
Waconia, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high55° (2025)
Record low3° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Waconia, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Waconia, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.