Monthly outlook for Waconia, MN: average high 52.8°, average low 41.4°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (73.4°), the coolest 6 November (24.2°).
52.8°/41.4°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
59°
51.1°
+4.4°
3 November – 12 November
42.4°
44.7°
-1.3°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
39.9°
—
October records over 66 years
90.3°3 October 2025All-time high
12.4°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Germany (9 mi).
Sun, 2558° / 51°0.02
58 °
Waconia, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 51°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.7 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 2651° / 46°0.19
51 °
Waconia, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NE
Humidity82%
Visibility4.0 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 2767° / 47°0.04
67 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 47°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Wed, 2863° / 52°0.04
63 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2959° / 44°0
59 °
Waconia, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 3057° / 41°0
57 °
Waconia, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8 mph NE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 3157° / 49°1.11
57 °
Waconia, Saturday, 31 October
Heavy rain. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 0153° / 49°0.01
53 °
Waconia, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 0252° / 44°0.54
52 °
Waconia, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 52°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind19.1 mph NE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 0353° / 42°0.62
53 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind22.8 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 0448° / 35°0
48 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 0535° / 28°0
35 °
Waconia, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 35°, low 28°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.7 mph N
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point6°
Fri, 0635° / 24°0
35 °
Waconia, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 35°, low 24°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Sat, 0740° / 25°0
40 °
Waconia, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 25°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind22.7 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Sun, 0843° / 36°0.02
43 °
Waconia, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 36°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind17.4 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0945° / 32°0.1
45 °
Waconia, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1042° / 30°0.13
42 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (2012)
Record low8° (2018)
Wed, 1141° / 28°0.05
41 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high59° (2005)
Record low7° (1986)
Thu, 1239° / 27°0.07
39 °
Waconia, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low-2° (1966)
Fri, 1341° / 28°0.06
41 °
Waconia, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low3° (1986)
Sat, 1442° / 29°0.02
42 °
Waconia, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (2025)
Record low5° (2014)
Sun, 1542° / 28°0.05
42 °
Waconia, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low4° (2014)
Mon, 1642° / 28°0.09
42 °
Waconia, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (2023)
Record low5° (2014)
Tue, 1740° / 28°0.07
40 °
Waconia, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low7° (2014)
Wed, 1841° / 28°0.07
41 °
Waconia, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low1° (2014)
Thu, 1940° / 27°0.07
40 °
Waconia, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high57° (2012)
Record low4° (1986)
Fri, 2038° / 25°0.09
38 °
Waconia, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high59° (1962)
Record low2° (2014)
Sat, 2137° / 24°0.04
37 °
Waconia, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high68° (1990)
Record low-4° (2014)
Sun, 2237° / 25°0.04
37 °
Waconia, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high56° (2012)
Record low2° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Waconia, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Waconia, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.