Monthly outlook for Warroad, MN: average high 52.4°, average low 41.2°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (63.8°), the coolest 25 October (31.7°).
52.4°/41.2°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
56.3°
48.5°
+4.3°
23 October – 1 November
45.8°
44.3°
+0.8°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
37.7°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°1 October 2023All-time high
11.5°30 October 1988All-time low
Wed, 1452° / 43°0
52 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.8 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 1553° / 43°0.03
53 °
Warroad, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.4 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Fri, 1648° / 37°0
48 °
Warroad, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sat, 1758° / 40°0
58 °
Warroad, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.1 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 1859° / 47°0
59 °
Warroad, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 1959° / 43°0
59 °
Warroad, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2061° / 47°0
61 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.6 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2164° / 52°0.15
64 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.4 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 2262° / 46°0.47
62 °
Warroad, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind15.2 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2344° / 36°0.41
44 °
Warroad, Friday, 23 October
Snow. High 44°, low 36°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind19.6 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2439° / 35°0.05
39 °
Warroad, Saturday, 24 October
Light snow. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 2546° / 32°0
46 °
Warroad, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 32°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 2652° / 38°0
52 °
Warroad, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.4 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2754° / 41°0
54 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2841° / 36°0
41 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.4 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2943° / 32°0.04
43 °
Warroad, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high59° (1977)
Record low13° (1988)
Fri, 3043° / 32°0.09
43 °
Warroad, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (2007)
Record low11° (1988)
Sat, 3142° / 32°0.08
42 °
Warroad, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high59° (1999)
Record low15° (1996)
Sun, 0142° / 31°0.07
42 °
Warroad, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high58° (1990)
Record low7° (1984)
Mon, 0240° / 31°0.07
40 °
Warroad, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low4° (1984)
Tue, 0340° / 30°0.02
40 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (2008)
Record low7° (1991)
Wed, 0439° / 29°0.04
39 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high60° (1975)
Record low1° (1991)
Thu, 0540° / 29°0.04
40 °
Warroad, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high62° (1975)
Record low10° (1991)
Fri, 0638° / 28°0.07
38 °
Warroad, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low-1° (1991)
Sat, 0738° / 27°0.06
38 °
Warroad, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low1° (1991)
Sun, 0838° / 27°0.07
38 °
Warroad, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low-3° (2003)
Mon, 0936° / 26°0.06
36 °
Warroad, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high63° (2020)
Record low3° (2017)
Tue, 1034° / 25°0.06
34 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high56° (2010)
Record low-2° (2017)
Wed, 1133° / 24°0.05
33 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high53° (2009)
Record low-5° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warroad, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warroad, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.