Monthly outlook for Warroad, MN: average high 53.1°, average low 42.4°. That is 3.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (68.8°), the coolest 26 October (32.8°).
53.1°/42.4°
Average high / low
+3.9°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
58.5°
47.5°
+6.1°
26 October – 4 November
44.2°
42.4°
+1°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
36.1°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°1 October 2023All-time high
11.5°30 October 1988All-time low
Sat, 1757° / 40°0
57 °
Warroad, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Sun, 1861° / 45°0
61 °
Warroad, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 1955° / 39°0
55 °
Warroad, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.5 mph E
Humidity73%
Visibility2.7 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 2059° / 45°0
59 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2166° / 49°0
66 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.9 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 2269° / 52°0
69 °
Warroad, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 2365° / 58°0.07
65 °
Warroad, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind17.9 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 2463° / 45°0
63 °
Warroad, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind27.6 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 2542° / 38°0.06
42 °
Warroad, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 42°, low 38°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind27.9 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 2640° / 33°0
40 °
Warroad, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 40°, low 33°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 2740° / 37°0.17
40 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 27 October
Snow. High 40°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 2843° / 41°0.17
43 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 43°, low 41°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind5.7 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2949° / 41°0.12
49 °
Warroad, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 41°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind15.5 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 3046° / 41°0.02
46 °
Warroad, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.1 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 3148° / 38°0
48 °
Warroad, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0142° / 31°0.07
42 °
Warroad, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high58° (1990)
Record low7° (1984)
Mon, 0240° / 31°0.07
40 °
Warroad, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low4° (1984)
Tue, 0340° / 30°0.02
40 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (2008)
Record low7° (1991)
Wed, 0439° / 29°0.04
39 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high60° (1975)
Record low1° (1991)
Thu, 0540° / 29°0.04
40 °
Warroad, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high62° (1975)
Record low10° (1991)
Fri, 0638° / 28°0.07
38 °
Warroad, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low-1° (1991)
Sat, 0738° / 27°0.06
38 °
Warroad, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low1° (1991)
Sun, 0838° / 27°0.07
38 °
Warroad, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low-3° (2003)
Mon, 0936° / 26°0.06
36 °
Warroad, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high63° (2020)
Record low3° (2017)
Tue, 1034° / 25°0.06
34 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high56° (2010)
Record low-2° (2017)
Wed, 1133° / 24°0.05
33 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high53° (2009)
Record low-5° (1986)
Thu, 1234° / 24°0.04
34 °
Warroad, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high54° (1981)
Record low-3° (1986)
Fri, 1335° / 24°0.07
35 °
Warroad, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high57° (2016)
Record low-6° (1986)
Sat, 1435° / 24°0.02
35 °
Warroad, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high57° (2025)
Record low4° (1982)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warroad, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warroad, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.