Monthly outlook for Warroad, MN: average high 51.4°, average low 40.4°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (74.3°), the coolest 17 October (24.9°).
51.4°/40.4°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
7 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
53.3°
50.6°
+1.5°
19 October – 28 October
48.3°
46.6°
+1°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
40.6°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°1 October 2023All-time high
11.5°30 October 1988All-time low
Sat, 1074° / 53°0.02
74 °
Warroad, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 53°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind10.4 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Sun, 1159° / 49°0.19
59 °
Warroad, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 59°, low 49°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.8 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Mon, 1249° / 47°0.07
49 °
Warroad, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NE
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Tue, 1349° / 43°0.07
49 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 43°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 1456° / 44°0
56 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1553° / 42°0.46
53 °
Warroad, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 1645° / 30°0.89
45 °
Warroad, Friday, 16 October
Snow. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind23.4 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 1736° / 25°0
36 °
Warroad, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 36°, low 25°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind15.8 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Sun, 1848° / 34°0
48 °
Warroad, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 34°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind20.5 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1948° / 36°0
48 °
Warroad, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind14.6 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2048° / 40°0.12
48 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16.6 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2154° / 44°0.02
54 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind7.2 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2251° / 39°0
51 °
Warroad, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2347° / 44°0.12
47 °
Warroad, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 44°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2443° / 39°0.02
43 °
Warroad, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 43°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2546° / 35°0.04
46 °
Warroad, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high68° (1989)
Record low19° (1981)
Mon, 2646° / 35°0.11
46 °
Warroad, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high68° (1989)
Record low18° (2020)
Tue, 2745° / 34°0.1
45 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low18° (2020)
Wed, 2844° / 33°0.09
44 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high62° (2024)
Record low16° (1988)
Thu, 2943° / 32°0.04
43 °
Warroad, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high59° (1977)
Record low13° (1988)
Fri, 3043° / 32°0.09
43 °
Warroad, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (2007)
Record low11° (1988)
Sat, 3142° / 32°0.08
42 °
Warroad, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high59° (1999)
Record low15° (1996)
Sun, 0142° / 31°0.07
42 °
Warroad, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high58° (1990)
Record low7° (1984)
Mon, 0240° / 31°0.07
40 °
Warroad, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low4° (1984)
Tue, 0340° / 30°0.02
40 °
Warroad, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (2008)
Record low7° (1991)
Wed, 0439° / 29°0.04
39 °
Warroad, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high60° (1975)
Record low1° (1991)
Thu, 0540° / 29°0.04
40 °
Warroad, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high62° (1975)
Record low10° (1991)
Fri, 0638° / 28°0.07
38 °
Warroad, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low-1° (1991)
Sat, 0738° / 27°0.06
38 °
Warroad, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low1° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warroad, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warroad, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.