Monthly outlook for Merced Falls, CA: average high 79.2°, average low 55°. That is 3.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 October (90.7°), the coolest 14 October (47.5°).
79.2°/55°
Average high / low
+3.8°
Above normal
1 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
78.1°
73.8°
+2.4°
24 October – 2 November
80.9°
68.8°
+6.8°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
64.7°
—
October records over 66 years
99.9°3 October 2024All-time high
33.3°30 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lake Don Pedro (9 mi).
Thu, 1584° / 48°0
84 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 84°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.3 mph W
Humidity21%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Fri, 1687° / 52°0
87 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 87°, low 52°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.6 mph S
Humidity19%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Sat, 1791° / 59°0
91 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 91°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.2 mph W
Humidity14%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sun, 1889° / 61°0
89 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 89°, low 61°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SW
Humidity14%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Mon, 1973° / 58°0
73 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 73°, low 58°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2063° / 54°0.11
63 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 54°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2168° / 50°0
68 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 50°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.3 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 2272° / 52°0
72 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 2374° / 52°0
74 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 74°, low 52°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2476° / 53°0
76 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 76°, low 53°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.8 mph W
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 2577° / 57°0
77 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 57°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5 mph W
Humidity16%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 2679° / 55°0
79 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 79°, low 55°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity16%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2782° / 59°0
82 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 82°, low 59°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NE
Humidity13%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 2886° / 61°0
86 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 86°, low 61°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity12%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Thu, 2986° / 62°0
86 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 86°, low 62°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity10%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3067° / 46°0.13
67 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high81° (2008)
Record low33° (1972)
Sat, 3167° / 45°0.04
67 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (2015)
Record low35° (1972)
Sun, 0167° / 46°0.06
67 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high81° (1966)
Record low35° (1971)
Mon, 0268° / 46°0.07
68 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high82° (1966)
Record low37° (1990)
Tue, 0368° / 46°0.07
68 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (1997)
Record low36° (1990)
Wed, 0467° / 46°0.06
67 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high82° (1976)
Record low33° (1973)
Thu, 0566° / 46°0.06
66 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high82° (2010)
Record low37° (1973)
Fri, 0666° / 46°0.09
66 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high81° (2012)
Record low35° (1996)
Sat, 0765° / 46°0.09
65 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (1976)
Record low36° (1990)
Sun, 0864° / 45°0.13
64 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2019)
Record low37° (1972)
Mon, 0963° / 44°0.09
63 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low33° (2020)
Tue, 1063° / 44°0.11
63 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low34° (1992)
Wed, 1163° / 44°0.16
63 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low31° (1982)
Thu, 1263° / 43°0.12
63 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high77° (1990)
Record low30° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Merced Falls, CA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Merced Falls, CA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.