Monthly outlook for Merced Falls, CA: average high 82.9°, average low 59.5°. That is 5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.0 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 18 October (93.8°), the coolest 14 October (52°).
82.9°/59.5°
Average high / low
+5°
Above normal
0 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
82°
74.9°
+4°
20 October – 29 October
84.3°
71°
+7.4°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
66.4°
—
October records over 66 years
99.9°3 October 2024All-time high
33.3°30 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lake Don Pedro (9 mi).
Sun, 1175° / 53°0
75 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 75°, low 53°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind5.1 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Mon, 1269° / 58°0
69 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 58°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 1372° / 55°0.02
72 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind2.6 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Wed, 1475° / 52°0
75 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NW
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1581° / 55°0
81 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 81°, low 55°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 1689° / 63°0
89 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 89°, low 63°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity15%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 1793° / 66°0
93 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 93°, low 66°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NE
Humidity13%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1894° / 67°0
94 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 94°, low 67°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.3 mph W
Humidity11%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1991° / 66°0
91 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 91°, low 66°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NE
Humidity11%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Tue, 2085° / 61°0
85 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 85°, low 61°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 2181° / 57°0
81 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 81°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2284° / 58°0
84 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 84°, low 58°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity13%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Fri, 2385° / 59°0
85 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 85°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 2486° / 61°0
86 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 86°, low 61°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NE
Humidity18%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2586° / 64°0
86 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 86°, low 64°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity16%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2670° / 48°0.13
70 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high85° (2003)
Record low38° (1989)
Tue, 2770° / 47°0.02
70 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high84° (2003)
Record low37° (1996)
Wed, 2869° / 48°0.12
69 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high84° (2003)
Record low37° (1971)
Thu, 2968° / 47°0.09
68 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high81° (2008)
Record low35° (1971)
Fri, 3067° / 46°0.13
67 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high81° (2008)
Record low33° (1972)
Sat, 3167° / 45°0.04
67 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (2015)
Record low35° (1972)
Sun, 0167° / 46°0.06
67 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high81° (1966)
Record low35° (1971)
Mon, 0268° / 46°0.07
68 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high82° (1966)
Record low37° (1990)
Tue, 0368° / 46°0.07
68 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (1997)
Record low36° (1990)
Wed, 0467° / 46°0.06
67 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high82° (1976)
Record low33° (1973)
Thu, 0566° / 46°0.06
66 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high82° (2010)
Record low37° (1973)
Fri, 0666° / 46°0.09
66 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high81° (2012)
Record low35° (1996)
Sat, 0765° / 46°0.09
65 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (1976)
Record low36° (1990)
Sun, 0864° / 45°0.13
64 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2019)
Record low37° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Merced Falls, CA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Merced Falls, CA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.