Monthly outlook for Merced Falls, CA: average high 82.2°, average low 57.5°. That is 4.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.0 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 October (93.4°), the coolest 12 October (49.8°).
82.2°/57.5°
Average high / low
+4.8°
Above normal
0 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
80.8°
74.6°
+3.4°
21 October – 30 October
84.6°
70.4°
+7.9°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
66.1°
—
October records over 66 years
99.9°3 October 2024All-time high
33.3°30 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lake Don Pedro (9 mi).
Mon, 1268° / 50°0.03
68 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 50°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 1374° / 51°0
74 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 74°, low 51°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NW
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 1475° / 51°0
75 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 75°, low 51°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity23%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Thu, 1582° / 55°0
82 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 82°, low 55°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.9 mph NW
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1684° / 59°0
84 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 84°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1793° / 65°0
93 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 93°, low 65°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity10%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sun, 1892° / 65°0
92 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 92°, low 65°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity9%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Mon, 1985° / 61°0
85 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 85°, low 61°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity15%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 2079° / 55°0
79 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 79°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2181° / 57°0
81 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 81°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NW
Humidity18%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 2282° / 56°0
82 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 82°, low 56°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SW
Humidity16%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 2384° / 59°0
84 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 84°, low 59°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5 mph NW
Humidity13%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sat, 2485° / 60°0
85 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 85°, low 60°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NW
Humidity13%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sun, 2587° / 60°0
87 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 87°, low 60°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity13%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 2688° / 62°0
88 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 88°, low 62°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity14%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2770° / 47°0.02
70 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high84° (2003)
Record low37° (1996)
Wed, 2869° / 48°0.12
69 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high84° (2003)
Record low37° (1971)
Thu, 2968° / 47°0.09
68 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high81° (2008)
Record low35° (1971)
Fri, 3067° / 46°0.13
67 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high81° (2008)
Record low33° (1972)
Sat, 3167° / 45°0.04
67 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (2015)
Record low35° (1972)
Sun, 0167° / 46°0.06
67 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high81° (1966)
Record low35° (1971)
Mon, 0268° / 46°0.07
68 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high82° (1966)
Record low37° (1990)
Tue, 0368° / 46°0.07
68 °
Merced Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (1997)
Record low36° (1990)
Wed, 0467° / 46°0.06
67 °
Merced Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high82° (1976)
Record low33° (1973)
Thu, 0566° / 46°0.06
66 °
Merced Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high82° (2010)
Record low37° (1973)
Fri, 0666° / 46°0.09
66 °
Merced Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high81° (2012)
Record low35° (1996)
Sat, 0765° / 46°0.09
65 °
Merced Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (1976)
Record low36° (1990)
Sun, 0864° / 45°0.13
64 °
Merced Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2019)
Record low37° (1972)
Mon, 0963° / 44°0.09
63 °
Merced Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low33° (2020)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Merced Falls, CA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Merced Falls, CA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.