Monthly outlook for Vail, MI: average high 54.5°, average low 41.2°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (74.2°), the coolest 18 October (29.3°).
54.5°/41.2°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
7 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
56.1°
54.4°
+0.9°
19 October – 28 October
51.9°
50.6°
+0.7°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
46.7°
—
October records over 66 years
80.1°7 October 2007All-time high
23.7°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Munising (8 mi).
Sat, 1071° / 43°0
71 °
Vail, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 71°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.9 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Sun, 1174° / 56°0
74 °
Vail, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 74°, low 56°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13.3 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Mon, 1264° / 51°0.08
64 °
Vail, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 1351° / 46°0.04
51 °
Vail, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.4 mph N
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 1455° / 45°0
55 °
Vail, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.8 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 1556° / 40°0.06
56 °
Vail, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.1 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1651° / 39°1.19
51 °
Vail, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind17.3 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 1739° / 33°0.31
39 °
Vail, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 39°, low 33°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind23.9 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1844° / 29°0
44 °
Vail, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 29°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 1952° / 33°0
52 °
Vail, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.2 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2055° / 37°0
55 °
Vail, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 2158° / 48°0
58 °
Vail, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 2260° / 45°0.06
60 °
Vail, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.3 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2349° / 37°0.17
49 °
Vail, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind21.8 mph N
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 2437° / 35°0.13
37 °
Vail, Saturday, 24 October
Snow. High 37°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind20 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2551° / 42°0.12
51 °
Vail, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low32° (2020)
Mon, 2650° / 41°0.11
50 °
Vail, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low30° (1976)
Tue, 2750° / 41°0.13
50 °
Vail, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low24° (2020)
Wed, 2848° / 40°0.1
48 °
Vail, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high61° (1984)
Record low30° (1965)
Thu, 2948° / 40°0.09
48 °
Vail, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low29° (2020)
Fri, 3049° / 40°0.09
49 °
Vail, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low29° (2023)
Sat, 3149° / 40°0.13
49 °
Vail, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1971)
Record low27° (1996)
Sun, 0148° / 40°0.15
48 °
Vail, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low27° (2023)
Mon, 0247° / 38°0.15
47 °
Vail, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low23° (1984)
Tue, 0346° / 38°0.11
46 °
Vail, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high63° (1961)
Record low22° (1991)
Wed, 0446° / 38°0.11
46 °
Vail, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high65° (2008)
Record low25° (1991)
Thu, 0546° / 38°0.17
46 °
Vail, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high61° (2015)
Record low21° (1991)
Fri, 0645° / 37°0.11
45 °
Vail, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low18° (1991)
Sat, 0744° / 36°0.08
44 °
Vail, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low17° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.