Monthly outlook for Vail, MI: average high 57.9°, average low 42.9°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (73.3°), the coolest 18 October (34.8°).
57.9°/42.9°
Average high / low
+2.3°
Above normal
7 / 8
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
60.4°
54.9°
+3°
18 October – 27 October
53.7°
51°
+1.5°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
47.1°
—
October records over 66 years
80.1°7 October 2007All-time high
23.7°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Munising (8 mi).
Fri, 0963° / 36°0
63 °
Vail, Friday, 9 October
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 1073° / 41°0
73 °
Vail, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 73°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Sun, 1173° / 59°0
73 °
Vail, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 73°, low 59°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.6 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Mon, 1261° / 49°0.13
61 °
Vail, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1348° / 46°0.06
48 °
Vail, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1455° / 37°0
55 °
Vail, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1563° / 48°0.05
63 °
Vail, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 1661° / 43°0.04
61 °
Vail, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind19.8 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1748° / 37°0
48 °
Vail, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind13.1 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1854° / 35°0
54 °
Vail, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1955° / 40°0.04
55 °
Vail, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2056° / 49°0.1
56 °
Vail, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.3 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2159° / 45°0
59 °
Vail, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.9 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2255° / 43°0.32
55 °
Vail, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2344° / 37°0.07
44 °
Vail, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind21.2 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2451° / 43°0.21
51 °
Vail, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low26° (1981)
Sun, 2551° / 42°0.12
51 °
Vail, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low32° (2020)
Mon, 2650° / 41°0.11
50 °
Vail, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low30° (1976)
Tue, 2750° / 41°0.13
50 °
Vail, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low24° (2020)
Wed, 2848° / 40°0.1
48 °
Vail, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high61° (1984)
Record low30° (1965)
Thu, 2948° / 40°0.09
48 °
Vail, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low29° (2020)
Fri, 3049° / 40°0.09
49 °
Vail, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low29° (2023)
Sat, 3149° / 40°0.13
49 °
Vail, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1971)
Record low27° (1996)
Sun, 0148° / 40°0.15
48 °
Vail, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low27° (2023)
Mon, 0247° / 38°0.15
47 °
Vail, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low23° (1984)
Tue, 0346° / 38°0.11
46 °
Vail, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high63° (1961)
Record low22° (1991)
Wed, 0446° / 38°0.11
46 °
Vail, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high65° (2008)
Record low25° (1991)
Thu, 0546° / 38°0.17
46 °
Vail, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high61° (2015)
Record low21° (1991)
Fri, 0645° / 37°0.11
45 °
Vail, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low18° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.