Weather in Pavilion, MI
Pavilion, Thursday, 8 October, 18:13
Clear. Feels like 63°. High 68°, low 47°.
Monthly outlook for Pavilion, MI: average high 65.6°, average low 47.3°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 October (76.9°), the coolest 18 October (35°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | 68.3° | 60.9° | +4.1° |
| 18 October – 27 October | 61.1° | 56.5° | +2.5° |
| 28 October – 6 November | at normal | 53.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Kalamazoo (10 mi).
0.04
Pavilion, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 44°.
0
Pavilion, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 51°.
0.01Pavilion, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 58°.
0.02Pavilion, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 52°.
0.02Pavilion, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 51°.
0
Pavilion, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 45°.
0.92Pavilion, Thursday, 15 October
Heavy rain. High 76°, low 59°.
0.06Pavilion, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 48°.
0Pavilion, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 39°.
0Pavilion, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 53°, low 35°.
0Pavilion, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 57°, low 37°.
0Pavilion, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 42°.
0.03Pavilion, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 49°.
0.01Pavilion, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 50°.
0Pavilion, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 67°, low 49°.
0.13
Pavilion, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Pavilion, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Pavilion, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pavilion, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pavilion, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Pavilion, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pavilion, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Pavilion, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pavilion, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pavilion, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Pavilion, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pavilion, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Pavilion, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pavilion, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pavilion, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pavilion, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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