Weather in Ayr, MI
Ayr, Wednesday, 14 October, 18:42
Overcast. Feels like 51°. High 53°, low 48°.
Monthly outlook for Ayr, MI: average high 55.5°, average low 44.2°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (72°), the coolest 27 October (35.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 October – 23 October | 55.7° | 53° | +1.5° |
| 24 October – 2 November | 55.1° | 50° | +2.8° |
| 3 November – 12 November | at normal | 45.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Harbor Springs (8 mi).
0.43
Ayr, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 50°, low 43°.
0.5Ayr, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 48°, low 40°.
0
Ayr, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
0Ayr, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 50°.
0
Ayr, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 45°.
0
Ayr, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 43°.
0Ayr, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 43°.
0.43Ayr, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 58°, low 54°.
0Ayr, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 50°.
0.15Ayr, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 47°.
0.06Ayr, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 39°.
0.03Ayr, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 43°, low 36°.
0Ayr, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 35°.
0Ayr, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 49°.
0Ayr, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 49°.
0.1
Ayr, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ayr, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Ayr, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Ayr, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ayr, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Ayr, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Ayr, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ayr, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ayr, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ayr, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ayr, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Ayr, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ayr, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ayr, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ayr, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ayr, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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