Monthly outlook for Arthur Bay, MI: average high 47.6°, average low 38.1°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (56°), the coolest 14 November (29.9°).
47.6°/38.1°
Average high / low
+3.5°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 November – 17 November
46.7°
42.3°
+2.4°
18 November – 27 November
49.1°
38.5°
+5.9°
28 November – 7 December
at normal
33.3°
—
November records over 66 years
72.9°10 November 2022All-time high
1.8°30 November 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Stephenson (11 mi).
Mon, 0950° / 40°0
50 °
Arthur Bay, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Tue, 1056° / 37°0
56 °
Arthur Bay, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 1150° / 33°0
50 °
Arthur Bay, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 33°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind1.3 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Thu, 1238° / 31°0
38 °
Arthur Bay, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 31°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.3 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 1339° / 31°0
39 °
Arthur Bay, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 31°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 1443° / 30°0
43 °
Arthur Bay, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 1548° / 32°0
48 °
Arthur Bay, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1644° / 34°0
44 °
Arthur Bay, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1746° / 41°0
46 °
Arthur Bay, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.3 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 1848° / 44°1.05
48 °
Arthur Bay, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 1950° / 46°0.01
50 °
Arthur Bay, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 2056° / 47°0.19
56 °
Arthur Bay, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 47°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind18.7 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 2151° / 42°0.02
51 °
Arthur Bay, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2244° / 38°0.19
44 °
Arthur Bay, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind19.8 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2345° / 41°0
45 °
Arthur Bay, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind17.2 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2438° / 28°0.06
38 °
Arthur Bay, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high54° (2017)
Record low8° (1985)
Wed, 2538° / 28°0.06
38 °
Arthur Bay, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high52° (2001)
Record low6° (1985)
Thu, 2637° / 28°0.11
37 °
Arthur Bay, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high51° (1984)
Record low11° (2014)
Fri, 2736° / 27°0.14
36 °
Arthur Bay, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high53° (1990)
Record low10° (2014)
Sat, 2835° / 25°0.1
35 °
Arthur Bay, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high52° (2017)
Record low3° (1976)
Sun, 2936° / 25°0.06
36 °
Arthur Bay, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high56° (1998)
Record low3° (1976)
Mon, 3036° / 26°0.09
36 °
Arthur Bay, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low2° (1976)
Tue, 0133° / 24°0.1
33 °
Arthur Bay, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high52° (1970)
Record low4° (1978)
Wed, 0234° / 24°0.07
34 °
Arthur Bay, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high54° (1962)
Record low-1° (1976)
Thu, 0333° / 23°0.08
33 °
Arthur Bay, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high57° (1982)
Record low1° (1976)
Fri, 0433° / 22°0.07
33 °
Arthur Bay, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high54° (2012)
Record low1° (2025)
Sat, 0533° / 22°0.08
33 °
Arthur Bay, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low3° (1991)
Sun, 0631° / 20°0.04
31 °
Arthur Bay, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high53° (1998)
Record low-4° (1972)
Mon, 0729° / 19°0.04
29 °
Arthur Bay, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high44° (1963)
Record low-12° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arthur Bay, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arthur Bay, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.