Monthly outlook for Arthur Bay, MI: average high 49.2°, average low 39.9°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (63.3°), the coolest 14 November (31.4°).
49.2°/39.9°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
52.3°
45.6°
+3.7°
12 November – 21 November
44.2°
40.8°
+1.9°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
36.5°
—
November records over 66 years
72.9°10 November 2022All-time high
1.8°30 November 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Stephenson (11 mi).
Tue, 0363° / 54°0.71
63 °
Arthur Bay, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 63°, low 54°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Wed, 0463° / 54°0.34
63 °
Arthur Bay, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 63°, low 54°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind9.3 mph SE
Humidity99%
Visibility2.9 mi
Dew point59°
Thu, 0554° / 49°0.17
54 °
Arthur Bay, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 49°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility3.9 mi
Dew point50°
Fri, 0649° / 44°0.08
49 °
Arthur Bay, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.1 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sat, 0748° / 42°0
48 °
Arthur Bay, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 0844° / 35°0
44 °
Arthur Bay, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind9.9 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 0943° / 33°0
43 °
Arthur Bay, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1048° / 34°0
48 °
Arthur Bay, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 34°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1149° / 34°0
49 °
Arthur Bay, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 1242° / 36°0
42 °
Arthur Bay, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 1346° / 32°0
46 °
Arthur Bay, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 32°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.3 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 1442° / 31°0
42 °
Arthur Bay, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 42°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sun, 1543° / 33°0
43 °
Arthur Bay, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 1645° / 39°0
45 °
Arthur Bay, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1748° / 37°0
48 °
Arthur Bay, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.9 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1841° / 31°0.07
41 °
Arthur Bay, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low11° (2014)
Thu, 1941° / 31°0.07
41 °
Arthur Bay, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high58° (1999)
Record low7° (2014)
Fri, 2040° / 30°0.11
40 °
Arthur Bay, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high56° (1982)
Record low7° (2022)
Sat, 2138° / 28°0.11
38 °
Arthur Bay, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high57° (1990)
Record low5° (2014)
Sun, 2238° / 28°0.03
38 °
Arthur Bay, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high58° (2012)
Record low14° (2018)
Mon, 2339° / 29°0.11
39 °
Arthur Bay, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high53° (1999)
Record low15° (2022)
Tue, 2438° / 28°0.06
38 °
Arthur Bay, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high54° (2017)
Record low8° (1985)
Wed, 2538° / 28°0.06
38 °
Arthur Bay, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high52° (2001)
Record low6° (1985)
Thu, 2637° / 28°0.11
37 °
Arthur Bay, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high51° (1984)
Record low11° (2014)
Fri, 2736° / 27°0.14
36 °
Arthur Bay, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high53° (1990)
Record low10° (2014)
Sat, 2835° / 25°0.1
35 °
Arthur Bay, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high52° (2017)
Record low3° (1976)
Sun, 2936° / 25°0.06
36 °
Arthur Bay, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high56° (1998)
Record low3° (1976)
Mon, 3036° / 26°0.09
36 °
Arthur Bay, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low2° (1976)
Tue, 0133° / 24°0.1
33 °
Arthur Bay, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high52° (1970)
Record low4° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arthur Bay, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arthur Bay, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.